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Environmental Issues Environment, Global Warming, Pollution, Natural Resources, Alternative Energy

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Old 01-20-2007
daisym daisym is offline
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Member Since: Mar 2004
Location: Australia
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PCs forecast climate future

This looks interesting to me, and I am sure that those who genuinely are interested in the issue of climate change will also find it interesting.

A BBC TV programme presented by David Attenborough this weekend is going to be looking at data collated from 250,000 PC's across 171 countries.

The findings are in line with those in the wider community.

I don't know if the programme will be screened in the US, but for those interested in the issue here is an excerpt from the article, and a link:

Quote:
The responses from this project have now been analysed by the team, which is funded by the Natural Environment Research Council and closely linked to Oxford University.

For 2020, the prediction is that temperatures in Britain will be about 1.2C warmer than in the 1970s, chosen as the baseline for this project.

Temperatures are already almost 1C warmer than in the 1970s, so the rise over the next decade or so will be small if the model is right.

In 2050, they will be about 2.5C higher than the 1970s; while by 2080, the figure could be 4C.

The predictions are not exact; and the further from the present day you look, the greater variability there is, so that by 2080 the rise could be as low as 2C or as high as 6C.

Along with higher temperatures the model predicts greater variability in rainfall, with increased risks of floods and of long dry periods.

"These figures basically support the scientific consensus at the moment," observed Dr Faull

"What makes it especially interesting is that we have included changes to the Sun's output, based on what it has done over the last century; and we find it doesn't make much difference.

"The idea that such changes could influence climate over and above the human influence we don't find very likely."
for the full article: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6268595.stm
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