machinehead61,
I am fascinated by history and I really appreciate your transcribing unpublished work.
Visit the Archives for U.S. Politics Online -- U.S. Politics Online . net






“If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan GreenspanWe need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan






machinehead61,
I am fascinated by history and I really appreciate your transcribing unpublished work.
You should always have an informed opinion, so after I inform you, please feel free to express my opinion...USCitizen


S&P should stick to financial analysis and not concern themselves with how well we get along
All with AAA rating except the US, with the lowest debt.Country Comparison :: Public debt
(% of GDP)
14 Canada- 84.00- 2010 est.
15 France- 83.50- 2010 est.
20 Germany- 78.80- 2010 est.
24 United Kingdom- 76.50- 2010 est.
25 Austria- 70.40- 2010 est.
27 Netherlands- 64.60- 2010 est
38 United States- 58.90- 2010 est.
https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat.../2186rank.html





You might want to save yourself first. You're displaying a shocking amount of ignorance here. Oh and btw, since you're throwing out death numbers.
US 1863
Deaths during the civil war, approximated using 1860 census. This is merely from war action, doesn't count anything not related to said direct military actions, which would run the numbers much higher.
Per 100,000, ages 15 to 70, US males 3,948. If you want to add the maimed to that, double it.
Now never mind those dying of starvation from the deprivations of war, civilians killed, etc. You can add a significant number there, and we haven't even started adding in natural causes.
Some die from economic upheavals or other disruptions, or government gets involved in deciding what's fair and some goes to lots.
You choose for the many to die. I choose for the few.
Look in a mirror and tell me what that says to you.
A is A
A very interesting point. The US has about 1/2 of the debt as a percentage of GDP than the other AAA rated countries. Yet S&P downgraded our rating. Time to start looking into what S&P's motivation or payoff is due to this action of theirs.
So who now was shouting all about default? The liberals were.
How truthful were they Not at all.
Who stated that if no debt deal was reached, the social security checks wouldn't be mailed?
Does the US collect enough taxes that the social security benefits could be paid? Yes.
How truthful were they? Not very.
When, oh when will the people realize that this administration and those in alignment with them in congress, are lying through their teeth, fear mongering to get what they want which is unrestrained spending in pursuit of "social justice", wealth redistribution, and unlimited government power, control and intrusion over and into the electorate via the check book and any other means, to reform the US into something more similar to the European social democracies. None of this is good.
If a man were behind four months on his mortgage and was talking to you about his plans to build an addition on his home you would think him daft and delusional. But in Washington, ignoring a current crisis to discuss grand dreams is called “boldness” and “vision.”








“If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan GreenspanWe need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan


Free Trade destroyed millions of jobs, OR did the Government destroy the millions of jobs? The gov't allowed the federal reserve to keep interest rates low for a long period of time, causing malinvestment and the housing bubble we have recently seen. Free Markets had nothing to do with it. In normal times, it has been proven that the free market creates more jobs then what it destroys. Look at IBM at 1993, when Lou Gretsner become CEO of the company. he had laid off 60k workers, but when he retired in 2002, he hired 65k workers. That was more jobs created then lost






Actually government through legislation benefiting corporate access to cheap labor killed the economy. The bubble was caused by current account deficits with China (savings), which the return investment in America caused unnaturally low interest rates. These low interest rates fueled the credit expansion and with financial leverage of capital moving from 20x to 30x between 2000 and 2007. Hence a bigger fall but the greatest factor being glut savings from Asia creating available capital.
The Sceptical Market Observer: What Caused the US Housing Bubble?
Since manufacturing jobs were being exported and housing start jobs replaced them, the bubble burst and both were gone.The bubble required that total domestic expenditure exceed the value of domestic output, which required, in turn, an increase in the trade deficit. Between 2000 and 2007, the US annual current account deficit grew by nearly $600bn, a threefold increase; as a percentage of GDP, the current account deficit grew from 1.5% to over 6% in the decade ending in 2006 [2].
FED rates are not determined by one factor and the FED was unable to answer for capital inflows.
“If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan GreenspanWe need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan


Why blame them for letting manufacturing jobs go overseas? do you not like us having a high tech/service based economy? If you could make your product much cheaper with cheaper labor, then of course people will outsource. It's not our fault for China manipulating the US currency and for liberals demanding higher minimum wage + higher expenses to corporations. The fed was a main factor to the bubble because it encouraged spending rather then saving because of the low interest rates it set






They (FED) missed by 9 months at best I'll find a chart in a bit following the interest rate. Its pretty much been studied and they were aware, but not observing the whole economy based on housing starts. It's in the below linked Harvard study.
FED rates.jpg
I've no problem with jobs moving if policy works. However policy failed. It works ... I support it ... it fails I don't support it.
The whole cheap labor thing just revealed weaknesses in comparative advantage and created global labor arbitrage. Maybe because profit margins were to strong or maybe just because such a large account surplus (Chinas) cannot be used in return investment without bubbles. At any rate the benefit of a trade imbalance is turned into a destructive force.
I was quite disappointed by the manufacturing loss ... it is quite enjoyable for those who can appreciate manufacturing. I passed up promotions and AC to remain close to the floor and the 105 to 120 deg temps.
A link to the best study I've found ... maybe it will help.
www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff/files/Global_Imbalances_and_Financial_Crisis.pdf
A link to Bernanke's speech which may contain info relevant to the delay in raising rates. It 's in the Harvard study and Europe delayed also.
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20100103a.htm
Last edited by michael h; 08-26-2011 at 09:10 PM.
“If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan GreenspanWe need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan


Yes, the trade imbalance is imposing consequences on us, and that is the reason why I agree with Ron Paul on putting us back on the gold standard. Sorry, I don't really want to bother finding charts or graphs, but when Nixon came as president, he removed us off the gold standard which caused the price of our products/service inflate in price over the decade, making us unable to be competitive, and what made us start getting trade imbalances in the 80's. The Fed does a poor job in monetary policy, and just by looking at the history of the fed, I doubt they will ever learn their mistakes.
Last edited by Cudorp; 08-26-2011 at 09:31 PM.






I know of Nixon shock ... more of a reaction to a run on American gold by foreign nations. A fiat currency has more probability of working when its not a private bank. The colonies had a successful fiat script that was undermined by King George. The FED has always sucked and their motivations should be questioned as can be noted by 16 trillion in secret loans. I'm not firm in my position of supporting a standard that can be cornered and I suspect fiat may still work in the right hands and in the light.
“If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan GreenspanWe need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan


Of coursed the fiat system worked during the colonial times. The American colonies only had to trade with Britain, making fiat currency irrelevant. commodity backed currencies help deflate prices, and I don't really see how it can be taken advantage of.






“If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan GreenspanWe need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan
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