Originally Posted by goober

If they are done right they are a pretty good indicator, and it's not just FOX that shows Obama way ahead of McCain, it's all the polls.
And in the state by state polls it looks like Obama wins about 350 electoral votes.
There are three weeks and one debate left, and the biggest boost to Obama has come from the financial crisis, the public sees it as mainly a republican problem that a Democrat would be better suited to fix, I don't see the financial crisis going away in three weeks, and I don't see McCain has the skills to wipe the floor with Obama in that last debate.

When polls are wrong they aren't wrong by much, and there is usually a flaw in the methodology that gets identified. But the biggest apparent flaw in the current polling, the Cellphone Effect, would cause the polls to understate Obama's support.

Something could come along and change the major issue from the economy to something else, but that gets less likely with every tick of the clock, as time is running out for McCain.