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  #76 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
No, no.

The gap is widening. Venezuela is slipping deeper and deeper below the rest of the region.

And the rate of growth is unchanged since Chavez's "revolution" - which indicates that he is not doing any better that the regime he replaced.

Under his leadership, Venezuela continues to fall behind the rest of the region.

Matt
One thing that needs to be said is that Venezuela's economy is tied to oil.

on page 8 of this pdf

http://www.cepr.net/documents/public...la_2007_07.pdf

you can see this relationship quite clearly along with a huge improvement in GDP since 2003, after the oil strike.

The HDI is a bit misleading because no other latin america nation has an economy as tied to oil as Venezuela does. Although Chavez has been trying to diversify.

Andrew
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  #77 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
There are improvements in some areas - but those improvements are happening at a slower rate than in neighboring countries were hundreds of millions of dollars aren't being spent on one man's ego.
Hugo is providing them with oil at discounted rates. So if it is true that neighboring countries are improvong, some of it is due to Hugo;s economic policies.


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Ask yourself this, Andrew - what could that billion dollars Hugo wasted trying to buy a seat on the security council have done for the people of his country?

Matt
Considering he has spent billions already on his own nation, im not sure it would have done anything more significant than it already has. Money is important, but its not the entire picture.

Andrew
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  #78 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrewl View Post
One thing that needs to be said is that Venezuela's economy is tied to oil.

on page 8 of this pdf

http://www.cepr.net/documents/public...la_2007_07.pdf

you can see this relationship quite clearly along with a huge improvement in GDP since 2003, after the oil strike.

The HDI is a bit misleading because no other latin america nation has an economy as tied to oil as Venezuela does. Although Chavez has been trying to diversify.

Andrew
Yes, but with the rapid growth in the price of oil, where's the rapid growth in the HDI (and other indicators) in Venezuela?

The fact that these things are flat, while revenues have risen exponentially, seems to indicate that Chavez is doing an even worse job than one would think at first blush.

Matt
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  #79 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

Quote:
Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
No, no.

The gap is widening. Venezuela is slipping deeper and deeper below the rest of the region.

And the rate of growth is unchanged since Chavez's "revolution" - which indicates that he is not doing any better that the regime he replaced.

Under his leadership, Venezuela continues to fall behind the rest of the region.

Matt
Perhaps because some of the neighbors, specifically Kirchner, Lula, and Bachelet are better Presidents than Chavez?
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  #80 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by Dr Longhair View Post
Well, if we hadn't interfered so many times in South America, and if we hadn't done things such as rig elections, assassinate leaders unfriendly to America, and all the other indiscretions perpetuated in the name of the Monroe Doctirine, his fears would be unfounded and it would be impossible for him to use those fears as a method of state control.
Ugh.

What does yanqui interference have to do with Chavez's attempt to follow create another pathetic dictatorship?

As a Libertarian Communist I find both his adherence to Socialist nonsense and his willingness to place himself in as the new "dear leader" of Venezuela completely absurd.

A "dear leader" that miraculously wins every election by a landslide - for life.

What's new with that however; ever since the "great mummy" went on display at the Kremlin Socialists around the world have been aspiring to "lead the people" into Communism (an event that never happens) by getting chauffeured around in their Mercedes to another meeting with a supermodel.

What really happens is that the people have to endure miserable living conditions while El Jefe orders his assistant to fire his live in chef for banging his live in maid while he was supposed to be cooking up a simple lunch of lobster and caviar for his meeting with another bleeding heart liberal actor.

This of course will transpire for a couple decades until his Socialist shit hole reverts back into Capitalism just like every other Socialist society has.
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  #81 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

There is nothing miraculous about Chavez's electoral victories. By all accounts they are entirely legitimate.

If he was tamporing with the electoral process he would have won the referendum.
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  #82 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Perhaps because some of the neighbors, specifically Kirchner, Lula, and Bachelet are better Presidents than Chavez?
Yup - he's about the worst leader in the region.

And yet people cheer for him like he was the second coming.

Odd.

Matt
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  #83 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Yup - he's about the worst leader in the region.

And yet people cheer for him like he was the second coming.

Odd.

Matt
Worse than the President who's in bed with Paramilitaries and drug cartels?

I guess it's all about priorities.
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  #84 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by Donkey_Left View Post
There is nothing miraculous about Chavez's electoral victories. By all accounts they are entirely legitimate.

If he was tamporing with the electoral process he would have won the referendum.
I my post I was referring to what transpires in "elections" after the would be despot makes unlimited terms of office the policy of the nation.

Ala another sham of a Communist in good old Fidel.
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  #85 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by Donkey_Left View Post
Worse than the President who's in bed with Paramilitaries and drug cartels?

I guess it's all about priorities.
In terms of the HDI, yes, worse.

Matt
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  #86 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
Yes, but with the rapid growth in the price of oil, where's the rapid growth in the HDI (and other indicators) in Venezuela?

The fact that these things are flat, while revenues have risen exponentially, seems to indicate that Chavez is doing an even worse job than one would think at first blush.

Matt
Actually based on that pdf and the detailed HDI stats, it seems improvements have taken place 2003 and after. And i think you are not being fair. It takes time to educate and make a population healthy and stable, the HDI over the next ten years will tell a more complete story.

Andrew
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  #87 (permalink)  
Old 12-06-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by Andrewl View Post
His rhetoric against the US was just for domestic effect, IMO. I doubt it will go further than that.

He already has the mandate to push through his social reforms, although he cannot do it by decree and he has four years and thats it.

As far as im concerned this was democracy in action, high turn outs, and important meaningful issues at stake. I only wish democracy in Canada was this vibrant.

Andrew
high turn outs? 30% of his own didn't turn out.....yes, democracy in action....he has met the limits of his power....BUT alas, once he packs the military as he did the courts, I fear this will change....I don't quite think he is done yet...despite wrecking the food production and distribution network etc....egotistic dementia dies hard....
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  #88 (permalink)  
Old 12-07-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

Paradoxically, the fact that a ton of his supporters didn't vote is democracy in action in and of its self.
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  #89 (permalink)  
Old 12-07-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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high turn outs? 30% of his own didn't turn out.....yes, democracy in action....he has met the limits of his power....BUT alas, once he packs the military as he did the courts, I fear this will change....I don't quite think he is done yet...despite wrecking the food production and distribution network etc....egotistic dementia dies hard....
Actually i did read that and was surprised given the high turn outs of previous elections. I think either his supporters became complacent or this was their way of protesting his constitutional reforms.

The democracy that i was impressed with though was the student movement in the urban centers. Had those students not organized, campaigned, and otherwise raised a bit of hell, Chavez would have won easily.

Andrew
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  #90 (permalink)  
Old 12-07-2007
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Re: Chavez Loses Election on 'Reforms'

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Originally Posted by Andrewl View Post
Actually i did read that and was surprised given the high turn outs of previous elections. I think either his supporters became complacent or this was their way of protesting his constitutional reforms.
The latter, in my view. I think they are sending him a message that, while they support his views in general, and him, their support is not unconditional.
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