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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
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Imperator Imperator is offline
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Goober, real estate property etc. is cyclical based as someone stated on interest rates etc. My house value dropped and artes bumped up a bit, having an arm my payments got bumped up...so what? It will turn around after a year or 2....but in the mean time my house which I have owned for just 3 1/2 years has provided me with a gain of 30% in equity...a drop off of even 5% would not get me worried......it will comeback...meanwhile the stock market is blowing up, my portfolio has gained 11% in the last year…..that’s is cyclical as well….and those retirees the dems told us 2 years ago were in the dumps due to poor market growth etc. are now doing quite well...

Meanwhile, a jump of 6% in durable goods orders is a 6 year high..come on, you're being selective ....

and micheal, the deficit is at 1.9% of gdp, that is far from a crisis...
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  #17 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
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drgoodtrips drgoodtrips is offline
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
Originally Posted by goober View Post
The fabulous Bush economy has produced the biggest year over year drop in the median home price ever recorded.
Or maybe it's just that Bush is borrowing so much to finance the tax cuts, that interest rates are making mortgages unaffordable.

http://www.breitbart.com/news/2006/10/25/D8KVN3000.html
From what I understand (and I've read a lot on the subject as I've been looking into buying my first home for a little while), a lot of the cooling off of the real-estate market has to do with a combination of factors. Rising interest rates certainly seem to discourage new buyers - that much is true. However, I think a lot of the cooldown can be attributed to people making improvident decisions when interest rates were low. I personally know several people (and apparently this is a nation-wide phenomenon) that took advantage of new types of loans to buy houses they couldn't actually afford (ARM's, balloon loans, etc) and now they're having to pay the piper after several years of unnaturally low mortage payments. This causes a group of people that are desparate to sell (and GWB cannot be blamed for their lack of foresight). In addition, real estate investors (again, I know several) that have bought homes with the intention of simply sitting on them and letting them appreciate are having to lower their asking prices because the demand for new houses was artificially high for so long and has collapsed.

Blaming the swoon in home values on Bush is like blaming the burst of the .com bubble on Clinton.
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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mad_Michael View Post
Be careful throwing rocks here...

The massive debt financing required by the Bush Administration to cover their massive deficits really is only a fairly small drop in the bucket of the world-wide credit market.

Indeed, with the prevailing low interests rates running at historically low levels (in real terms) over the last 5 years or so around the globe, and record corporate profits and record commodity prices for natural resources means that the credit market is flooded with 'supply' right now.

Just remember that the Oil Shieks need to park their mega-petro-profits in Western banks...
take the couple of trillion dollars used to finance the tax cuts, and put it into the credit markets, and interest rates are lower, and the economy is better off.
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  #19 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
Marcus1124 Marcus1124 is offline
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
goober
Take a course in economics, and check out reality.

Borrowers compete for available cash by bidding up interest rates, the more money available the lower the rates.
When the Federal government borrows 300 billion, that is 300 billion that is not available for the other borrowers.
When the government pays off more than it borrows, that is additional money available for private borrowing, and interest rates fall.
And yet "record deficits" have been accompanied by historically LOW interest rates!


Quote:
goober
The fabulous Bush economy has produced the biggest year over year drop in the median home price ever recorded.
Or maybe it's just that Bush is borrowing so much to finance the tax cuts, that interest rates are making mortgages unaffordable.
Gee, the same bush economy that has produced the longest and largest sustained increase in median prices ever recorded over a comprable period?

What frigin brand of crack are you smokin' in your pipe? Housing sales and interest rates are still chugging along at levels NEVER seen under the Clinton administration:

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Last edited by Marcus1124; 10-26-2006 at 12:11 PM.
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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
Originally Posted by goober View Post
take the couple of trillion dollars used to finance the tax cuts, and put it into the credit markets, and interest rates are lower, and the economy is better off.
You really just need to drop the subject. You are wrong. Everyone has told you that you are wrong and yet to continue to babble about a subject you clearly do not understand.
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
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Rick Blaine Rick Blaine is offline
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
Originally Posted by drgoodtrips View Post
From what I understand (and I've read a lot on the subject as I've been looking into buying my first home for a little while), a lot of the cooling off of the real-estate market has to do with a combination of factors. Rising interest rates certainly seem to discourage new buyers - that much is true. However, I think a lot of the cooldown can be attributed to people making improvident decisions when interest rates were low. I personally know several people (and apparently this is a nation-wide phenomenon) that took advantage of new types of loans to buy houses they couldn't actually afford (ARM's, balloon loans, etc) and now they're having to pay the piper after several years of unnaturally low mortage payments. This causes a group of people that are desparate to sell (and GWB cannot be blamed for their lack of foresight). In addition, real estate investors (again, I know several) that have bought homes with the intention of simply sitting on them and letting them appreciate are having to lower their asking prices because the demand for new houses was artificially high for so long and has collapsed.

Blaming the swoon in home values on Bush is like blaming the burst of the .com bubble on Clinton.
Yep, and if you are going to buy a house this could be a buyers market and maybe a more friendly buyers market in months to come. Which is good for you if you're in the market to buy. I don't see anything wrong with the buyer having a few years of a friendly market no more then I thought it was unfair for sellers to have a friendly market. Nothing is static.
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
Marcus1124 Marcus1124 is offline
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
drgoodtrips
Blaming the swoon in home values on Bush is like blaming the burst of the .com bubble on Clinton.
Actually, making any comparisons at all or trying to draw parallels between the .com bubble and any housing "bubble" is patently absurd. Unlike the .com bubble where companies literarly vanished into worthless paper, that simply doesn't happen with housing.
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

Quote:
Originally Posted by SamInTheBurgh View Post
You really just need to drop the subject. You are wrong. Everyone has told you that you are wrong and yet to continue to babble about a subject you clearly do not understand.
"Everyone has told me", you mean a couple of right wing wackos who don't understand economics, that's not quite everyone.
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Adam Smith , The Wealth of Nations 1776

"We have always known that heedless self-interest was bad morals; we know now that it is bad economics"
FDR's second Inaugural Address
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 10-26-2006
Alex Alex is offline
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Re: Record drop in median Home Price

goober, put down the kool-aid and get help. seriously.
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