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Old 10-18-2007
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Re: Bush threatens with World War III

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fidei Defensor View Post
I disagree. For one, I think you and others who assume "obliteration" in response may be overestimating the response. I don't assume that there would be an obliteration of Iran in response to a terrorist-delivered nuclear or radioactive attack on the U.S., and I also doubt that the response would be immediate.
Perhaps not for a radioactive attack but an actual nuclear bomb would absolutely call for immediate retaliation. It might not even be a nuclear retaliation, but carpet bombing is just as effective and far more profitable.

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In the wake of such an attack, I would first expect hemming and hawing over the responsibility. If the material can be traced to its source, that will take time. Then, assuming a link to Iran, there will be denials of culpability and impassioned defenses of Iran, likely including absence of proof that Iran deliberatively provided the material to terrorists and/or that it intended such an attack. I would also expect part of the defense to include a line of reasoning that the attack was provoked by the United States.
This is precisely why the response would be immediate. To avoid missing the opportunity. Regime change in Iran is a goal of both democrats and republicans.

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Finally, while there would certainly be a thirst for blood among many Americans, many simply will not want to kill millions of innocent people in retaliation. I would not take a catastrophic response as a given at all, and if the Iranian leadership understands Americans as well as I do, they won't either.
It would be defense in the face of clear and present danger, not retaliation. (and that might even be true).

Andrew
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