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  #91 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Nah, it doesnt change their pessimism. THere is nothing you can do to convince them that everyones pretty well off.
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  #92 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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JHC JHC is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
By the way, you may have heard this jobs report was revised up to 89k, and Sept posted a jobs gain also of over 100k, again primarily in health care and food service. This makes for 49 straight months of job growth.
Wow!! Are we at zero unemployment yet? We MUST be!! I didn't know it was possible.

How's the GDP? How's the trade deficit? How's the dollar value? hmmmm... lets see...
Reuters 10/12/07
Quote:
IRS says rich getting richer: report

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The richest one percent of Americans earned a postwar record of 21.2 percent of all income in 2005, up from 19 percent a year earlier, reflecting a widening income disparity among different classes in the nation, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing new Internal Revenue Service data.
ADVERTISEMENT

The data showed that the fortunes of the bottom 50 percent of Americans are worsening, with that group earning 12.8 percent of all income in 2005, down from 13.4 percent the year before, the paper said.

It said that while the IRS data goes back only to 1986, academic research suggests that the last time wealthy Americans had such a high percentage of the national income pie was in the 1920s.
...
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  #93 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by JHC View Post
Wow!! Are we at zero unemployment yet? We MUST be!! I didn't know it was possible.
When was the last time there was a zero unemployment rate?

Yours is such a stupid comment, primarily because nobody suggested that was the case.

But, no, since 49 straight months of job growth doesn't fit you view of what you'd like to see under a Republican administration, you criticize it for not being at an unemployment rate of zero.

How fucking stupid, petty, and partisan...
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  #94 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

the stagnation theorem dictates that approx 5% is the optimum we can hope for...clinton and bush have pushed the envelope. I think the internet has a lot to do with getting under 5%, perhaps...

where’s Americano...hes usually on top of economic issues and appears knowledgeable etc. in these areas.
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  #95 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
When was the last time there was a zero unemployment rate?

Yours is such a stupid comment, primarily because nobody suggested that was the case.

But, no, since 49 straight months of job growth doesn't fit you view of what you'd like to see under a Republican administration, you criticize it for not being at an unemployment rate of zero.

How fucking stupid, petty, and partisan...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
the stagnation theorem dictates that approx 5% is the optimum we can hope for...clinton and bush have pushed the envelope. I think the internet has a lot to do with getting under 5%, perhaps...

where’s Americano...hes usually on top of economic issues and appears knowledgeable etc. in these areas.
You both miss the point.
Job growth cannot be seen as good unless it correlates to either GDP increase or unemployment rate decrease, or both.

Since it is theoretically impossible to have zero unemployment yet you claim a large, sustained and steady increase in job creation, then there is no correlating benefit to be had in the rate of unemployment.

So I ask where the benefit is to be seen but perhaps thats just fucking stupid, petty, and partisan.
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  #96 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by JHC View Post
You both miss the point.
Job growth cannot be seen as good unless it correlates to either GDP increase or unemployment rate decrease, or both.

Since it is theoretically impossible to have zero unemployment yet you claim a large, sustained and steady increase in job creation, then there is no correlating benefit to be had in the rate of unemployment.

So I ask where the benefit is to be seen but perhaps thats just fucking stupid, petty, and partisan.
I missed nothing, but thanks for babbling.

I was merely commenting on the assinine comment someone else made about a zero unemployment rate. Nothing more, nothing less...
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  #97 (permalink)  
Old 10-15-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by JHC View Post
Wow!! Are we at zero unemployment yet? We MUST be!! I didn't know it was possible.

How's the GDP? How's the trade deficit? How's the dollar value? hmmmm... lets see...
Reuters 10/12/07
As I said, you can cherry pick any data to find the result you want. However, the two most common indicators that democrats use are employment and GDP, both of which are good. As we have 4 million job openings and we are virtually at zero unemployment. Everyone who wants a job, has one.
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  #98 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2007
Marcus1124 Marcus1124 is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Let me just point out that which has gone unremarked--before I get into specific responses to the torrent of idiocy posted in this discussion—there was in fact NO JOB LOSS IN AUGUST 2008, what was initially reported as a loss in August was revised to a substantial gain when the final readings came out in October.

Now for the other utterly nonsense:

Quote:
AjaxPress
Despite the "jobs being created" and "tax cuts" the national debt continues to balloon...
Really? “Balloon”? The publicly held national debt as a percentage of GDP (the ONLY economically meaningful measure of the debt) since reaching a 20 year low of 33% in fiscal 2001 reached a 37.4% in fiscal 2005 before beginning to decline again (to 37.0 in fiscal 2006 and below 36.8% for fiscal 2007).

So first of all, you’re basic premise is absolutely false on two counts (one somewhat subjective, the other completely objective:

The national debt has not “ballooned” at all, having risen less than 3.8% over a six year period (if you considered that “ballooning” than you had better be prepared to similarly cite the “ballooning” growth in our economy in the last quarter despite all your doom and gloom”)

Second, even if the net increase since 2001 could be reasonably described as having “ballooned” it is flat out false to say “continues” since it has actually been DECLINING for the last two years, and is projected to continue its decline. All of this during a period of admittedly grotesque increases in spending (I am no defender of the Bush administration or the previous Republican Congress on their abysmal record on domestic discretionary spending).

Quote:
Goober
So when Clinton raised taxes and the economy created 22 million new jobs, that showed that tax increases hurt the economy.
Because Bush cut taxes and the economy created 7 million new jobs.
Which is much better if you think about it, because under Bush's plan, 15 million people have the day off.
Clinton inherited a robust economy from Bush 41, while leaving an economy falling into recession to Bush 43 (go check the growth rates in the 12 months preceding both Clinton and Bush 43’s taking office)

Furthermore, The most stellar job growth of the Clinton years actually coincided with relatively restrained spending growth by the GOP led Congress before they went native, and following substantial capital gains tax reductions (which resulted in capital gains tax revenue collections that far exceeded pre-rate cut projections). So yes, it was in fact spending restraint and tax cuts pushed down Clinton’s throat by the GOP that led to the strong growth of the late 1990s

Quote:
Jotathought
The economy in the mid to late 90s was built on speculation and ended in hard-core recession.
Not true, the economic strength of the economy overall in the late 1990s was real, and heardly ended in a “hard-core recession”. While it is true that there was a speculative bubble in the “Tech” stocks, this was only a small part of the overall economic story. And the recession you call “hard-core” was the shortest and mildest of the last century; so short and shallow that many economists speculate that it may not have been officially a recession (it is so close that it is within the historic margin of error for the data sets involved)

Quote:
Iamwhatiseem
As a 23 year businessman....2007 SUCKS.
2006 was a strong year for many, including us. This year people are spending less on goods and services across the board.
Consumer spending WAAAAY down.
Housing market is in shambles.
Auto industry is reeling.
Small business spending is at a 33 year low...I'll say that again...a 33 year low.

The economy is NOT in good shape - jviehe your continued attempts to try and paint a rosy picture is as bad as any politicians spin.

2007 has NOT been a good year....unless you are a foreign investor.
In what fantasy land are you living where consumer spending is “WAAAAY down”:



As this chart clearly shows, while the rate of INCREASE in consumer spending, net consumer spending has not actually decreased in over 17 years:

Quote:
Iamwhatiseem
Well - I don't mean to sound condescending...but if you really believe this then there is no point in debating, for you then show a willingness to be the sheep of conservative business shows that are so far off from reality...you should pay a bit more attention to actual economist, not millionaire stock investors who want everything to stay the same since they have made fortunes in the last 10 years - directly off the backs of the middle class. Only boneheads like these idiots COUNT PEOPLE WORKING TWO JOBS AS "JOB GROWTH".
Another baseless liberal urban myth. I count it as irrefutable “job growth” when the following occur simultaneously:

- Increase in the total number of people in the workforce
- Decrease in the unemployment rate

An employeed person who gets a second job does not result in reductions in the unemployment rate…DUH!


Quote:
JHC
Ironically, an increase in the jobless rate tends to carry quite a hammer when the feds are trying to stimulate the economy, American's have reached their credit limit, and banks are foreclosing on all those crazy ass mortgages.

Why, why, why would there be such a huge emphasis on buying if the economy were all rosy? Huh?

You think those mortgages were written in all honesty, with no knowledge of the consequences? Pffffftttt. Please. The feds lowered the rate to stimulate the economy and turned a blind eye.
First of all, the Fed lowered rates because rates were too high based on the fact that core inflation has plummeted and the overriding concern became the growth rate (although based on the data of the last week this concern is somewhat overblown as well)

Second, the lower rates sure have seemed to bail out the mortgage holders very well, with huge write down in their current financial reporting.

Quote:
Americano
You might want to deduct the annual deficit, supplementary war spending and SS trust looting with incurred debt from GDP before making any of those statements and depending on government numbers as your oracle.
There is no “looting” of the “ss trust”, there never has been a “trust”, it was “looted” from day one, and was designed to be by the great FDR.

As for the cost of the war, that is less than 10% of the entire Federal Budget (even less of government spending at all levels). It is also less than 1.5% of our 13.2 TRILLION dollar economy.

Quote:
Americano
GDP is calculated on transactions, nothing else. Government capital economic input based on public debt and subsequent economic flow-through without deducting same from GDP is what's known to bean counters as cooking the books. According to the US comptroller general, the rest of the world and anyone who understands accounting, an unsustainable practice. That's something those who are fond of quoting percentages of GDP to rationalize government spending normally neglect in their eagerness to believe in cooked government numbers.
You are making a rather pedantic error. While it is correct that GDP is calculated on “transactions”, you are utterly wrong in equating the definition of that term in economics with that in accounting. The economic meaning of that word is much broader and inclusive than the rather limited “bean counting” definition in the accounting profession.

You also confuse the issue of economic growth with government finances. While the overall economic and monetary policy of the government has a substantial impact on economic growth, they are separate and distinct issues.

Quote:
Americano
Probably just more gloom and doom from those who are bad Americans (sarcasm). A majority of posters on this board spent months telling everyone how sound the US economy was and how the leaking real estate bubble would have little or no effect on that economy. How many billions has the Fed pumped into equity markets to temporarily patch the liquidity problem from declining real estate equity?
Well, the economy has actually INCREASED its growth rate as the real estate bubble has been deflating. And as noted above, even the reported single month decline in jobs reported in August which has caused the usual left-wing dance of joy on the supposed-grave of the U.S. economy turned out to be completely and utterly WRONG!

Quote:
AjaxPress
The U.S. economy is doing fine as long as you're willing to ignore this...

Not only am I willing to ignore that chart, my most basic knowledge of economics requires that I ignore it, and look instead at the fact that the only meaningful measure of the national debt (publicly held debt as a % of GDP) has actually declined substantially since 1946 (when the publicly held debt was 108% of GDP), falling to about 33.8% in fiscal 2007 (a number below the 40.5% 20-year average—a 20 year period of historic combined growth and prosperity


Quote:
JHC
Wow!! Are we at zero unemployment yet? We MUST be!! I didn't know it was possible.

How's the GDP? How's the trade deficit? How's the dollar value? hmmmm... lets see...
Reuters 10/12/07
First of all, unemployment is at a rate which used to be believed to be close to “full employment”, and is also currently below the average rate of the last 20 years.

GDP? Well, that is at 3.9% in Q3, up slightly from 3.8% in Q2, up dramatically from .6% in Q1. So, GDP growth in the last 9 months (when everything has supposedly been getting progressively worse) has improved dramatically.

Quote:
JHC
You both miss the point.
Job growth cannot be seen as good unless it correlates to either GDP increase or unemployment rate decrease, or both.

Since it is theoretically impossible to have zero unemployment yet you claim a large, sustained and steady increase in job creation, then there is no correlating benefit to be had in the rate of unemployment.

So I ask where the benefit is to be seen but perhaps thats just fucking stupid, petty, and partisan.
Well, we have had steady increases in both employment and GDP (GDP up 3.8 and 3.9% respectively in the last 2 quarters).


Quote:
jviehe
As I said, you can cherry pick any data to find the result you want. However, the two most common indicators that democrats use are employment and GDP, both of which are good. As we have 4 million job openings and we are virtually at zero unemployment. Everyone who wants a job, has one.
You are being to kind. The lefties are going orders of magnitude beyond “cherry picking” and are picking lusch delicious cherry’s only to ignore what they have picked, picking out the pit and declaring that as their find!. This economy is strong, incredibly resilient, and this is not, as I have said before just a Bush story, this is a story going back a quarter of a century now, to the Reagan tax cuts which put us on a path of historic growth and prosperity. A period with only two of the shortest and shallowest recessions in history. The last one so short and shallow the lefties had to make up entirely new and absurd ideas to try to make it look bad by comparison. Remember the “jobless recovery” of the early ‘00s? It was one of the biggest snowjobs ever. While it was true that the rate of job growth coming out of the last recession was substantially lower than in previous recessions, it was not because of the sub-par rebound, it was due entirely to the fact that the recession Bush inherited was virtually devoid of job loss compared to prior recessions. In prior recessions unemployment shot up to double digits, in the last recession it barely got above 6%. Or look at it this way, one year after the end of the last recession, unemployment was less than 6% while one year after most of the other recessions of the last 60 years unemployment was above 8-9% and sometimes in double digits.
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Last edited by Marcus1124; 11-02-2007 at 12:22 PM.
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  #99 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
Georgerufus Georgerufus is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

I'm Australian. Hopefully I'm going to engineering school next year at the moment I work in a hardware store. I get paid $18 per hour.. I used to get paid upto $32 dollars an hour for night time work with the same company. Its basically warehouse work more so than retail.

Most people in this country will earn a wage of atleast $17 per hour. We have startling inequality, don't think we don't, there is definently insentive to create value. Everyone in this country can afford to live with dignity. We have high wages and none of this inflationary sky falling has happened. Infact we a going along nicely and have a very happy, healthy crime free society. People are looked after and theres not much harassment of any sort at work.

The difference is everyone can afford to live, our poor are nowhere near as poor as your poor in the states.

I have to ask, what the hell is wrong with Americans ? Five dollars an hour is a joke.. its slavery you can't even make a decent living on that. In a developed nation.. what the hell... I don't understand americans.

To me it almost looks like a lot of you worship the ideal of the free market. I don't understand how you can detach yourself from the plight of the working person. Even 10 dollars an hour is not really enough to life off.

I've got nothing against progress inequality is indicative of growth.. but declining standards of living and a continually growing working poor are not. Neither are an abundance of sector service jobs.
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  #100 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by Georgerufus View Post
I have to ask, what the hell is wrong with Americans ?
Not a damn thing; thanks for askin'...

Quote:
Five dollars an hour is a joke.
I haven't made five bucks an hour since 1978...

Quote:
I don't understand americans
We don't care...

Quote:
To me it almost looks like a lot of you worship the ideal of the free market.
You think "free market" is a bad thing?
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  #101 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
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erikvv erikvv is online now
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by steve
You think "free market" is a bad thing?
The problem is, that the labor market is not an entirely free market. It is not like for example the oil market or the stock market, where everyone is offering the same product, and everybody openly advertises their price.

We are talking about human beings here. If you work, you should be rewarded enough to have a decent standard of living, regardless of the situation of the labor market.
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  #102 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
Georgerufus Georgerufus is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Interestingly you made five bucks an hour in 1978. Doing what ?

29 years ago I assume you were young.

People still make 5 dollars an hour. Adults.

Consider increases in the cost of products overtime.

Doesn't that wage seem wrong to you ?

Its not a free market if companies have undue power over employees (which they do) and can keep wages low (which they do) its inefficient and unfairly benefits them. Its a spiral it took society centuries to get out of. Wealth of the ruling class does not indicate wealth of the nation.

Therefore it will harm society, as the brilliant shape of the US economy has indicated. You're missing out on a great deal of consumption that would lead to job creation.

I should probably find some papers but no one would read them anyway.
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  #103 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by Georgerufus View Post
I'm Australian. Hopefully I'm going to engineering school next year at the moment I work in a hardware store. I get paid $18 per hour.. I used to get paid upto $32 dollars an hour for night time work with the same company. Its basically warehouse work more so than retail.

Most people in this country will earn a wage of atleast $17 per hour. We have startling inequality, don't think we don't, there is definently insentive to create value. Everyone in this country can afford to live with dignity. We have high wages and none of this inflationary sky falling has happened. Infact we a going along nicely and have a very happy, healthy crime free society. People are looked after and theres not much harassment of any sort at work.

The difference is everyone can afford to live, our poor are nowhere near as poor as your poor in the states.

I have to ask, what the hell is wrong with Americans ? Five dollars an hour is a joke.. its slavery you can't even make a decent living on that. In a developed nation.. what the hell... I don't understand americans.

To me it almost looks like a lot of you worship the ideal of the free market. I don't understand how you can detach yourself from the plight of the working person. Even 10 dollars an hour is not really enough to life off.

I've got nothing against progress inequality is indicative of growth.. but declining standards of living and a continually growing working poor are not. Neither are an abundance of sector service jobs.
Free market is a term many Americans like to use in rationalizing government subsidized agribusiness, energy production, aircraft development and military sales while condemning other nations for not accepting 'free market' trade agreements. The declining standard of living is merely another issue of many to ignore when climbing on the government 'robust economy' bandwagon based on public and personal debt. The switch from industrial status jobs and benefits to low paid service sector jobs provides 'new jobs created' fodder for the robust economy facade. We have an aging population that will create a lot of minimum wage bed pan changers designated as health industry expansion and the trend to acquiring excess body fat requires continual expansion of the fast food industry, offering even more dead-end careers. If one's income exceeds $150k annually without disturbing capital, there are no complaints. The abundant US population living below the poverty line and as homeless persons without education are, in the words of many posters, merely whiners who could improve their circumstances if they actually tried. (sarcasm)
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  #104 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
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JHC JHC is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Marcus...
read this: Ben Bernanke on the use of interest rate manipulation to stimulate economy...

Granted, you may disagree with why Bernanke did what he did (he was in charge at the time), but you'd have to be his shrink because he thinks he really did it for precisely the reason he (and I) stated.

But go ahaed and argue. I think it's interesting.
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  #105 (permalink)  
Old 11-03-2007
Marcus1124 Marcus1124 is offline
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Re: Economy loses Jobs in Aug 2007

Quote:
Georgerufus
Most people in this country will earn a wage of atleast $17 per hour. We have startling inequality, don't think we don't, there is definently insentive to create value. Everyone in this country can afford to live with dignity. We have high wages and none of this inflationary sky falling has happened. Infact we a going along nicely and have a very happy, healthy crime free society. People are looked after and theres not much harassment of any sort at work.

The difference is everyone can afford to live, our poor are nowhere near as poor as your poor in the states.

I have to ask, what the hell is wrong with Americans ? Five dollars an hour is a joke.. its slavery you can't even make a decent living on that. In a developed nation.. what the hell... I don't understand americans.

To me it almost looks like a lot of you worship the ideal of the free market. I don't understand how you can detach yourself from the plight of the working person. Even 10 dollars an hour is not really enough to life off.

I've got nothing against progress inequality is indicative of growth.. but declining standards of living and a continually growing working poor are not. Neither are an abundance of sector service jobs.
I love this utterly vacuous notion that people's earnings in the long-run are decided by other people, and factors out of their control. That they are just utterly powerless. This is simply not the case. In this country poverty is virtually non-existent amongst people who make the following choices which are 100% under their own control:

1. Do not have children outside of marriage
2. Do not get married unless you have graduated highschool
3. Graduate highschool

of the statistically insignificant portion of the population who follow those three life-choices who actually do end up in poverty, most of those are substance abusers (another factor totally within the control of the individual)

Most poverty in this country is also concentrated in our inner-cities, where liberal policies have been particularl