Visit the U.S. Politics Online Discussion Forum Archives!

Sponsored by:

U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum  

Bookmark Us! E-Mail DONATE NOW! Photo Gallery Document Archives Quiz! Register to Vote!!!
Go Back   U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum > Issue Politics > Environmental Issues

Environmental Issues Environment, Global Warming, Pollution, Natural Resources, Alternative Energy

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #46 (permalink)  
Old 08-13-2007
erikvv's Avatar
erikvv erikvv is offline
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: Apr 2007
Location: Kingdom of the Netherlands
Posts: 2,457

Netherlands     European_Union

Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
The associated rise in food availability to feed 10 billion people will have to be matched by an appropriate rise in fossil fuels to produce and transport that food. Fossil fuels are finite and the peak-oil literature puts oil production in decline sometime over the next 50 years.
Easy solution: move the people closer to where the food is produced.

Quote:
We may get to ~10 billion and then see a rapid decline as more and more people starve to death.
keep dreaming andrew. People will give up all their other needs for food. If we would use all our resources for the production of food we could feed tens of billions more people.

Your pessimism is unfounded.
Reply With Quote
  #47 (permalink)  
Old 08-13-2007
JHC's Avatar
JHC JHC is offline
President
a cold, cold woman... and junebug sympathizer

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: Florida US
Posts: 10,538

United_States     Wyoming

Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by erikvv View Post
Easy solution: move the people closer to where the food is produced.



keep dreaming andrew. People will give up all their other needs for food. If we would use all our resources for the production of food we could feed tens of billions more people.

Your pessimism is unfounded.
I don't agree with this premise. People will give up other resources for their own food, (and their loved ones), but they will not willingly give them up for others. This is evidenced by the existing level of starvation.
__________________
...the government...is caving in...with their specious arguments couched in the...language of civil rights law, and that the churches ... likewise crumbling to...rhetoric which is nothing but heretical sophistry -- ~F Phelps
Platitudes like the one you offer are no different - and no less incorrect - than the jackass part-time Christian who says, "I'm going to heaven because I'm nice to people." It so misses the point.~Impugn
Reply With Quote
  #48 (permalink)  
Old 08-13-2007
Andrewl's Avatar
Andrewl Andrewl is offline
President

 
Member Since: Nov 2004
Location: Earth
Posts: 10,935

   
Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by erikvv View Post
keep dreaming andrew. People will give up all their other needs for food. If we would use all our resources for the production of food we could feed tens of billions more people.
Like all animals, we eat so we have energy to reproduce. Which means that if we stop all other activities besides food consumption and production, we will indeed feed billions of people, and those billions will have nothing to do but reproduce, which will guarantee a much higher population growth rate than we experienced all through the industrial revolution until now. There is a limit to how much food the earth can produce, im not sure what it is, but i see not point in converting all of the earths biomass into human-mass just to find out.

Andrew
__________________
Ethanol is a fabulous solution to our energy dilemma because it will provide more fuel for us to drive around and look for food.

-- Unknown

Last edited by Andrewl; 08-13-2007 at 01:28 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #49 (permalink)  
Old 08-13-2007
Andrewl's Avatar
Andrewl Andrewl is offline
President

 
Member Since: Nov 2004
Location: Earth
Posts: 10,935

   
Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by erikvv View Post
Easy solution: move the people closer to where the food is produced.

Well yes, that is a solution to keeping populations manageable. That is how people lived for million of years after all. Its only recently that people have their food grown in far off places and shipped to their dinner table. Im all for people relying exclusively on local food sources, that would be beautiful. It would also mean we stop shipping food in massive quantities to poor nations.... some people think that is cruel though.....

Andrew
__________________
Ethanol is a fabulous solution to our energy dilemma because it will provide more fuel for us to drive around and look for food.

-- Unknown
Reply With Quote
  #50 (permalink)  
Old 08-13-2007
SMadsen SMadsen is offline
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: Jan 2006
Location: Denmark
Posts: 2,995

    Denmark

Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrewl View Post
Like all animals, we eat so we have energy to reproduce. Which means that if we stop all other activities besides food consumption and production, we will indeed feed billions of people, and those billions will have nothing to do but reproduce, which will guarantee a much higher population growth rate than we experienced all through the industrial revolution until now.
Not so. Scarcity results in increased reproduction rates. Excess does the opposite, - it lowers reproduction rates.

That's observable in all organisms from maple trees to mice to humans. Same thing that governs reproduction rates in the rich and poor parts of the world.
Reply With Quote
  #51 (permalink)  
Old 08-13-2007
Andrewl's Avatar
Andrewl Andrewl is offline
President

 
Member Since: Nov 2004
Location: Earth
Posts: 10,935

   
Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by SMadsen View Post
Not so. Scarcity results in increased reproduction rates. Excess does the opposite, - it lowers reproduction rates.

That's observable in all organisms from maple trees to mice to humans. Same thing that governs reproduction rates in the rich and poor parts of the world.
Sure. But I was just imagining Erikv's scenario in which human beings stop all other activities besides food production and consumption. Under such circumstances i think the only thing left to do would be reproduction. (Why else we would be focusing on food production and nothing else>?)

also,

Rich nations are massive exporters of food to poor nations. This just keeps them in perpetual starvation out of charity. But it does allow them to reproduce in large numbers, making the next years famine even more severe, and so on...

So called 'poor' nations had easily manageable populations for thousands of years before colonialism. It was our conversion of their hunting lands into farm lands that screwed things up. (we decided they were not living right according to our standards.... )

Andrew
__________________
Ethanol is a fabulous solution to our energy dilemma because it will provide more fuel for us to drive around and look for food.

-- Unknown
Reply With Quote
  #52 (permalink)  
Old 08-14-2007
SMadsen SMadsen is offline
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: Jan 2006
Location: Denmark
Posts: 2,995

    Denmark

Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrewl View Post
Sure. But I was just imagining Erikv's scenario in which human beings stop all other activities besides food production and consumption. Under such circumstances i think the only thing left to do would be reproduction. (Why else we would be focusing on food production and nothing else>?)

also,

Rich nations are massive exporters of food to poor nations. This just keeps them in perpetual starvation out of charity. But it does allow them to reproduce in large numbers, making the next years famine even more severe, and so on...

So called 'poor' nations had easily manageable populations for thousands of years before colonialism. It was our conversion of their hunting lands into farm lands that screwed things up. (we decided they were not living right according to our standards.... )

Andrew
Nothing allows reproduction in large numbers. Things like food supplies can only allow or disallow survival, it can't allow or disallow reproduction. Reproduction in large numbers is triggered, - not allowed or disallowed.

It simply occurs when there's a prospect of a large number of fatalities. The bad news - or perhaps the good news if it concerns our own species - is that it doesn't matter if there's an actual rise in the number of fatalities. It's merely triggered by the expectation of increased fatality rates. So if a level of fatality rates can be indicated by certain harsh living conditions, reproduction rates will rise no matter if the survival rate is actually on the increase. And boom, increasingly or, at least, continued bad living conditions + increasing survival rates become the engine behind an exploding population.

Last edited by SMadsen; 08-14-2007 at 09:17 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #53 (permalink)  
Old 08-14-2007
Andrewl's Avatar
Andrewl Andrewl is offline
President

 
Member Since: Nov 2004
Location: Earth
Posts: 10,935

   
Re: The Population bomb- the world cannot eat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by SMadsen View Post
Nothing allows reproduction in large numbers. Things like food supplies can only allow or disallow survival, it can't allow or disallow reproduction. Reproduction in large numbers is triggered, - not allowed or disallowed.
In the imagined situation where all we do is produce and consume food i see no reason not to expect that reproduction rates would increase. Remember, there are no other activities besides food production. That is all i meant. Is it not true for every animal that increased food availability means increased population, which in turn is necessarily countered by decreased availability (as the growing space decreases) and decreased population. And so on the cycle goes.


Quote:
It simply occurs when there's a prospect of a large number of fatalities. The bad news - or perhaps the good news if it concerns our own species - is that it doesn't matter if there's an actual rise in the number of fatalities. It's merely triggered by the expectation of increased fatality rates. So if a level of fatality rates can be indicated by certain harsh living conditions, reproduction rates will rise no matter if the survival rate is actually on the increase. And boom, increasingly or, at least, continued bad living conditions + increasing survival rates become the engine behind an exploding population.
Food is the key though. Even under harsh conditions if there is no food availability there can be no increase in population.

Andrew
__________________
Ethanol is a fabulous solution to our energy dilemma because it will provide more fuel for us to drive around and look for food.

-- Unknown
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On




All times are GMT -7. The time now is 03:53 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SEO by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC6
Copyright © 2000 - 2008 U.S. Politics Online