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  #61 (permalink)  
Old 01-03-2007
WarOnIgnorance's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic View Post
I brought it in because I did my homework. There are concerns about warming from other sources.
Quote:
Originally Posted by link
The ozone losses due to the small eruption at Hekla lasted for about two weeks, and eventually returned to normal levels. This is the first time that people have observed the complete removal of local ozone following a volcanic eruption
I'm not really surprised at these results. After the 1883 Krakatoa eruption, effects were noted globally and lasted up to five years. It is indeed known that volcanic activity has effects on the atmosphere and hence on the climate.
But the 'homework' should be along the lines of which volcanic eruptions had an impact entirely correlative with the observed increase in global temperatures. There would have to have occured an increasing string of Krakatoa-scale eruptions continually increasing in power in the last two decades. No such thing occured. Ergo, the self-organizational system that the atmosphere is, is capable of, and does indeed absorb these events without going out of equilibrium.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic View Post
How do you explain the sea ice growing on Antarctica?
You're putting the issue a bit too simplistic. An increase in surface might well occur because the supercooled ice of the Antarctic range becomes more liquified and evolves into (wider-spread) shelf ice faster. Just a theory.

In this study : http://icesat.gsfc.nasa.gov/publicat...anges_2005.pdf you'll find that the total mass of the Antarctic ice is decreasing in Western Antarctica while indeed increasing in East Antarctica. Overall though, the study shows and increase in higher altitudes and a decrease on the fringes. This happens to be exactly what would be expected with an increase in average temperature.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic
Speaking of seeing the light, some scientist believe that Global Warming is caused by brighter sunlight.There is little control over Global Dimming or Brighter Sunshine as Dr. Wild predicts.
The case here is not exactly about brighter sunlight but about less impediments for it to reach the surface. In fastly developing countries like India or China there is still an increase in this aerosol-caused dimming. The net result of this observation would of course be that global warming is not yet felt at its true potential. Not a good thing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic
It's sounds like it's too late.
That I don't know. But do you agree that the rate of increase in global temperatures related to time is unprecedented ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic
I am familiar with Gore but what has Bush done?
Are you kidding me ? Until very recently he simply denied there is an increase in global average temperatures.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic
They are below sea level, that's why.
Probably, yes. But so is Bangladesh or New Orleans. Not much happening there.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic
I am unsure what possible help Gore has contributed. He seems to focus on the drama, the spectacular and the illusion of Political Weather patterns called Climate Chaos and still blames Katrina on Bush.
You are an automaton, are you not ? I heavily criticized Gore in case you missed it.
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  #62 (permalink)  
Old 01-03-2007
kinetic's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by doniston View Post
1.So the links were professors. They are still opinions rather than fact.
Of course they were opinions. That's what everyone has is opinions. It's just that theirs are made after studying the facts.
Quote:
Originally Posted by doniston View Post
2.So where is it? Do you read responses? the following was my response to you in post #52
I must have missed it. Maybe it's because I don't visit a link without a snipet included. Oh well.
Quote:
Originally Posted by doniston View Post
Do you beleive in the Techtonic plate system???? if so, check out "Geo plate system" on Google.
I am very familiar with plate tectonics but haven't studied them since college. Anyway, it's not like I should go and do your research for you.
Quote:
Originally Posted by doniston View Post
Apparently you don't know this but millions of years ago, there was one land . . . moved, what was to be the arctic plate was just about on the equator. Hence the warm climate.
We have no way of knowing if that is the same exact spot on the planet because everything has drifted. However, it's warming up again and the polar bears are dying of the heat.

Quote:
Polar bears feeling heat
January 2, 2007



Suffice it to say that polar bears are not dying off of their own volition. They depend on sea ice as a platform for hunting seals and as a pathway to take them to coastal areas. As global warming dramatically shrinks Arctic sea ice, the huge beasts are struggling to find food and to swim the longer distances between ice and land. To put it more bluntly, they're starving and drowning in disturbing numbers.

Last spring, an edition of Time magazine containing a special report on climate change showed a gaunt-looking polar bear peering out from a melting ice floe next to a headline that read "Be Worried. Be Very Worried."
Quote:
Red Flag Fire Warning
Record Cold

SAN DIEGO, CA - (1-1-07)

Record cold weather on Sunday, and the National Weather Service issues a red flag fire warning for Tuesday. The warning will be in effect from 6am to 6pm. Mountain winds are expected to gust at 45mph and humidity levels will likely be below 15% most of the day. The temperature dipped down to 34 degrees at Brown Field on Monday. That breaks the old record cold of 35 degrees.
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  #63 (permalink)  
Old 01-03-2007
kinetic's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
I'm not really surprised at these results. After the 1883 Krakatoa eruption, effects were noted globally and lasted up to five years. It is indeed known that volcanic activity has effects on the atmosphere and hence on the climate.
I realize that it's not a scientific estimation but, I have predicted for years that three of four large erruptions simultaneously would send the north in the USA into a deep freeze that could last for years. When Mt. St. Helen blew, it barely reached 70º all summer from the Dakotas to Michigan and elsewhere.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
But the 'homework' should be along the lines of which volcanic eruptions had an impact entirely correlative with the observed increase in global temperatures. There would have to have occured an increasing string of Krakatoa-scale eruptions continually increasing in power in the last two decades. No such thing occured. Ergo, the self-organizational system that the atmosphere is, is capable of, and does indeed absorb these events without going out of equilibrium.
The atmosphere on the earth is amazingly resilient and self-adjusting/cleansing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
You're putting the issue a bit too simplistic. An increase in surface might well occur because the supercooled ice of the Antarctic range becomes more liquified and evolves into (wider-spread) shelf ice faster. Just a theory.
There are volcanos under the ice on Antarctica that supposedly can errupt without anyone knowing. Also, the ocean has the most active volcanos than anywhere on the planet.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
In this study : http://icesat.gsfc.nasa.gov/publicat...anges_2005.pdf you'll find that the total mass of the Antarctic ice is decreasing in Western Antarctica while indeed increasing in East Antarctica. Overall though, the study shows and increase in higher altitudes and a decrease on the fringes. This happens to be exactly what would be expected with an increase in average temperature.
The ice is thicker but less area. That's what is happening in Greenland as well.
Quote:
Impact of Climate Warming on Polar Ice Sheets Confirmed

03.08.06



In Greenland, the survey saw large ice losses along the southeastern coast and a large increase in ice thickness at higher elevations in the interior due to relatively high rates of snowfall. This study suggests there was a slight gain in the total mass of frozen water in the ice sheet over the decade studied, contrary to previous assessments
The case here is not exactly about brighter sunlight but about less impediments for it to reach the surface. In fastly developing countries like India or China there is still an increase in this aerosol-caused dimming. The net result of this observation would of course be that global warming is not yet felt at its true potential. Not a good thing.[/QUOTE]But human cause dimming is said to be a possible solution.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
That I don't know. But do you agree that the rate of increase in global temperatures related to time is unprecedented ?
Whether or not something could be done, I am unsure and unconvinced. Global warming is good for the northern midwest states for sure.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
Are you kidding me ? Until very recently he simply denied there is an increase in global average temperatures.
But he just signed polar bear protection. That's odd. Well not everyone is convinced. That could be because it was far warmer on the planet when the Nordics reached Greenland.
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
You are an automaton, are you not ? I heavily criticized Gore in case you missed it.
I enjoy the humor side of Political Climate and Gore fits that bill nicely. I know he isn't trying to but he just cracks me up.

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  #64 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
Hank's Avatar
Secretary of State
Bob (No, not like in the water. It's my name.)

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: springhill,Florida.
Posts: 5,852

United_States     Florida

Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

I just thought I’d point out that we already have cleaner fuels and more efficient internal combustion engines.
The stats claimed by environmental activists in the 70’s were based on 60’s and 70’s muscle cars driven on a scale of 24 hours a day @ half a billion in the U.S. alone (Population explosion and all.). With exaggeration and worse case scenario they could manipulate the data into showing it possible “if you look at it a certain way” that temperatures could rise a degree or two every hundred years. Dudes, if were using eternal combustion for the next hundreds and hundreds of years, we deserve a 4 or 5 degree increase in temperature.
Hey! Wait a minute… I thought environmental alarmist were going back to global cooling again???
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  #65 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
Hank's Avatar
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Bob (No, not like in the water. It's my name.)

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
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United_States     Florida

Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

I’d like to see the turbine cars of the 1960’s return:






I miss America
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  #66 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
doniston's Avatar
Permanently Banned
Just getting better HEH HEH

 
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Location: southern Cal
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic View Post
Maybe it's because I don't visit a link without a snipet included. Oh well.I am very familiar with plate tectonics but haven't studied them since college. Anyway, it's not like I should go and do your research for you.
Now you are making Jokes again. You ask for information, but because what I offer is not in a form to your liking, You imply that You would be doing my work for me by checking the source "I" provided??? Hilarious. Yuk! Yuk! Yuk!
  #67 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
kinetic's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by doniston View Post
Now you are making Jokes again. You ask for information, but because what I offer is not in a form to your liking, You imply that You would be doing my work for me by checking the source "I" provided?
When you make comments and claims, it's customary to back it up with a source. For example, there are still cold record temperatures being broken worldwide.
Quote:
Record cold snap for the nation's hottest town
Brendan O'Keefe
January 05, 2007



One famously hot town set a new mark for its coldest year. Maximum temperatures in the northwest West Australian town of Marble Bar came in almost 3C below average last year. In its world-beating heatwave, from October 31, 1923, to April 7, 1924, the maximum temperature never dropped below 100 degrees Fahrenheit (37.8C). That record still stands.

But last year, Marble Bar recorded an average maximum of 32.5C, well below its long-term annual norm of 35.3C.
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  #68 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
doniston's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

[QUOTE=kinetic;883570]When you make comments and claims, it's customary to back it up with a source.
QUOTE] Unfortunately that is YOUR custom, even if it is useless. for instance this particular example that you have posted here. I have no Idea where it is located, and I don't even care. it is simply one place on the planet. It is customary for most of us to Not to post Usless Garbage, AND---- Links do not always have quips attached. Mine gave you directions and where to find the information you requested.
  #69 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
Imperator's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

and another view-


Polar Bear Politics
January 3, 2007; Page A12
Unless you've been hibernating for the winter, you have no doubt heard the many alarms about global warming. Now even the Bush Administration is getting into the act, at least judging from last week's decision by Interior Secretary Dirk Kempthorne to recommend that the majestic polar bear be listed as "threatened" under the Endangered Species Act. The closer you inspect this decision, however, the more it looks like the triumph of politics over science.

"We are concerned," said Mr. Kempthorne, that "the polar bears' habitat may literally be melting" due to warmer Arctic temperatures. However, when we called Interior spokesman Hugh Vickery for some elaboration, he was a lot less categorical, even a tad defensive. The "endangered" designation is based less on the actual number of bears in Alaska than on "projections into the future," Mr. Vickery said, adding that these "projection models" are "tricky business."

Apparently so, because there are in fact more polar bears in the world now than there were 40 years ago, as the nearby chart shows. The main threat to polar bears in recent decades has been from hunting, with estimates as low as 5,000 to 10,000 bears in the 1950s and 1960s. But thanks to conservation efforts, and some cross-border cooperation among the U.S., Canada and Russia, the best estimate today is that the polar bear population is 20,000 to 25,000.

It also turns out that most of the alarm over the polar bear's future stems from a single, peer-reviewed study, which found that the bear population had declined by some 250, or 25%, in Western Hudson Bay in the last decade. But the polar bear's range is far more extensive than Hudson Bay. A 2002 U.S. Geological Survey of wildlife in the Arctic Refuge Coastal Plain concluded that the ice bear populations "may now be near historic highs." One of the leading experts on the polar bear, Mitchell Taylor, the manager of wildlife resources for the Nunavut territory in Canada, has found that the Canadian polar bear population has actually increased by 25% -- to 15,000 from 12,000 over the past decade.


Polar bear Pop estimates
1950s- 5000
195 – 1970- 8,000-10,000
1984- 25,000
2005- 20,000-25,000
Sources- New York Tmes,Covebear.com, International Bear assoc., International Wildlife, IUCN and the Polar Bear Study grp.


Mr. Taylor tells us that in many parts of Canada, "polar bears are very abundant and productive. In some areas, they are overly abundant. I understand that people not living in the North generally have difficulty grasping the concept of too many polar bears, but those who live here have a pretty good grasp of what that is like." Those cuddly white bears are the Earth's largest land carnivores.

There is no doubt that higher temperatures threaten polar bear habitat by melting sea ice. Mr. Kempthorne also says he had little choice because the threshold for triggering a study under the Endangered Species Act is low. The Bush Administration was sued by the usual environmental suspects to make this decision, which means that Interior will now conduct a year-long review before any formal listing decision is made.

Nonetheless, the bears seem to have survived despite many other severe warming and cooling periods over the last few thousands of years. Polar bears are also protected from poaching and environmental damage by the Marine Mammal Protection Act, so there is little extra advantage to the bears themselves from an "endangered" classification.

All of which suggests that the real story here is a human one, namely about the politics of global warming. Once a plant or animal is listed under the Endangered Species Act, the government must also come up with an elaborate plan to protect its habitat. If the polar bear is endangered by warmer temperatures, then the environmentalist demand will be that the government do something to address that climate change. Faster than you can say Al Gore, this would lead to lawsuits and cries in Congress demanding federal mandates to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Think we're exaggerating? No sooner had Mr. Kempthorne announced his study than Kassie Siegel of something called the Center for Biological Diversity told the New York Times that "even this Administration" would not be able to "write this proposal without acknowledging that the primary threat to polar bears is global warming and without acknowledging the science of global warming." Her outfit was one of those who had sued the feds in the first place over the polar bears, notwithstanding its location in the frozen tundra of Arizona. But no matter. For want of a few hundred polar bears, the entire U.S. economy could be vulnerable to judicial dictation.
* * *
With that much at stake, Mr. Kempthorne could have shown a stiffer backbone in resisting this political pressure. At the very least he now has an obligation to ensure that Interior's year-long study be based on real science and the actual polar bear population, rather than rely on computer projections. Any government decision to limit greenhouse gases deserves to be debated in the open, where the public can understand the consequences, not legislated by the back door via the Endangered Species Act.

WSJ.com - Login
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  #70 (permalink)  
Old 01-04-2007
kinetic's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
Polar bear Pop estimates
1950s- 5000
195 – 1970- 8,000-10,000
1984- 25,000
2005- 20,000-25,000
Sources- New York Tmes,Covebear.com, International Bear assoc., International Wildlife, IUCN and the Polar Bear Study grp.
That's amazing. How can the Bears be endangered? They're more of them than ever and ready to be hunted.
Quote:
Nunavut fears fallout from polar bear proposal
December 28, 2006



A U.S. proposal to list polar bears as a threatened species could hurt Nunavut's sport hunting industry, a territorial government official says. However, the Nunavut government is concerned the listing would hurt the territory's lucrative polar bear hunt, said Steve Pinksen, director of policy, planning and legislation for Nunavut's Environment Department.

"We are disappointed," Pinksen told CBC News on Wednesday. "It has a potential for impacts directly upon our economy, particularly in the smaller communities, and that's always a concern, so we certainly are a little bothered by the situation." American hunters spend thousands of dollars for the chance to hunt a polar bear and take the trophy home.
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  #71 (permalink)  
Old 01-10-2007
Active Citizen

 
Member Since: Dec 2006
Location: TX
Posts: 63

   
Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

In general, are more species extinct now than in 1945?

In general, is there more pollution now than in 1945?

In general, is there less open/unfenced land than in 1945?

Don't get caught up in the details. Look at the big picture. Humanity has to change.
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  #72 (permalink)  
Old 01-10-2007
kinetic's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by Conservationist View Post
In general, are more species extinct now than in 1945?
Do you have a source? I learned that many new species were discovered since 1945.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Conservationist View Post
In general, is there more pollution now than in 1945?
Los Angeles in 1979 had air quality that was sinful. The air today has improved greatly. We are improving to get better regarding pollution.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Conservationist View Post
In general, is there less open/unfenced land than in 1945?
What do fences have to do with Global Warming?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Conservationist View Post
Don't get caught up in the details. Look at the big picture. Humanity has to change.
Change what? Our underwear? Demanding change without spelling it out is unhelpful. What is it that you are seeking to change specifically?
Quote:
Climate change bearometer
January 10, 2007



Polar bear numbers are dwindling, Secretary of the Interior Dirk Kempthorne said in announcing his agency was moving to protect polar bears under the Endangered Species Act, because their habitat "may literally be melting." Scientific observations have shown that Arctic sea ice has thinned 32 percent in some areas from the 1960s and

One study found that nearly ice-free September conditions could be reached as early as 2040. While receding sea ice is the primary reason given for the threatened designation, the Interior Department said it would not do a scientific analysis of the causes of climate change because this is beyond the scope of the Endangered Species Act review process. As the federal government edges closer to protecting polar bears, it will become more difficult for it to continue to avoid taking steps to address climate change.
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  #73 (permalink)  
Old 01-10-2007
County Executive
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Maybe there are more polar bears due to preservation work, but 5,000 or 25,000 polar bears can drown for the same reasons, the ice caps are melting and they can't swim far enough to get to the next one, as is their nature.
  #74 (permalink)  
Old 01-10-2007
kinetic's Avatar
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by Samantha View Post
Maybe there are more polar bears due to preservation work, but 5,000 or 25,000 polar bears can drown for the same reasons, the ice caps are melting and they can't swim far enough to get to the next one, as is their nature.
Maybe we could train them to skip accross the water.

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  #75 (permalink)  
Old 01-10-2007
County Executive
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Member Since: Feb 2005
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Re: Polar Bears and the denial of Global Warming

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinetic View Post
Maybe we could train them to skip accross the water.
I guess,

if you can laugh about beautiful polar bears drowning....
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