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  #76 (permalink)  
Old 09-24-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

US is a free market economy? That's funny!

Only in ideological la-la-land.
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  #77 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by JHC View Post
Pretending that we live up to our aspirations of a free market is not going to help us avert the pitfalls we face.

Whatever Ron Paul says, I don't see how we can survive globalization without government intervention.

How do you figure we have a free market?
I dont think we have a totally free economy, but for the most part we do. Anyone can create any supply they want, cant innovate how they see fit, can hire and fire at will for the most part. It just seem like people are arguing for a status quo, as if thats a good thing. I dont think it is. The economy needs to be free to move as it sees fit. This mean people have to constantly adapt as supply and demand changes.
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  #78 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
I dont think we have a totally free economy, but for the most part we do. Anyone can create any supply they want, cant innovate how they see fit, can hire and fire at will for the most part. It just seem like people are arguing for a status quo, as if thats a good thing. I dont think it is. The economy needs to be free to move as it sees fit. This mean people have to constantly adapt as supply and demand changes.
It also means no protection and little benefit for the people whose work creates the wealth. There is no way a modern society will go back to those bad old days.
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  #79 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

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Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
Im saying I dont care. Its a free economy. It does what it does, and the govt ought to stay out of it. The primary concern is how that affects a current consumer and IMO, the current situation is good. The numbers back that up.
You might want to deduct the annual deficit, supplementary war spending and SS trust looting with incurred debt from GDP before making any of those statements and depending on government numbers as your oracle.
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  #80 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
Frank Peter Frank Peter is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

There is no doubt that the US loses qualitiy jobs but not only the US it is mor e or less a problem of the western world.

To make it simple and easy years ago GM was the company with the most worker in the USA and now it is Warl mart. The qualitiy of these jobs in the industry were much higher than most of the new service jobs.

If the development goes on we will see huge problems especially for the lower middle class. As a GM worker you could easily belong to the middle class but most people in the service sector will have problems in the future to archive what was normal for their parents.

For example taiwan exports much more mashines than the US. The US export level here is comparable to countries like switzerland and not to talk about Japan ( seven times more or gemrnay three timees more).
The situation in the car industry is much worse. beside the fact that some foreign companies build factories in the US. The amount of car and carparts imports are increasing every year and all three US companies have huge huge problems.

A industrial job also has a much higher multiplicator ( i had to look up the english word for it but i do not want to) effect than a service job.

The US loses more industrial jobs and have a bigger problem here than germany for example because our car industry but also the mashine industry is doing more than fine. We were able to keep many of these jobs until now and the outlook is really good.
At least if the Euro does not gain to much against the asian currencies our main competitors here but even the asians can not buy dollars forever and ever.
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  #81 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Just listening to the news which reports that the US Dollar hit an all time low against the Euro yesterday.
Also reporting:
Quote:
Bloomberg
...Foreclosures Double

The Federal Reserve, cut its benchmark interest rate on Sept. 18 for the first time in four years and said the credit meltdown ``has the potential to intensify the housing correction, and to restrain economic growth more generally.'' Weakness in the housing market was part of the reason U.S. payrolls fell by 4,000 last month.

The number of Americans who may lose their homes to foreclosure more than doubled in August from a year earlier, according to a report Sept. 18 by RealtyTrac Inc.
...
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, on Sept. 20, repeated the central bank's intention to issue new consumer-protection rules by year-end. He also told the House Financial Services Committee that the subprime turmoil has spread through financial markets, ``raising concern about the consequences for economic activity.''
...
Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas fell the most on record in July, indicating the threat to consumer spending was rising even before credit markets seized up in August, a private survey showed today.

Values dropped 3.9 percent in the 12 months through July, steeper than the 3.4 percent decrease in June, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index. The index declined in January for the first time since the group started the measure in 2001, and has receded every month since then.

The housing slump ``doesn't seem like it will go away any time soon,'' said Michael Gregory, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto, who forecast the index to drop 4.1 percent. ``As far as consumers go, this is another sort of pall over'' their ability to borrow against the value of their homes, he said.
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  #82 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

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Originally Posted by Americano View Post
You might want to deduct the annual deficit, supplementary war spending and SS trust looting with incurred debt from GDP before making any of those statements and depending on government numbers as your oracle.
Roger. Ill also add post inventory surpluses, reverse economic goal setting, and productivity gains from trade statistical changes in wage losses.
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  #83 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

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Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
Roger. Ill also add post inventory surpluses, reverse economic goal setting, and productivity gains from trade statistical changes in wage losses.
GDP is calculated on transactions, nothing else. Government capital economic input based on public debt and subsequent economic flow-through without deducting same from GDP is what's known to bean counters as cooking the books. According to the US comptroller general, the rest of the world and anyone who understands accounting, an unsustainable practice. That's something those who are fond of quoting percentages of GDP to rationalize government spending normally neglect in their eagerness to believe in cooked government numbers.
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  #84 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by JHC View Post
Just listening to the news which reports that the US Dollar hit an all time low against the Euro yesterday.
Also reporting:
Quote:
Bloomberg
...Foreclosures Double

The Federal Reserve, cut its benchmark interest rate on Sept. 18 for the first time in four years and said the credit meltdown ``has the potential to intensify the housing correction, and to restrain economic growth more generally.'' Weakness in the housing market was part of the reason U.S. payrolls fell by 4,000 last month.

The number of Americans who may lose their homes to foreclosure more than doubled in August from a year earlier, according to a report Sept. 18 by RealtyTrac Inc.
...
Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, on Sept. 20, repeated the central bank's intention to issue new consumer-protection rules by year-end. He also told the House Financial Services Committee that the subprime turmoil has spread through financial markets, ``raising concern about the consequences for economic activity.''
...
Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Home prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas fell the most on record in July, indicating the threat to consumer spending was rising even before credit markets seized up in August, a private survey showed today.

Values dropped 3.9 percent in the 12 months through July, steeper than the 3.4 percent decrease in June, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index. The index declined in January for the first time since the group started the measure in 2001, and has receded every month since then.

The housing slump ``doesn't seem like it will go away any time soon,'' said Michael Gregory, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto, who forecast the index to drop 4.1 percent. ``As far as consumers go, this is another sort of pall over'' their ability to borrow against the value of their homes, he said.
Probably just more gloom and doom from those who are bad Americans (sarcasm). A majority of posters on this board spent months telling everyone how sound the US economy was and how the leaking real estate bubble would have little or no effect on that economy. How many billions has the Fed pumped into equity markets to temporarily patch the liquidity problem from declining real estate equity?
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  #85 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by Frank Peter View Post
A industrial job also has a much higher multiplicator ( i had to look up the english word for it but i do not want to) effect than a service job.
Word is "multiplier" in English.
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  #86 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
Probably just more gloom and doom from those who are bad Americans (sarcasm). A majority of posters on this board spent months telling everyone how sound the US economy was and how the leaking real estate bubble would have little or no effect on that economy. How many billions has the Fed pumped into equity markets to temporarily patch the liquidity problem from declining real estate equity?
I held a job for many years at which I was in charge of implementing accounting systems and procedures for acquisitions. Then I hired out as a consultant, strangely enough, for fraud detection in accounting departments.
What I learned and used to great advantage, was that everything eventually washes out in the cash account. All the Powerpoint presentations and ledger reports in the world cannot hide from the money trail.

It isn't really all that different in macro economics. Some statistics speak more clearly and loudly than others. Its becoming rather obvious to even the most ardent deniers, that we're in it up to our chins.
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Platitudes like the one you offer are no different - and no less incorrect - than the jackass part-time Christian who says, "I'm going to heaven because I'm nice to people." It so misses the point.~Impugn
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  #87 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

The U.S. economy is doing fine as long as you're willing to ignore this...


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  #88 (permalink)  
Old 09-25-2007
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by JHC View Post
I held a job for many years at which I was in charge of implementing accounting systems and procedures for acquisitions. Then I hired out as a consultant, strangely enough, for fraud detection in accounting departments. What I learned and used to great advantage, was that everything eventually washes out in the cash account. All the Powerpoint presentations and ledger reports in the world cannot hide from the money trail.
I spent most of my career in corporate finance, the later portion on the treasury side and then consulted as a turn-around specialist when consultants filled the halls with executive blood. Follow the money is audit basics. Only the audit scope can limit the money trail.

Quote:
It isn't really all that different in macro economics. Some statistics speak more clearly and loudly than others. Its becoming rather obvious to even the most ardent deniers, that we're in it up to our chins.
The US comptroller general has been warning the government for years that they can't sustain their financial irresponsibility. That report is issued every December, right at the height of the retail season and receives negligible mass media attention as the media doesn't want to upset the advertisers buying public. As anyone who understands basic finance and economics can attest to, we're are in it right up to our chins. I follow a private list with a membership consisting of finance and economics professionals where the primary topics are not how close we are but how deep we're going to sink by industry. What posters on this board applaud regarding the US economy as reported by the government is considered on that list as cooked government garbage in and pureed garbage out. Can you say plug?
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  #89 (permalink)  
Old 10-10-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

By the way, you may have heard this jobs report was revised up to 89k, and Sept posted a jobs gain also of over 100k, again primarily in health care and food service. This makes for 49 straight months of job growth.
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  #90 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

now that they have been revised you won't hear anything here bit echoes...
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