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Why, because your gut tells you so? You are not likely to find more respectable sources than the Lancet.
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Ill just point out it was you who used the figure of 75K to justify your post.
One can argue which deaths should be counted in terms of an actual death toll. That is another story for another time.
Your suggestion would indicate a ten fold increase in casualties. While I know the situation is dire there. I just think that is not likely in my mind. To be honest it is quite sad that we even need to have a discussion on how many lives will be lost as a result of the conflict. It shouldnt have happened in the first place.
I was simply pointing out in my original post. Was that your statement given the evidence you used to justify it, is unlikely. That would indicate a 10fold increase in casualties.