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Thread: They chose to fail.

  1. #346
    michael h is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by machinehead61 View Post
    Well friend, if you are a student of history, you're a very selective student.

    I know all about Cambodia, China, etc. I used to be a member of the John Birch Society - if that means anything to your history knowledge. I left them because of their extreme aversion to the whole story. An open mind is a dangerous thing: you might actually learn something new if you read other views.

    The two most dangerous words to a conservative are compromise and balance.

    They always take them to the extreme. No middle ground. Their way or the highway. To them all compromise is evil and always leads to the slippery slope of totalitarian government.

    History contradicts you.

    Unlike you, who would have let the rest of the Irish starve to death rather than change direction and in your mind - slip into a totalitarian state - England/Ireland did change course after realizing they had made a horrible mistake that had created the worst human disaster in the 19th century. Ireland would never suffer another famine of that proportion again.

    You need more history lessons in the consequences of laissez faire gone wild which you apparently never learned and how these were corrected by COMPROMISE/BALANCE by the intervention of government in the market to correct those excesses.

    If the government hadn't, revolution would have.

    I DO NOT EXAGGERATE.

    EARLY GOVERNMENT REGULATION

    Trade practices, prices, and wages in English industry were subject to a high degree of government regulation from the eleventh to the nineteenth century, first by the medieval guilds and, after the fifteenth century, by an all-powerful national government in the hands of the Tudors. Much the same was true in France where, following regulation by the guilds, Colbert instituted, in the middle of the seventeenth century, a series of national acts regulating practically every detail of economic life.

    GUILDS
    The merchant and craft guilds in the Middle Ages made regulations to control all sales and production within the town or city. Markets from the eleventh to the sixteenth century in England were mostly local. These guild rules or fair trade practices forbade usury, speculation, cornering of the market, or profiting by resale at a higher price. The guild in each line of business established a fixed "just" price for the product, and journeymen workers had to be paid a set "just" wage. The quality of the product was maintained by regulations governing the materials to be used, the hours of work, and working conditions in the master's shop, together with the requirement that the worker serve a certain period of apprenticeship in order to qualify as a master or member of a particular guild. These municipal rules of the guilds - mostly the common law of that time - were enforced upon all business establishments by the guild wardens.

    Under the guild system there was a fair degree of economic and political equality. Every master craftsman was a worker who possessed his own productive equipment; none was permitted to become merely a middleman or a capitalistic employer. Each master had to produce his own wares - from raw material to finished product - and the products were sold directly to the consumer from the master's own home, which served as a store, workshop, and dwelling. Under these circumstances, no one producer could obtain a major share of the local market. Each businessman had to make his product himself and to sell it at the established "just" price; he could not introduce a change in the technique of production without the permission of the guild. With such restriction on competition and avarice, each guildsman was practically assured of some work, and there was no unemployment problem.
    Along with a large measure of economic security, the medieval craftsman had personal pride in his product - though it was a long time before cobblers discovered that there is a difference between the left foot and the right foot. The craftsman got personal satisfaction in creating and selling a praiseworthy product. The guilds also played an important part in the social life of the town, and guild funds were used to assist widows, orphans, and the poor.

    Richard A. Lester, Duke University
    Economics Of Labor, 1941
    p. 51-52


    Please note the duration of the guild system: from the eleventh to the nineteenth century.

    For about 800 years this was a stable economic system complete with no history of cyclical economic depression, epic starvation, nor genocide.

    By comparison, how long did classical capitalism last until society got sick of it and decided to intervene?

    "That free markets alone will not bring about the economic millennium is evident from the experience of England and France during the first half of the nineteenth century, when the doctrine of laissez faire was tried and found wanting. The period from 1810 to 1840 stands out in European history as the epoch during which there was the least amount of government intervention in economic affairs. The leading men of the time argued that the market forces of demand and supply should have free reign to work their magic. They thoroughly believed that complete freedom for individual initiative and self-interest would result in the greatest social good, and they were convinced that any government interference or labor legislation would be both vicious and futile, because it would run counter to "natural law". So firmly were the people of England convinced of these economic superstitions that they repealed all laws safeguarding the workers, restricting the spread of factories, and limiting the rise of capitalism.
    From bitter experience, however, the English soon learned the limitations of markets as final arbitrators of economic matters. Before long Parliament was forced to pass a new set of labor laws called Factory Acts in order eliminate the most glaring evils and abuses that developed under this "natural order" of laissez faire.

    An understanding of this epoch in economic history is so important for a student of labor, as well as for advocates of the individualistic ideal who oppose labor organization and legislation, that this chapter is devoted to a discussion of labor in England during the early nineteenth century and the failure of laissez faire as an economic policy....

    This theory of laissez faire – let the market, not the government, control – along with the doctrine of economic harmonies, was adopted by Adam Smith directly from the Physiocrats, some of whom he had known personally. Smith believed that when “all systems of preference or of restraint” are completely abolished, “the obvious and simple system of natural liberty establishes itself of its own accord,” and he thought that each man pursuing his own self-interest is “led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention” - the general welfare of the nation. It is easy to understand why parts of the Wealth of Nations soon became the businessman's bible, though not the part in which Smith pointed out that high wages increased the efficiency of labor so that “where wages are high, we shall always find the workmen more active, diligent, and expeditious than where they are low.”.....

    Under the early factory system in England, the employment of women and children was the foundation of certain branches of industry. Three independent estimates for the years 1833, 1835, and 1839 indicate that almost half of the factory workers in England were children under the age of 18 years of age – one quarter of the workers in the cotton mills were under 14 years of age. About 55 percent of all factory employees in the 1830's were women, and nearly one half of the female employees were under 18 years of age. In woolen, silk, and flax mills, 70 percent of all “operatives” in 1839 were women. A census of 1841 showed that 27 percent of the workers in British mines (coal, iron, tin, etc.) were under 20 years of age, although only 3 or 4 percent were females......

    The normal working day for women and children as well as men was from 12 to 14 hours for six days a week, and at rush seasons factories sometimes ran day and night on one shift. Children, who in rush seasons worked 18 hours a day with only four hours for sleeping, often fell asleep at meals “with the victuals in their mouths.”.....

    Working weeks from 72 to 108 hours for children tended to deform their bodies and legs and made workers old at 40. To force child laborers to perform their stint, foremen sometimes strapped them. Children of six, seven, and eight years of age worked in coal mines where, for 12 or 14 hours a day, girls in their teens, crawling on all fours, would drag a car or tub of 300 or 400 pounds of coal by chain attached to a leather band around their waists.....

    The well-known French economist, J. B. Say, from his travels in England in 1815, declared that a worker with a family, despite efforts often of a heroic character, could earn no more than three quarters, and sometimes only one half, the sum needed to support his family. According to a writer in 1820, real wages (wages reckoned in commodities) had fallen 33 percent from 1760 to 1820....

    It was from 1795 to 1835 that the problem of pauperism reached its most extreme and acute form, and that the term “labouring poor” became such a common expression.”.....

    England had become, to quote Disraeli,”Two nations: between whom there is no intercourse and no sympathy; who are as ignorant of each other's habits, thoughts, and feelings, as if they were dwellers in different zones, or inhabitants of different planets;....THE RICH AND THE POOR.”.....

    In 1814 a crises, accompanied by an avalanche of commercial failures, shook the English market. Thereafter there were depressions in 1819-1820, 1825-1826, 1836-1837, and the early 1840's, and in 1847-1848 there was a great crash. That period became known as the “hungry forties.”.....

    Laissez faire proved to be no cure for business cycles and depressions.

    Richard A. Lester, Duke University
    Economics Of Labor, 1941
    p. 50-66



    "Upwards of a million of human beings are literally starving and the number is constantly on the increase.....It is a new era in the history of commerce that an active and increasing trade should be the index, not to the improvement of the condition of the working classes, but to their poverty and degradation."

    P. Gaskel
    Artisans And Machinery, 1836


    “Of course, this pervasive social and political unrest reflected not merely material poverty but social pauperization: the destruction of old ways of life without the substitution of anything the labouring poor could regard as a satisfactory equivalent. But whatever the motives, waves of desperation broke time and again over the country: in 1811-13, in 1815-17, in 1819, in 1826, in 1829-35, in 1838-42, in 1843-4, in 1846-8. In the agricultural areas they were blind, spontaneous, and in so far as their objectives were at all defined, almost entirely economic.

    As a rioter from the Fens put it in 1816; “Here I am between Earth and Sky, so help me God. I would sooner lose my life than go home as I am. Bread I want and bread I will have.”

    In 1816, all over the eastern counties, in 1822 in East Anglia, in 1830 everywhere between Kent and Dorset, Somerset and Lincoln, in 1843-4 once again in the east Midlands and the eastern counties, the threshing machines were broken, the ricks burned at night, as men demanded a minimum of life. In the industrial and urban areas after 1815 economic and social unrest was generally combined with a specific political ideology and programme – radical-democratic, or even 'cooperative' (or as we would now say, socialist), though in the first great movement of unrest from 1811-13 the Luddites of the East Midlands and Yorkshire smashed their machines without any specific programme of political reform and revolution.....

    But essentially, what held all of these movements together, or revived them after their periodic defeat and disintegration, was the universal discontent of men who felt themselves hungry in a society reeking with wealth, enslaved in a country which prided itself on its freedom, seeking bread and hope, and receiving in return stones and despair.....

    “Wretched, defrauded, oppressed, crushed human nature lying in bleeding fragments all over the face of society”, wrote the American, Colman, of it in 1845. “Every day that I live I thank Heaven that I am not a poor man with a family in England.”

    Can we be surprised that the first generation of the labouring poor in industrial Britain looked at the results of capitalism and found them wanting?”

    Eric J. Hobsbawm
    The Pelican Economic History of Britain
    Volume 3, From 1750 to the Present Day
    Industry and Empire, 1969
    p. 94-95


    ............................................Death Rate per 100,000 men 1863
    ................................Age 25-35..........Age 35-45..........Age 45-55
    Agriculture in
    England & Wales..............743...................805...... ..............1,145

    London Tailors.................958...................1,26 2.................2,093

    London Printers...............894..................1,747. ...............2,367

    Karl Marx
    Capital, 1906 (1st American Edition)
    p. 509



    None so blind as those who refuse to see.

    I will attempt to save you from drowning in your economic ignorance.

    Steve
    Bang that drum. The dead tell no lies ... they are dead. And the mansion building continues.
    “If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan Greenspan
    We need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan

  2. #347
    USCitizen is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    machinehead61,
    I am fascinated by history and I really appreciate your transcribing unpublished work.
    You should always have an informed opinion, so after I inform you, please feel free to express my opinion...USCitizen

  3. #348
    dixon76710 is offline Speaker of the House
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Sadanie View Post
    Our deficit is not bigger as a percentage of our GDP than many other nations who have kept their AAA ratings. . .because they demonstrated the will to work together, across party lines, to fix their problems.
    S&P should stick to financial analysis and not concern themselves with how well we get along

    Country Comparison :: Public debt
    (% of GDP)

    14 Canada- 84.00- 2010 est.
    15 France- 83.50- 2010 est.
    20 Germany- 78.80- 2010 est.
    24 United Kingdom- 76.50- 2010 est.
    25 Austria- 70.40- 2010 est.
    27 Netherlands- 64.60- 2010 est
    38 United States- 58.90- 2010 est.
    https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat.../2186rank.html
    All with AAA rating except the US, with the lowest debt.

  4. #349
    9aces is offline Secretary of State
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by machinehead61 View Post

    None so blind as those who refuse to see.

    I will attempt to save you from drowning in your economic ignorance.

    Steve
    You might want to save yourself first. You're displaying a shocking amount of ignorance here. Oh and btw, since you're throwing out death numbers.

    US 1863

    Deaths during the civil war, approximated using 1860 census. This is merely from war action, doesn't count anything not related to said direct military actions, which would run the numbers much higher.


    Per 100,000, ages 15 to 70, US males 3,948. If you want to add the maimed to that, double it.

    Now never mind those dying of starvation from the deprivations of war, civilians killed, etc. You can add a significant number there, and we haven't even started adding in natural causes.

    Some die from economic upheavals or other disruptions, or government gets involved in deciding what's fair and some goes to lots.

    You choose for the many to die. I choose for the few.

    Look in a mirror and tell me what that says to you.
    A is A

  5. #350
    eohrnberger's Avatar
    eohrnberger is offline Secretary of State
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Sadanie View Post
    Our deficit is not bigger as a percentage of our GDP than many other nations who have kept their AAA ratings. . .because they demonstrated the will to work together, across party lines, to fix their problems.
    Quote Originally Posted by dixon76710 View Post
    S&P should stick to financial analysis and not concern themselves with how well we get along

    Country Comparison :: Public debt
    (% of GDP)

    14 Canada- 84.00- 2010 est.
    15 France- 83.50- 2010 est.
    20 Germany- 78.80- 2010 est.
    24 United Kingdom- 76.50- 2010 est.
    25 Austria- 70.40- 2010 est.
    27 Netherlands- 64.60- 2010 est
    38 United States- 58.90- 2010 est.
    https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat.../2186rank.html
    All with AAA rating except the US, with the lowest debt.
    A very interesting point. The US has about 1/2 of the debt as a percentage of GDP than the other AAA rated countries. Yet S&P downgraded our rating. Time to start looking into what S&P's motivation or payoff is due to this action of theirs.

    So who now was shouting all about default? The liberals were.
    How truthful were they Not at all.

    Who stated that if no debt deal was reached, the social security checks wouldn't be mailed?

    Does the US collect enough taxes that the social security benefits could be paid? Yes.

    How truthful were they? Not very.

    When, oh when will the people realize that this administration and those in alignment with them in congress, are lying through their teeth, fear mongering to get what they want which is unrestrained spending in pursuit of "social justice", wealth redistribution, and unlimited government power, control and intrusion over and into the electorate via the check book and any other means, to reform the US into something more similar to the European social democracies. None of this is good.
    If a man were behind four months on his mortgage and was talking to you about his plans to build an addition on his home you would think him daft and delusional. But in Washington, ignoring a current crisis to discuss grand dreams is called “boldness” and “vision.”

  6. #351
    Cudorp is offline Active Citizen
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by USCitizen View Post
    Brutus,
    In your opinion, is Conservatism the same as Libertarianism?
    Such as the only thing government should be responsible for is protecting our nation?
    I'm not referring to Ron Paul's Libertarianism, which makes no sense because he seems to want to legislate Isolationalism.
    Isolationism? Seems like you trolls are mixing non-interventionism and Isolationism. Whats so bad about free trade and diplomacy with other countries? attacking other countries just gives us more harm then good.

  7. #352
    michael h is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cudorp View Post
    Isolationism? Seems like you trolls are mixing non-interventionism and Isolationism. Whats so bad about free trade and diplomacy with other countries? attacking other countries just gives us more harm then good.
    Free trade cost millions of jobs and destroyed the economy for starters. Diplomacy is preferable to war. Does a troll equal some one you disagree with?
    “If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan Greenspan
    We need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan

  8. #353
    Cudorp is offline Active Citizen
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by michael h View Post
    Free trade cost millions of jobs and destroyed the economy for starters. Diplomacy is preferable to war. Does a troll equal some one you disagree with?
    Free Trade destroyed millions of jobs, OR did the Government destroy the millions of jobs? The gov't allowed the federal reserve to keep interest rates low for a long period of time, causing malinvestment and the housing bubble we have recently seen. Free Markets had nothing to do with it. In normal times, it has been proven that the free market creates more jobs then what it destroys. Look at IBM at 1993, when Lou Gretsner become CEO of the company. he had laid off 60k workers, but when he retired in 2002, he hired 65k workers. That was more jobs created then lost

  9. #354
    michael h is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cudorp View Post
    Free Trade destroyed millions of jobs, OR did the Government destroy the millions of jobs? The gov't allowed the federal reserve to keep interest rates low for a long period of time, causing malinvestment and the housing bubble we have recently seen. Free Markets had nothing to do with it. In normal times, it has been proven that the free market creates more jobs then what it destroys. Look at IBM at 1993, when Lou Gretsner become CEO of the company. he had laid off 60k workers, but when he retired in 2002, he hired 65k workers. That was more jobs created then lost
    Actually government through legislation benefiting corporate access to cheap labor killed the economy. The bubble was caused by current account deficits with China (savings), which the return investment in America caused unnaturally low interest rates. These low interest rates fueled the credit expansion and with financial leverage of capital moving from 20x to 30x between 2000 and 2007. Hence a bigger fall but the greatest factor being glut savings from Asia creating available capital.

    The Sceptical Market Observer: What Caused the US Housing Bubble?
    The bubble required that total domestic expenditure exceed the value of domestic output, which required, in turn, an increase in the trade deficit. Between 2000 and 2007, the US annual current account deficit grew by nearly $600bn, a threefold increase; as a percentage of GDP, the current account deficit grew from 1.5% to over 6% in the decade ending in 2006 [2].
    Since manufacturing jobs were being exported and housing start jobs replaced them, the bubble burst and both were gone.

    FED rates are not determined by one factor and the FED was unable to answer for capital inflows.
    “If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan Greenspan
    We need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan

  10. #355
    Cudorp is offline Active Citizen
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Why blame them for letting manufacturing jobs go overseas? do you not like us having a high tech/service based economy? If you could make your product much cheaper with cheaper labor, then of course people will outsource. It's not our fault for China manipulating the US currency and for liberals demanding higher minimum wage + higher expenses to corporations. The fed was a main factor to the bubble because it encouraged spending rather then saving because of the low interest rates it set

  11. #356
    michael h is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cudorp View Post
    Why blame them for letting manufacturing jobs go overseas? do you not like us having a high tech/service based economy? If you could make your product much cheaper with cheaper labor, then of course people will outsource. It's not our fault for China manipulating the US currency and for liberals demanding higher minimum wage + higher expenses to corporations. The fed was a main factor to the bubble because it encouraged spending rather then saving because of the low interest rates it set
    They (FED) missed by 9 months at best I'll find a chart in a bit following the interest rate. Its pretty much been studied and they were aware, but not observing the whole economy based on housing starts. It's in the below linked Harvard study.

    FED rates.jpg

    I've no problem with jobs moving if policy works. However policy failed. It works ... I support it ... it fails I don't support it.

    The whole cheap labor thing just revealed weaknesses in comparative advantage and created global labor arbitrage. Maybe because profit margins were to strong or maybe just because such a large account surplus (Chinas) cannot be used in return investment without bubbles. At any rate the benefit of a trade imbalance is turned into a destructive force.

    I was quite disappointed by the manufacturing loss ... it is quite enjoyable for those who can appreciate manufacturing. I passed up promotions and AC to remain close to the floor and the 105 to 120 deg temps.

    A link to the best study I've found ... maybe it will help.
    www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff/files/Global_Imbalances_and_Financial_Crisis.pdf
    A link to Bernanke's speech which may contain info relevant to the delay in raising rates. It 's in the Harvard study and Europe delayed also.

    www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20100103a.htm
    Last edited by michael h; 08-26-2011 at 09:10 PM.
    “If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan Greenspan
    We need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan

  12. #357
    Cudorp is offline Active Citizen
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Yes, the trade imbalance is imposing consequences on us, and that is the reason why I agree with Ron Paul on putting us back on the gold standard. Sorry, I don't really want to bother finding charts or graphs, but when Nixon came as president, he removed us off the gold standard which caused the price of our products/service inflate in price over the decade, making us unable to be competitive, and what made us start getting trade imbalances in the 80's. The Fed does a poor job in monetary policy, and just by looking at the history of the fed, I doubt they will ever learn their mistakes.
    Last edited by Cudorp; 08-26-2011 at 09:31 PM.

  13. #358
    michael h is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cudorp View Post
    Yes, the trade imbalance is imposing consequences on us, and that is the reason why I agree with Ron Paul on putting us back on the gold standard. Sorry, I don't really want to bother finding charts or graphs, but when Nixon came as president, he removed us off the gold standard which made caused the price of our products/service inflate in price over the decade, making us unable to be competitive, and what made us start getting trade imbalances in the 80's. The Fed does a poor job in monetary policy, and just by looking at the history of the fed, I doubt they will ever learn their mistakes.
    I know of Nixon shock ... more of a reaction to a run on American gold by foreign nations. A fiat currency has more probability of working when its not a private bank. The colonies had a successful fiat script that was undermined by King George. The FED has always sucked and their motivations should be questioned as can be noted by 16 trillion in secret loans. I'm not firm in my position of supporting a standard that can be cornered and I suspect fiat may still work in the right hands and in the light.
    “If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan Greenspan
    We need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan

  14. #359
    Cudorp is offline Active Citizen
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Of coursed the fiat system worked during the colonial times. The American colonies only had to trade with Britain, making fiat currency irrelevant. commodity backed currencies help deflate prices, and I don't really see how it can be taken advantage of.

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    michael h is offline Vice President
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    Re: They chose to fail.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cudorp View Post
    Of coursed the fiat system worked during the colonial times. The American colonies only had to trade with Britain, making fiat currency irrelevant. commodity backed currencies help deflate prices, and I don't really see how it can be taken advantage of.
    Honestly I have a whole lot more research before I can even come close to forming an intelligent decision. I've a lot of reading to do first. My biggest concern right now is how tightly the money supply is managed and dollar devaluation.
    “If we open up our borders … we could suppress wages of middle class jobs” – Alan Greenspan
    We need to suppress the wage levels of the skilled. We need to suppress wages in comparison to the “lesser skilled ” - Alan Greenspan

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