Many Democrats seem convinced that they have the house wrapped up, and that there's a very good chance of taking the senate. Don't start celebrating just yet. Remember the 2004 elections, and how certain we were of a Democrat victory. Then try to remember the awful hangover the next day after loosing. (Just to be clear on where I stand: I would like nothing more than to boot the Reps out of both houses.)

I'm not trying to be overly negative or anthing, I'm just trying to interject a dose of reality. While Democrats may be polling very well nationally right now, we will all be voting in local elections. Just because you may want certain Democrats in other states to win, doesn't mean the voters of that state will vote the way you'd like.

And now John Kerry (Democrat Senator and major assclown) has opened his mouth, and we all know that's never a good thing. Even though the Dems have now gagged him and locked him in a closet until Nov. 8th, the damage of his words has been done. The Republicans are going to try to squeeze every last drop out of that story, and it may just be enough to change the minds of a few Independent voters. I'm not sure if Kerry's comment will have much impact by itself, but it does fit nicely with the Republicans' message of "Democrats are anti-military".

Also bear in mind that the Republicans are still better at motivating their base, getting absentee ballots in, and generally kicking ass in elections.

Avoid the hangover. Be cautiously optimistic.

Don't count your chickens before they're hatched. I don't really know what that means, since I've never raised chickens, but the phrase seems appropriate.