I am genuinely sorry to say that isn't looking too good. From Dr. Masters' blog:

From http://www.weatherunderground.com/bl...&tstamp=200608

I hope he's wrong, dude, but it's not looking so good.

Matt

It's too early to tell but that has to be making people on Louisiana nervous.

__________________
"Give me your tired, your poor,
Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me,
I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"

This could get ugly:



Matt

No doubt, Ernesto is already our first hurricane in the Atlantic this season, it'd suck if it becomes our first fatal one too. That there about looks like the place Charley destroyed in 2004 (maybe a little further up). Of course we wont know the track till the last two days, but either way you cut it could be bad. We'll see.

No matter what if it gets into the gulf it will impact oil prices in the US

__________________

The universe grows smaller every day and the threat of aggression by any group anywhere can no longer be tolerated. There must be security for all or no one is secure... - Klaatu

Once it hits that hot Gulf water it could get huge. We really must start doing the things that can cool this planet back down. If the average temperature rises JUST 5 degrees, the earth will be unrecognizable to us.

As much as I agree on your view of climate change I do not think this thread was started for that discussion.

__________________
"Give me your tired, your poor,
Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me,
I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"

Since when has that stopped Sam. Actually for that matter since when has that stopped any of us.

__________________

The universe grows smaller every day and the threat of aggression by any group anywhere can no longer be tolerated. There must be security for all or no one is secure... - Klaatu

Sorry, I didn't mean to try to hijack the thread. I was just saying about the hot gulf.....

Hmmm. Is the Gulf hotter than the mid-Atlantic?
No doubt. How dare this planet change into something that makes us uncomfortable? The nerve.

Ooh, good news! ^.^ Ernesto has slowed to 7 mphs, weakened as far as pressure goes 1004 mb (As I said before, pressure is a measure of strength of a storm), and winds are down to 50 mph (So its no longer a hurricane). What I see happening is it weakening even more, after all its going to go over land when it reaches Cuba and hopefully that means it wont be able to gain enough strength to do any real harm once it reaches the states (Matts illustration that he posted earlier from that weather site should more or less show you exactly that). The worse thing that can happen at this moment is that it goes towards the gulf, but I don't think thats going to happen. So, hopefully that means we can write Ernesto off (Not that I'm saying we should just yet, but one can hope).

You go ahead and do that Speedyer. It's about to hit 90F water and it's a little closer to me than to you. My office is pretty far south but if the hurricans stays on the eastern side of the peninsula we should be OK.

Even if it hits head on as a category 1, I will sit tight.

Today is the day to load up on gas and water just in case. Maybe examine the plywood and tools, crank up the generator once... wouldn't hurt.

I was a little more worried early yesterday. Let's hope it leans a little furthe east and we can all say "whew".

and here is a picture of a hurricane that turned around:

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...the government...is caving in...with their specious arguments couched in the...language of civil rights law, and that the churches ... likewise crumbling to...rhetoric which is nothing but heretical sophistry -- ~F Phelps
Platitudes like the one you offer are no different - and no less incorrect - than the jackass part-time Christian who says, "I'm going to heaven because I'm nice to people." It so misses the point.~Impugn

forecaster Stewar

Still too early to decide.

__________________
...the government...is caving in...with their specious arguments couched in the...language of civil rights law, and that the churches ... likewise crumbling to...rhetoric which is nothing but heretical sophistry -- ~F Phelps
Platitudes like the one you offer are no different - and no less incorrect - than the jackass part-time Christian who says, "I'm going to heaven because I'm nice to people." It so misses the point.~Impugn

Sheesh, I didn't say that they couldn't turn around, I said that they couldn't go backwards from a set point. ^.^ Or at least thats what I meant. O.O As for Ernesto, things are looking even better, its projected to go further east and has weakened some more. As for a catagory 1, not really life threatening as long as you don't be a idiot. Though it sucks that they have to scrub the launch of Atlantis, darnit!
Right now though we can say "whew", a catagory 3 is nothing to play around in, and thankfully we're not going to have one. Instead we're going to have a little wind, a little rain, and nothing ya can't live through if your not an idiot. ^.^ After all, water is what kills most people during hurricanes. Of course, I'm probably living in the safest place in Florida, with the way nothing hits us. While it may be out a good bit, I'm not saying we should write this storm off just yet, just that so far its looking pretty good for a almost non-threatening pass at us.

Yep. Looking better all the time.

__________________
...the government...is caving in...with their specious arguments couched in the...language of civil rights law, and that the churches ... likewise crumbling to...rhetoric which is nothing but heretical sophistry -- ~F Phelps
Platitudes like the one you offer are no different - and no less incorrect - than the jackass part-time Christian who says, "I'm going to heaven because I'm nice to people." It so misses the point.~Impugn