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  #76 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
Carter was ready to fund a huge initiative for synthetic gasoline and some other alternatives etc...then miraculously the price of oil, started dropping...the world economically was different then no doubt, but, in the end, opec and their enablers saw what was going to happen so they decided to do what they had to do to help prices ease.....

that may not be possible now, so I fear you are right, but 500? I don't know about that, I'd say 200 will be the alarm bell......then again, what’s that in late 70's dollars?
By what measure? I consider CPI indexes to be mostly useless due to the methodology employed by government statisticians in valuing goods.

Here's a 1979 $20 billis and when in 2007:

$57.14 using the Consumer Price Index
$48.30 using the GDP deflator
$65.61 using the value of consumer bundle *
$54.13 using the unskilled wage *
$80.49 using the nominal GDP per capita
$108.00 using the relative share of GDP

*2006

The relative share of GDP, which is unadjusted for inflation and not tinkered with by feel-good statistical manipulation, is from 2007 (last available year other than noted). Add USD devaluation and you're over current price of oil. Vastly under-priced for a global commodity with a declining supply.


Quote:
in the last 30 years we have done squat, and this is what we get. We reelect idiots who are responsible for this, and they sit in their sandbox trying to pass the blame buck and still do shit…..we got what we paid for. We know where it nis, but we won’t go get it or consider viable alternatives, the ethanol alternative thank you gore et al is a complete and absolute bust and was a huge waste of time and resources, besides poisoning the public regards efficacy of some alternatives that may come down the road.
All hindsight and as repeatedly displayed the 'immediate gratification' US has a defined track record of ignoring our past mistakes in most all matters.

Quote:
But it aint just us, Mexico is next up, but for different reasons, the economist did another reassessment article and Pemex is going to see a 10% drop starting NEXT year, as they have zero infrastructure to explore deeper fields and their state bureaucracy destroys any initiative etc as it siphons off ever dime it can instead of reinvesting some of it in infrastructure etc. .
( they are the worlds 6th producer but import 40% of their oil? Unfriggin believable).

Chavez is living a charmed life as well, his crude takes more energy and infrastructure to refine as it’s a heavy crude, he too has allowed his infrastructure to dilapidate and in 10 years he’ll start seeing the results….so hold on tight, its just starting.
The cheap oil, low discovery and production cost, is long gone for all but ME and African reserves. We'll soon see how desperate the US becomes for viable alternative energy with escalating oil costs and devaluing currency as oil futures define their position as the only real hedge against USD devaluation.
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  #77 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
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Hank Hank is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
The next time you think gas is expensive here, go buy a gallon of gas in Canada...
There parking there cars in Russia also. In Europe it’s nearing $10 U.S. dollars a gallon with average wage at $170.oo a week..
I’m glad I live in America. In the 1970s it cost 5 hours at minimum wage to fill the tank of a Mustang. It still does today. All of this mess and gas still cost the same as it did for the last generation.
What a country boy.

Beware of the deceivers.
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  #78 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hank View Post
There parking there cars in Russia also. In Europe it’s nearing $10 U.S. dollars a gallon with average wage at $170.oo a week..
I’m glad I live in America. In the 1970s it cost 5 hours at minimum wage to fill the tank of a Mustang. It still does today. All of this mess and gas still cost the same as it did for the last generation.
What a country boy.

Beware of the deceivers.
You're being deceptive in ignoring USD exchange devaluation when quoting European gas prices in USD. Europeans don't use USD to fill their tanks. $10 is about €6.50. The associated PPP is why Europeans are now paying for US shopping trips with their strong currency exchanges.

As to Russians parking their cars, that's the poor people, as will eventually happen in the US. I recently had a luxury vehicle stolen, never recovered, and the adjuster said the chances were excellent that it was on a boat to Russia within days of being taken.
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  #79 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
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Imperator Imperator is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
By what measure? I consider CPI indexes to be mostly useless due to the methodology employed by government statisticians in valuing goods.

Here's a 1979 $20 billis and when in 2007:

$57.14 using the Consumer Price Index
$48.30 using the GDP deflator
$65.61 using the value of consumer bundle *
$54.13 using the unskilled wage *
$80.49 using the nominal GDP per capita
$108.00 using the relative share of GDP

*2006

The relative share of GDP, which is unadjusted for inflation and not tinkered with by feel-good statistical manipulation, is from 2007 (last available year other than noted). Add USD devaluation and you're over current price of oil. Vastly under-priced for a global commodity with a declining supply.




All hindsight and as repeatedly displayed the 'immediate gratification' US has a defined track record of ignoring our past mistakes in most all matters.



The cheap oil, low discovery and production cost, is long gone for all but ME and African reserves. We'll soon see how desperate the US becomes for viable alternative energy with escalating oil costs and devaluing currency as oil futures define their position as the only real hedge against USD devaluation.
thank you for that data. Remarkable isn't it?
I really am seriously thinking of going and buying some 10K wiener car as an alternative to my hog...not because I can't but because I don't want to afford it....and do my part, to deny them any of my hard earned dollars, no matter how small..
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  #80 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
thank you for that data. Remarkable isn't it?
I really am seriously thinking of going and buying some 10K wiener car as an alternative to my hog...not because I can't but because I don't want to afford it....and do my part, to deny them any of my hard earned dollars, no matter how small..
I'm actually seeing 3-wheeled, two-seat vehicles (don't know the marque) being sold and driven locally and this is red-neck, cheap gas by birthright gas hog heaven. Doesn't look like there's room for a gun rack in them, but people are buying and driving them. We don't drive enough to be concerned with fuel prices (3-6k/yr each on three driver vehicles) but if I was commuting and raising a family I'd without a doubt be driving whatever offered the most efficient fuel mileage and maintenance.
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  #81 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
southrnfried southrnfried is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

It would be a shame if our politicians would actually lift the 20yr moratorium on oil production in the US and allow us to actual produce our own oil.

We all know what to do but for one reason or another we won't elect federal politicians who will allow us to produce our own energy.
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  #82 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by southrnfried View Post
It would be a shame if our politicians would actually lift the 20yr moratorium on oil production in the US and allow us to actual produce our own oil.

We all know what to do but for one reason or another we won't elect federal politicians who will allow us to produce our own energy.
What moratorium? New/expanded exploration and production is taking place but we simply don't have enough reserves left to avoid importing the majority of our consumption requirements.

Any additional US production won't affect pump or other byproduct prices.
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  #83 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
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Doctor Who Doctor Who is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
What moratorium? New/expanded exploration and production is taking place but we simply don't have enough reserves left to avoid importing the majority of our consumption requirements.

Any additional US production won't affect pump or other byproduct prices.

This moratorium.

"The plan takes into account the public protests that led President Bush, last June, to declare all but a tiny portion of the California coast and all of the southern Florida coast off limits for oil and gas exploration for 10 years.

Congress can also restrict offshore drilling, both by passing laws and by withholding money from the Interior Department. Last year it enacted legislation to bar leasing and drilling for one year in Bristol Bay, Alaska, and off Florida and North Carolina."


U.S. BACKS DRILLING FOR OIL AND GAS IN NEW OCEAN SITES - New York Times
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  #84 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Who View Post
This moratorium.

"The plan takes into account the public protests that led President Bush, last June, to declare all but a tiny portion of the California coast and all of the southern Florida coast off limits for oil and gas exploration for 10 years.

Congress can also restrict offshore drilling, both by passing laws and by withholding money from the Interior Department. Last year it enacted legislation to bar leasing and drilling for one year in Bristol Bay, Alaska, and off Florida and North Carolina."


U.S. BACKS DRILLING FOR OIL AND GAS IN NEW OCEAN SITES - New York Times
Common sense (not enough potential reserves in those areas to affect prices or achieve oil independence) and environmental preservation is now a bad idea in our fiscal desperation?
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  #85 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
southrnfried southrnfried is offline
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Member Since: May 2008
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
What moratorium? New/expanded exploration and production is taking place but we simply don't have enough reserves left to avoid importing the majority of our consumption requirements.

Any additional US production won't affect pump or other byproduct prices.
This was the same excuse introduced when W attempted to open anwar to exploration again;

Quote:
"If Congress is truly interested in solving the problem, they can send the right signal by saying we're going to explore for oil and gas in the U.S. territories, starting with ANWR," Bush said. "And we can do so in an environmentally friendly way."

Lawmakers have blocked exploration in the refuge, Bush argued, despite Energy Department estimates the area could yield a million barrels of oil a day — enough to make 27 million gallons of gasoline and diesel fuel.

"That would be about a 20 percent increase of ... crude oil production over U.S. levels, and it would likely mean lower gas prices," Bush said. "And yet such efforts to explore in ANWR have been consistently blocked."

Bush argued that opening more domestic areas to drilling "sends a signal to the world that ... we're going to try to become less reliant upon foreign oil."
Bush again calls for drilling in Alaska wildlife preserve | Chron.com - Houston Chronicle
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  #86 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
southrnfried southrnfried is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
Common sense (not enough potential reserves in those areas to affect prices or achieve oil independence) and environmental preservation is now a bad idea in our fiscal desperation?
No but tree hugging paranoia is apparently. Not one liberal should have anything to say about high gas prices.
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  #87 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
southrnfried southrnfried is offline
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Member Since: May 2008
Location: south
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Who View Post
This moratorium.

"The plan takes into account the public protests that led President Bush, last June, to declare all but a tiny portion of the California coast and all of the southern Florida coast off limits for oil and gas exploration for 10 years.

Congress can also restrict offshore drilling, both by passing laws and by withholding money from the Interior Department. Last year it enacted legislation to bar leasing and drilling for one year in Bristol Bay, Alaska, and off Florida and North Carolina."


U.S. BACKS DRILLING FOR OIL AND GAS IN NEW OCEAN SITES - New York Times

and we can't be sure how sincere W can be on this matter considering his brother is the govn of Fl. You think all those wealthy floridians living on the on the coast want to stare at oil rigs?
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  #88 (permalink)  
Old 05-08-2008
Traveler Traveler is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

No, his brother was the Governor, he isn't anymore.
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  #89 (permalink)  
Old 05-10-2008
Imperator's Avatar
Imperator Imperator is offline
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

paid 4.38 for supreme yesterday, deiasel was 4.88....man of man...

My wife and I have made a bargain, if gas hits 5.00, we are buying a friggin focus, I use a gallon and a 1/4 one way to work.....screw that.

A Focus....my cobra is crying.
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  #90 (permalink)  
Old 05-10-2008
Americano Americano is offline
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Location: Southern Oregon
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Re: Oil hits $114/barrel - No end in sight.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
paid 4.38 for supreme yesterday, deiasel was 4.88....man of man...
Should be an interesting summer driving season. Our local tourist businesses cater primarily to CA visitors who take driving vacations and are already crying the blues, advance reservations being way down, 30%, from last year.

Quote:
My wife and I have made a bargain, if gas hits 5.00, we are buying a friggin focus, I use a gallon and a 1/4 one way to work.....screw that.

A Focus....my cobra is crying.
With that bargain I assume you're already looking at Focus colors and options?
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