Obama has a strength that is of paramount importance to a presidential candidate and that is the ability to inspire groups of people. Obama is well behind in the national polls and that is because his strength is not communicating a mession to a vast expanse of people... that's why his debates are not as strong. What he does have is the strength in a small setting; in a rally, at a fundraiser, at town-hall meetings. After these small meetings, the vast majority come out as Obama supporters. It's why the latest poll has him leading in Iowa. He has been able to impact some voters there and he hasn't done it through star debate performances or outlandish ads. It's about meeting with the people and Obama is spectacular at that.

If Obama wins Iowa and continues to impress one voter at a time, he has the ability to take New Hampshire and carry that momentum through the rest of the race. Hillary doesn't have it yet.