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Now, moving away from the math, you're going to have to give other posters some heuristics to ask whether or not Saddam should have been removed. For instance, does/will his removal eventually result in more death than the other path? More instability in the region? More years of war?
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This is what I'm asking people to consider, and indeed comment upon. I wasn't seeking so much an answer to my question, so much as conversation regarding the impact of his removal from power. I'm asking for people's predictions on what the impact are, not the 'what ifs' of an alternate future where he could still be in power. Perhaps I should have been more concise.
Basically, what do you as individuals think of his being deposed and hung, and what do you think are the different courses this development may be? We can already make a few guesses, given the reactionary increase in sectarian violence, but what else do you think may be happening?
Further, do you think he should have been removed? What, by comparison (not as a 'what if' scenario, per se) would the world be like if the U.S. had waited to depose him? Would this sectarian violence still occur? Is the vacuum generated by his absence a direct measure of his importance in Iraq, whether real or imagined?