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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
jviehe's Avatar
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GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Which means no more reccession for now. Now Obama can claim it was all him, and I can claim it was all deficit spending which will shackle us, and growth was in spite of the govt. And you all can come down on your predictable sides. Im just happy people are spending.

Quote:
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: THIRD QUARTER 2009 (ADVANCE ESTIMATE)


Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property
located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2009,
(that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the "advance" estimate released by the
Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 0.7 percent.

The Bureau emphasized that the third-quarter advance estimate released today is based on source
data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (see the box on page 5). The
"second" estimate for the third quarter, based on more complete data, will be released on November 24,
2009.

The increase in real GDP in the third quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from
personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, private inventory investment, federal government
spending, and residential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP,
increased.

The upturn in real GDP in the third quarter primarily reflected upturns in PCE, in private
inventory investment, in exports, and in residential fixed investment and a smaller decrease in
nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by an upturn in imports, a downturn in state and
local government spending, and a deceleration in federal government spending.

Motor vehicle output added 1.66 percentage points to the third-quarter change in real GDP after
adding 0.19 percentage point to the second-quarter change. Final sales of computers subtracted 0.11
percentage point from the third-quarter change in real GDP after subtracting 0.04 percentage point from
the second-quarter change.
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member

 
Member Since: Jul 2009
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Georgia_state    
Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

There's no free meals. Credit the Fed for this roller coaster ride, and the ride has just started.
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member

 
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Hopefully we can convince the average consumer this is only a temporary upward tick, and things are heading right back to the crappper. Statements need to be emphasized that the growth was strictly due to cash for clunkers and other un-sustainable handouts, the recent market recovery is temporary and stocks will crash again, that new home sales are tanking, commercial real estate will soon implode, that unemployment shows no sign of decrease, and consumer confidence is down. Folks need to feel thier jobs are in peril, they stand a good chance to lose thier homes and retirements, and that the economy will decline for the next couple of years. Several more quarters of GDP decline are needed.

Otherwise I fear you are correct, and the big zero and his mindless worshippers will give Hussein some credit for recovery. Bad news for 2010 and beyond.
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Georgia_state    
Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Quote:
Originally Posted by wrxsti View Post
Hopefully we can convince the average consumer this is only a temporary upward tick, and things are heading right back to the crappper. Statements need to be emphasized that the growth was strictly due to cash for clunkers and other un-sustainable handouts, the recent market recovery is temporary and stocks will crash again, that new home sales are tanking, commercial real estate will soon implode, that unemployment shows no sign of decrease, and consumer confidence is down. Folks need to feel thier jobs are in peril, they stand a good chance to lose thier homes and retirements, and that the economy will decline for the next couple of years. Several more quarters of GDP decline are needed.

Otherwise I fear you are correct, and the big zero and his mindless worshippers will give Hussein some credit for recovery. Bad news for 2010 and beyond.
Your sarcasm is getting old.
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  #5 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Quote:
Originally Posted by EagleTed View Post
Your sarcasm is getting old.
Just staying on message.

"There's no free meals. Credit the Fed for this roller coaster ride, and the ride has just started."
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Danny's Avatar
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

I do enjoy reading your posts wrxsti. Its a fair interpretation of the right most of the time.
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  #7 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

We'll see what Q4 looks like. I get the feeling that the gains made in Q3 are hollow and artificial.
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  #8 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Quote:
Originally Posted by Danny View Post
I do enjoy reading your posts wrxsti. Its a fair interpretation of the right most of the time.
I thought you claimed to be "post partisan", or some such nonsense?

Clearly, not.

Matt
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  #9 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member

 
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Georgia_state    
Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Quote:
Originally Posted by wrxsti View Post
Just staying on message.

"There's no free meals. Credit the Fed for this roller coaster ride, and the ride has just started."
If you have a comment about my post please post it. IF however, I'm your guru and you have no original thoughts of your own, as your guru I'm advising you....
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Last edited by Imperator; 3 Weeks Ago at 08:31 AM. Reason: removed shut up...
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  #10 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

I think of the 3.5% 2.0% is illusionary, federal spends, cash for clunkers, layoffs making balance sheets/profits appear rosy , which are just short term gains, with long term consequences. I would be happy to be wrong but know in my heart I am not.

I'll gladly take the 1.5% and hope that things will flatten out, unemployment additions will taper off, co's will adjust to squeeze productivity out of the work force remaining until, somehow someway, small bus. is energized and starts the ball rolling, forcing co's to expand and add back former workers, remember just adding 3 million jobs won’t get us out from under, we will have barely replaced what we lost, etc.....I don't think this will happen for a year or so, my opinion, by that time, the price tag wuill start being felt, I think inflation will also hobble future growth...and of course the Bush cuts, when they expire will re-set brackets for everyone by at least 5%.....don’t under estimate that hit folks, its gonna be ugly and will have a big drag on consumer spending there fore all the way down the line, factory orders, employment, etc etc …
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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
CSA's Avatar
CSA CSA is offline
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I am a fiscal conservative, but fairly moderate socialy

 
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

So unemployment is down? cool!!

BTW....

Auto sales analysts at Edmunds.com say the pricey program resulted in relatively few additional car sales.

Cash for Clunkers costs taxpayers $24,000 per car - Oct. 28, 2009
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Quote:
Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
Which means no more reccession for now. Now Obama can claim it was all him, and I can claim it was all deficit spending which will shackle us, and growth was in spite of the govt. And you all can come down on your predictable sides. Im just happy people are spending.
As a point of fact (and please correct me if I'm wrong), wouldn't we need growth in Q4 as well before the recession is over? I was under the impression that a recession ended when there were two consecutive quarters of growth.
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  #13 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
iamwhatiseem's Avatar
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Location: Indiana
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

Quote:
Originally Posted by drgoodtrips View Post
As a point of fact (and please correct me if I'm wrong), wouldn't we need growth in Q4 as well before the recession is over? I was under the impression that a recession ended when there were two consecutive quarters of growth.
Now there you go ruining it all with facts...
GDP will rise in 4th qrt likely due to holiday purchasing...regardless of how poorly this season will compare to others.
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  #14 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
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Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

One of the key factors for Q4 will be how much of the increase in auto sales contribution to Q3's GDP was "borrowed" from Q4 due to cash for clunkers.
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  #15 (permalink)  
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Doctor Who's Avatar
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United_States     North_Carolina

Re: GDP Up 3.5% Q3-2009

It seems many of us are not alone in our assessment even though the MSM will do their best to obfuscate the truth.

Quote:
The U.S. economy grew at a 3.5 percent pace in the third quarter, the best showing in two years, fueled by government-supported spending on cars and homes.
Both of those programs have ended which, to anyone who took Bus and Econ 101, means temporary, as in, only the 3rd quarter. A little hint of the truth but that doesn't stop them...

Quote:
It's the strongest signal yet that the economy has entered a new, though fragile, phase of recovery and that the worst recession since the 1930s has ended.
A little premature don't you think? And when is the last time we heard words like these? Oh yeah, 1999 when they said there is a new economy that was the dot com fiasco just before it all imploded.

Quote:
Armed with cash from government support programs, consumers led the rebound in the third quarter, snapping up cars and homes.
This is just a little misleading. Consumers only "led" the rebound because the govt gave them money to buy those items. Now that the govt won't be giving them money, what should we expect?

Don't get me wrong. I'm all for a good recovery. if the O gets credit for it, so be it. But a recovery propped up by stratosphere govt deficits is no recovery at all.

But I would like to ask some of you leaning left a question. If the govt giving people what is essentially their own money to spend brings us closer to a recovery, doesn't that support a huge decrease in the tax rate? Isn't that what conservatives have been saying for eons? Give people more of their own money to spend and they will spend it to benefit the entire economy? Coupled with a just a huge decrease in govt spedning, we'd see the economy boom like never before. Pipe dream I know.

Economy grows in 3Q, signals end of recession - Yahoo! Finance
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