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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
The classic response is that the only time deficit spending is agreeable is to tide over a depression. Of course, if you aren't already running a deficit, this is much easier to accomplish...
If you decide to infuse cash... the logical place is to invest in infrastructure. Replace some of that decaying infrastructure in the US. Social programs are difficult to substantially cut, although they could be reordered/reformed. Most everything else could be cut in principle. Obviously it's also possible to over-do it with short-sighted, fiscally irresponsible cuts. |
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
Spending on Iraqi infrastructure makes sense, but I don't see the need to strongly tilt it away from oil. They have plenty. To invest in nuclear for the Iraqis seems to be a bad idea, I doubt Isreal would like this at all.
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
Just in case anyone wants some actual data to base their opinions on, here is an excellent study of what 'stimulus' effect one can expect from various different policy options.
Source
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
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As much as I'm anti-entitlement, slashing welfare and such in a down economy is not the way to go. But I think we're over-simplifying (or over-reacting to) the question. Actually, we have 2 scenarios to look at: 1) This is a temporary downturn. Perhaps worse than others recently, but something that will be resolved in 3 yrs or less without horrific impacts. If this is the case then we should make few if any changes based on our current short-term problems, but instead get our house in order for the longer term - phasing out or revamping welfare, phasing out other ineffective or counter-productive programs, improving infrastructure, finding a way to focus on results-based education that isn't so test-based, balancing the budget, phasing out foreign aid, etc. 2) This really is a meltdown, or at least a Major shake-up. I really don't know. Significant cuts to welfare may result in riots in the streets. Significant cuts to military spending mean you'll have a large increase in one of the most crime-prone demographics, and with individuals with combat training and possibly access to weapons. Significant cuts in other areas like education or infrastructure have potential to cause trickle-down effects like increased unemployment and/or longer term problems. Increased borrowing or printing won't be a viable option if our credit is crapped out. The only obvious cut is foreign aid. I'd seriously look at Retro's recommendation of getting us back on the gold standard or some such.
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Today's forecast: Government corruption. Tomorrow's forecast: 100% chance of more 'politics as usual' Maybe it's finally time to vote Libertarian
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
Greetings and Felicitations,
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Sincerely Yours, C. David Neely |
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OTOH, given our infrastructure problems, CDN's para pretty much precisely states what's been actual Republican policy since 2001, so I dunno. |
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
The tenth amendment.
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
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I didnt say we should be defending the rest of the world. I said defending the live of americans is our top priority. Ensuring freedom for our citizens is second, but no less important. Everything else the citizens and states are responsible for. I would much rather the govt cut itself in half, and lower taxes accordingly so that the people have the power and money to help themselves, instead of relying on a govt that is a failure. We have spent 10 times as much on the poor and the infrastructure than we have on national defense or keeping the world safe and fed. It has done no good. It is time to admit that the New Deal, the war on poverty, is lost, and withdrawl immediately. Let the federal govt get back to doing its job instead of YOUR job. |
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
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A $1 government tax expenditure of a "Non-refundable lump sum tax rebate" (item#1 in table) would produce a net gain of $1.02 in GDP after 12 months. That would be a net 2% gain (based on the dollar inputs, not the overall change in GDP). So if the US government wants to mitigate the economic damage from a recession, the best way to do it is with a temporary increase in Food Stamps program and extention of UI benefits. Backstopping the States is also a good policy since the States tend to roll back spending pretty drastically during a downturn and that just tends to make things worse. Accellerated infrastructure spending isn't a bad policy, but usually takes too long and way too susceptible to porkbarrel games (meaning such spending may not end up being targeted to the regions that need it most). |
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
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The question is the OP is what is the priorty for govt spending. My arguement is that it does not matter how much money you have if you are dead from a terrorist attack, dirty bomb from Iran, or russian/chinese invasion. Put this country back to what it says in the constitution. |
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Re: In A Crashing Economy Which Government Spending Is Most Important?
Pardon my ignorance as I am a foreigner. But why does an archaic document hold so much sway over the opinions of people in modern day politics ? I mean, why is it relevant what someone said back in the 1700's ?
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