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  #166 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
htperr6565's Avatar
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSA View Post
It's kinda pathetic how the Obama supporters never seem to EVER disagree with anything he does...

I bet he could rape a nun and they would blame it on Bush...
i already stated that the stimulus is more of a political gimmick than a real economic plan.

read much?
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  #167 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by htperr6565 View Post
i already stated that the stimulus is more of a political gimmick than a real economic plan.

read much?
So then Obama lied to us? It was all BS to get in office with no real plan as to how to help the country?
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  #168 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
htperr6565's Avatar
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by AkDiesel View Post
So then Obama lied to us? It was all BS to get in office with no real plan as to how to help the country?
he thinks it will help the country, and i do as well, but in a more superficial sense. its not going to prevent a collapse, because one was not impending. its a PR move. it makes government look all proactive and concerned. it will help in some places. to deny that is ignorant. it will save or create a few jobs, but who will know if its the 3 million talked about. bottom line is its not going to help or hurt a whole lot. regean and cheny said deficits don't matter, so the debt is not an issue.
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  #169 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by htperr6565 View Post
From the wapo article. you are right, i did miss something"

"A report Friday, for example, showed the nation's unemployment rate has reached 8.1 percent, a level the administration had forecast would be the average for the entire year. In addition, revised data released last month showed that the nation's gross domestic product has declined at an annualized rate of 6.2 percent in the last quarter of 2008, far worse than originally estimated.

Though she labeled such data "terrible," Romer offered an optimistic assessment in an address focused on lessons from the Great Depression and how they apply to the current crisis. "

Yet another outside attempt at defining what the administration said, and someone from the administration not agreeing with it

the only problem is they along with the times obama and the rest whipped this and gave it the press the WH wanted as it was Obamas team, and the figures he flogged. To make it appear that this was not, their plan and one they sued to advertise and propagandize the need for the stimulus is beyond denial.
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  #170 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
A "casual prediction"?

Total bullshit. Thanks for reminding me why it is pointless to converse with you.

Matt
And the winner is: MattLarson.

The kool-aid is strong in that one, Matt. No amount of factual evidence will let him admit that Obama is wrong.
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  #171 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
htperr6565's Avatar
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
the only problem is they along with the times obama and the rest whipped this and gave it the press the WH wanted as it was Obamas team, and the figures he flogged. To make it appear that this was not, their plan and one they sued to advertise and propagandize the need for the stimulus is beyond denial.
i agree with times and the WH obama team, the appeance was not, as well, to deny the statistical, but yes they did push for the stimulus, and it was obama team doing so.
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  #172 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by smurf View Post
And the winner is: MattLarson.

The kool-aid is strong in that one, Matt. No amount of factual evidence will let him admit that Obama is wrong.
G. Conclusions
This study has sought to investigate the likely job creation effects of the American Recovery and
Reinvestment Plan currently under consideration. As emphasized at many points in the analysis,
there is substantial uncertainty around all of our estimates. Nevertheless, we believe they can
provide useful guidance as we go forward. Among the key lessons from the analysis are:


right, this sounds more like an absolute claim than a prediction.

hmm, i am thinking of a word synonymous with estimate. i can't decide if it's 'absolute claim from obama' or 'casual prediction.'
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  #173 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Who View Post
Goober, you really don't believe this do you? And do you have any idea how mortgage interest rates are derived?
Yes I know how rates are set, it's based on the demand for mortgages in the secondary market. When Wall Street needs mortgages to turn into derivatives they pay a premium for the product, and they ignore the details about the actual product because they only need it to hold up for a few days while they transform that turd into a gold plated derivative.


Quote:
Racist mind? Really Goob? Who said anything about race except you? So low income/sub prime means race to you? Who's being racist or, at the very least, stereotyping? BTW, Obama has said in his speeches and every economist agrees that this started with the sub prime market.
started with the sub prime market, but the canary in the coal mine, the first thing that collapsed, the main problem was and still is the massive losses caused from writing Credit Default Swaps.

Now trying to blame an economic crisis on people who don't actually control very much in the way of money is a very appealing story to the racist wing of the GOP base. If you can't see that, it's not because it isn't there.

Quote:
Nothing has "gone missing". It's called a loss. When the bank loans $200,000 and has to sell the house for $100,000, they take the loss. And after the sub prime market collapsed, it fed into the conventional market because everyones house values declined. Many people who defaulted on their mortgage did so at their own choosing, not because they couldn't afford it. They saw no reason to pay a $350,000 loan on a house they bought for $500,000 that is now worth $200,000. Of course, in my mind that makes them complete assholes but that's JMO.
If it was just mortgages it would be a much smaller problem, it was Credit Default Swaps, an unregulated "insurance like" instrument that concentrated huge amounts of risk and promised huge rewards.
That risk factor was not understood by some, and understood too well by others, it was a scam, wrapping turds in gold foil and selling them as bullion.
What happened to Bear Stearns, AIG, Citi, etc.
They got wiped out by Credit Default Swaps.
That's what sucked all the liquidity out of the economy, that's what stalled the economy.
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  #174 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
Um, no.

The Obama administration made the specific claim that by this date, unemployment would be < 8%.

It's not the "Obama haters" who made that claim, is was his own administration.

So, would you like to try again?

Matt
Oh sure, the president made the claim as I recall as well. However, I still think that you guys are shootin off critisisms too quickly. This economy is extremely volatile and there is no silver bullet. Ya'know, don't forget, that when Obama took office he was very realistic about this crash and tried to get everyone to realize how serious it is: he was criticized for being too negative; "it was the president's job to be positive and smile about everything to encourage the markets", Now they criticize him for not being a realist .

I don't know what you're asking me to try. I just think that your logic is unreasonable given the reality.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Rakkasan View Post
i hate to chime what mr larson did but in the end his own words are working against him not what the republicans are saying

unemployment was supposed to be lower under his plan, it clearly isnt will you hold him accountable or still blame bush
Where is the end? The Republicans have been, since the president's oath of office engaging in a campaign of singular harrassment and obstructionism. They are going to make him fail at any cost, just like they were going to ruin Clinton: that's why he was impeached.

Unemployment is still going to drop realtive to the time it takes this stimulus to get going. So I think you guys are criticizing just to criticize really.

Last edited by jet57; 07-03-2009 at 12:57 PM.
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  #175 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by goober View Post
Yes I know how rates are set, it's based on the demand for mortgages in the secondary market. When Wall Street needs mortgages to turn into derivatives they pay a premium for the product, and they ignore the details about the actual product because they only need it to hold up for a few days while they transform that turd into a gold plated derivative.
Or, they are set by the margins the lenders need in order to produce a profit based on the yield of the 10 year US Treasury.

Quote:
started with the sub prime market, but the canary in the coal mine, the first thing that collapsed, the main problem was and still is the massive losses caused from writing Credit Default Swaps.
Goob, you have the cart before the horse. The mortgages started to go bad, that's what caused the rest of the market to get F***ed. As I said, those derivatives returns and insurance products were based on historic default rates. We set the record for historic defaults so the pricing models fell apart, losses ensued and those markets collapsed. But they all collapsed because the investments they held (mortgages) didn't perform. Just remember that these problems started almost 4 years ago. CDSs just got hammered in the last year and a half or so.

Quote:
Now trying to blame an economic crisis on people who don't actually control very much in the way of money is a very appealing story to the racist wing of the GOP base. If you can't see that, it's not because it isn't there.
I'm not a racist Goob so you need to back off on that. As explained above, and previoulsy, those mortgages started the mess. Once again, you seem to ignore that fact that Obama said it. So besides incompetent, he's a racist also? The only one that is racist here appears to be you because, for some reason, you think if someone is sub prime they must be black or hispanic or blue. I hate to break it to you but that market knows no race.

Quote:
If it was just mortgages it would be a much smaller problem, it was Credit Default Swaps, an unregulated "insurance like" instrument that concentrated huge amounts of risk and promised huge rewards.
That risk factor was not understood by some, and understood too well by others, it was a scam, wrapping turds in gold foil and selling them as bullion.
What happened to Bear Stearns, AIG, Citi, etc.
They got wiped out by Credit Default Swaps.
That's what sucked all the liquidity out of the economy, that's what stalled the economy.
I agree with you about the CDSs. Although they were not specifically and wholly unregulated, there certainly was not enough oversite and like everything else, there are so many govt agencies involved, no one knew what the other was doing.
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  #176 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by iamwhatiseem View Post
No story yet - labor dept released data just now.
470,000 people lost their job in June, national unemployment 9.5%.

Damn
NOthing some more taxes wont solve. Like some environmental taxes, health care taxes. We will have to hire more IRS agents, so there ya go. Jobs Jobs Jobs.
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  #177 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

These numbers are simply not an accurate reflection of the problem.

I know many people who have had their hours reduced and a few who have taken crap jobs. They have extended unemployment insurance and people are milking it for all it's worth. With the number of people on government assistance, the number of people in our prisons, all rising steadily, the real unemployment picture is quite different than what we are generally being told. Once in a while a major media source will talk about the real numbers, but it usually only once a year for each media outlet. MERRIL LYNCH covered the real numbers on February 9th.

MSN actually covered John Williams from SHadowStats back in 2006...
The numbers behind the lies - MSN Money

A GOOD ARTICLE:

From December 2007, when the recession began, to May of this year, 6.0 million U.S. workers lost their jobs.

Some groups of workers are already facing official unemployment rates in the double digits. As of May, unemployment rates for black, Hispanic, and teenage workers were already 14.9%, 12.7% and 22.7%, respectively. Workers without a high-school diploma confronted a 15.5% unemployment rate, while the unemployment rate for workers with just a high-school degree was 10.0%. Nearly one in five (19.2%) construction workers were unemployed. In Michigan, the hardest hit state, unemployment was at 12.9% in April. Unemployment rates in seven other states were at double-digit levels as well.

Why is the real unemployment rate so much higher than the official, or U-3, rate? First, forced part-time work has reached its highest level ever, going all the way back to 1956 and including the 1982 recession. In May 2009, 8.8 million workers were forced to work part time for economic reasons. Forced part-timers are concentrated in retail, food services, and construction; about a quarter of them are young workers between 16 and 24. The number of discouraged workers is high today as well. In May, the BLS counted 2.2 million “marginally attached” workers. That matches the highest number since 1994, when the agency introduced this measure.

The Real Unemployment Rate Hits a 68-Year High | Dollars & Sense
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  #178 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
President

 
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by John Drake View Post
Go back and read what was said, the amount of money lost so far exceeds the value of all the mortgages on all the property ever sold in the history of the world, and certainly the almost piddling number of mortgages lost by "poor" people.
Then they were, indeed, lost at least partly because the poor violated the contract. So how is it invalid to blame them for that?
Quote:
The actual pool of defaults does, however, contain a disproportionate number of Hispanics and blacks, as it always does because they compose a disproportionate number of the poor and the poor are more likely to have money problems by definition.
Then racist beliefs are true?
Quote:
I remember back when this all started it was rich people who had overextended themselves who were to blame, lotsa pictures of mansions being repoed and rather prosperous looking people bemoaning their fate. Then it came out that some poor folk had done this too. Instantly, all those losing their homes became either black or Hispanic, and the whole thing an inner city phenomena.

This is one of the sickest parts of this, the way the real causers of this problem have shifted the blame to the most vulnerable of their victims. People who were hoodwinked and often outright defrauded by unscrupulous mortgage brokers into buying into the American dream, and the worst part is how far they seem to have succeeded.
Oh yes, its the lender's fault they took the mortgage with no intention of paying.
Quote:
I will say that I think racist is an unfortunate choice of words. I would prefer classist. The technique being to blame those poor who have dared to try and rise above their "station" in life for all our problems.
No, that's not what they're being blamed for. They are being blamed for the dishonest means they used to try and rise above it.
Quote:
This is a typical ploy of those who still believe, as of whom one of the FF said, that "..they believe some are born with saddles and themselves are given spurs."
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  #179 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by jet57 View Post
Oh sure, the president made the claim as I recall as well. However, I still think that you guys are shootin off critisisms too quickly. This economy is extremely volatile and there is no silver bullet. Ya'know, don't forget, that when Obama took office he was very realistic about this crash and tried to get everyone to realize how serious it is: he was criticized for being too negative; "it was the president's job to be positive and smile about everything to encourage the markets", Now they criticize him for not being a realist .

I don't know what you're asking me to try. I just think that your logic is unreasonable given the reality.




Where is the end? The Republicans have been, since the president's oath of office engaging in a campaign of singular harrassment and obstructionism. They are going to make him fail at any cost, just like they were going to ruin Clinton: that's why he was impeached.

Unemployment is still going to drop realtive to the time it takes this stimulus to get going. So I think you guys are criticizing just to criticize really.
no offense but of you have not clued in already that Obama manages to place him self on both sides of just about EVERY issue, well what can I say...

he bashs bush, oh hey the stimulus will save jobs, the numbers are indeed bad we are in the pit, hey consumer confidence went up a notch I am confident, don't expect a quick turn around, housing has bounded back oh wait no it didn’t, hey we need to add 450 billion more for a omnibus budget bill that HE and dems purposely didn't pass under bush because he would have vetoed it if it was that large, hey we need to get to basics Paygo, hey we need to forgo Paygo for AMT relief, I will not hold military tribunals, well we have made some changes ( cosmetic) so we are holding tribunals….we cannot hold people forever in limbo, we need to hold them indefinitely, I am dead set against amnesty for telcoms and wire tapping…I had to vote for wire tapping amnesty, we don’t do rendition….we still do because we need Bagram and Egypt to do our dirty work…need I go on?
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Last edited by Imperator; 07-03-2009 at 03:49 PM.
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  #180 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2009
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Re: Holy Hell...470,000 job loss in June, national 9.5%

Quote:
Originally Posted by jet57 View Post
Oh sure, the president made the claim as I recall as well. However, I still think that you guys are shootin off critisisms too quickly. This economy is extremely volatile and there is no silver bullet. Ya'know, don't forget, that when Obama took office he was very realistic about this crash and tried to get everyone to realize how serious it is: he was criticized for being too negative; "it was the president's job to be positive and smile about everything to encourage the markets", Now they criticize him for not being a realist .

I don't know what you're asking me to try. I just think that your logic is unreasonable given the reality.




Where is the end? The Republicans have been, since the president's oath of office engaging in a campaign of singular harrassment and obstructionism. They are going to make him fail at any cost, just like they were going to ruin Clinton: that's why he was impeached.

Unemployment is still going to drop realtive to the time it takes this stimulus to get going. So I think you guys are criticizing just to criticize really.
i wasnt talking about "them people" i was talking about his words his own statements, and in turn i was talking about you, will you ever criticize this man or due to his cool factor he is able to say things and not be held accountable for them

simple question, you dodged it and ran with the talking points
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