Visit the U.S. Politics Online Discussion Forum Archives!

Sponsored by:

U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum  

Bookmark Us! E-Mail DONATE NOW! Photo Gallery Document Archives Quiz! Register to Vote!!!
Go Back   U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum > Issue Politics > Environmental Issues

Environmental Issues Environment, Global Warming, Pollution, Natural Resources, Alternative Energy

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #31 (permalink)  
Old 12-22-2007
Captain Trips Captain Trips is offline
President
Damage Inc.

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: Charon
Posts: 12,890

United_States     Antarctica

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
Is spudplanter an insult in American?

I apologise.

If Spadplanter were a Spudplanter he would be able to appreciate the impact of climate change on our environment.

I actually hadn't realised that I hade called him spudplanter - spadplanter doesn't mean anything to me, but spudplanter does, which is probably why I wrote the wrong word.

However Si Modo - you are free to interpret my posts in any way you see fit.

Over the years I have been coming here I have been able to maintain quite cordial relations with a number of posters with whom I have very different points of view. The problem seems to be yours, not mine.
Clever. Very clever. Good game of CYA (that's "cover your ass") you try to play.

That you assume we're all so stupid that we don't see right through it, shows your arrogance.

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
When you first came to USPO I thought, great, an intelligent poster,and another woman. We need more of both here.

Now I see you consorting with the likes of Captain Trips whose contribution to USPO over the past few years has been mainly to insult and bait other posters, and your style is reminiscent of Chiquita - another American woman who had issues with non American posters - especially women - in the same way you do (I have seen you attack Tethys and Sucre as well as myself).
Right. Tell us all about ME, the screen name I used to use, and have us ignore YOUR consistently snotty arrogance. If MY "contribution to USPO over the past few years has been mainly to insult and bait other posters..."

What do we say YOUR "contribution" has been ?

You haven't been snotty and arrogant ? You don't ignore things people say and don't address or answer their questions or points because it won't serve your arguments ? Of course you do.

YOU don't insult and bait other posters with snottiness and arrogant remarks ?

You, my dear "Daisy" have been one of the nastier posters in these categories I'VE come across here. I long AGO put YOU on ignore because I learned that addressing what you say was ALWAYS a complete waste of time.

That I'd only get insults and snottiness returned.

As you're doing HERE to Si Modo.

Who really IS intelligent BTW. (No, I'm not saying that because I always agree with her. I don't. Both ways.)

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
Probably the main point of difference is that you are a more educated version than Chiquita.

Quite frankly - I would prefer not to put someone like you on ignore, because you ARE intelligent and have some really valuable contributions to make to discussion here at USPO. I would like to be able to read your input, but virtually every response you make to a post of mine is bitchy and childish.

However, over the last month or so I find whenever I see a post from you that I am reminded of Oscar Wilde, when he said "Patriotism is the virtue of the vicious."
Might I suggest that you re-read a bit of your own writing ?

virtually every response you make to a post of mine is bitchy and childish.

Exactly (along with your snotty arrogance) why I put YOU on ignore :-)

And will keep you there. I'm sure you'll make something remarkable for us all now :-) Here it is. Have fun :-)
Reply With Quote
  #32 (permalink)  
Old 12-22-2007
Kijana's Avatar
Kijana Kijana is offline
Governor

 
Member Since: May 2005
Location: California
Posts: 576

   
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Captain Trips View Post
Name calling eh ?

I asked you if you were lazy, since you seemed unwilling to know the facts of this issue. You DID say:

...where is the data to support your conclusion? With so many scientists apparently disagreeing with the theory, there should be some solid evidence in the literature, right?

There is PLENTY. That you seem willfully ignorant of it no longer concerns me. I've wasted time arguing with your type before. It's ALWAYS a waste of time because you're not INTERESTED in facts.

Only unsubstantiated propoganda.

Si Modo DID say above:

...contrary to what the press and the propaganda reports, it would be refreshing to bring the level of hyperbole down several notches and actually look at the data and studies.

Which I agree with.
No, I asked for evidence and you gave me mostly op-ed pieces. That might be evidence in your world, not mine.

If you want to preach to your particular brand of the choir, go ahead, but leave me out of it. If you want to discuss the issue without the arrogant tone, I'll be here. The choice is yours.
__________________
He who learns but does not think is lost! He who thinks but does not learn is in great danger. --Confucius

Thus it is that in war the victorious strategist only seeks battle after the victory has been won, whereas he who is destined to defeat first fights and afterwards looks for victory.
--Sun Tzu

Smooth seas do not make skillful sailors.
--African proverb
Reply With Quote
  #33 (permalink)  
Old 12-22-2007
Si modo's Avatar
Si modo Si modo is offline
In a Garden of Eden
Buckeye by birth; Boilermaker by choice

 
Member Since: Jan 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 14,211
Blog Entries: 1

United_States    
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by WarOnIgnorance View Post
LOL.
Have you seen the residue after the decomposition into four intrinsic mode functions ? It's on page 117. It shows a linear increase of 0.4°C !

Furthermore, while they admit that their method is critically sensitive to the endpoints, they still extrapolate from them. And that extrapolation looks, especially in the case of IMF-1, as a textbook example of a chaotic bifurcation, which isn't surprising actually giving both the method and the effect are sensitive towards the initial conditions. Thus, at least IMF-1 is just a guess. Nothing more. It's the economists approach to data : add functions till it looks like the data.

Until they give a functional explanation for the residue, all they did is play with maths a bit and end up with a residue that is no more than a moving average of the signal....
Yet, they are models...just that...as are the basis of the doomsday predictions of the others that the politicians are so at ease to quote. It seems you missed my comment to Kijana about models.

Quote:
.... Do you think it's a coincidence that this sort of work comes from China where the rush to develop regardless of everything is the strongest ?...
As most of my colleagues are from China, I am not so easily proned to dismiss the work of those from that country or those educated there. I find that they are quite apt at science, otherwise they would not be working with me, nor I with them. I also know that my colleagues in the world would not dismiss my work as having a political agenda because of my location. It is sad that so many who dabble in this particular area are willing to do just that.

Quote:
.... Besides, this particular article, and a few more you linked I see, are published by the company that publishes Bild of all things (Springer-Verlach). The exact opposite of scientific credibility.

Edit: The other three articles are not free. Do you have access to the full text ? If so, is the methodology in them any better ? IOW, are they worth buying ?
My apologies. I made that post while at work and didn't consider access issues.

First of all, Springer is extremely reputable in the biological sciences, chemistry, and the medical sciences. Perhaps others are willing to dismiss this publishing house (who asks for reviewers...they are peer-reviewed journals), but my work would be limited if we allowed politics to dictate what publishers could be cited, rather than reputation based on the quality of the articles. Again, perhaps the political agenda is interfering with the science. Wiley is an American publishing house; so is the ACS (the ice-core article) - should these publishing houses be dismissed as well because the US opposes Kyoto?

Finally, I am obliged to respect copyrights. There would be potential ramifications for me if I violated those rules as we have strict policy at my place of work in this respect. If there is a specific question you have, I would be willing to (and within policy) to post an excerpt when I return to work on Wednesday.

And, all the articles are peer-reviewed.
__________________
I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them; speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition

Last edited by Si modo; 12-22-2007 at 10:55 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #34 (permalink)  
Old 12-22-2007
Si modo's Avatar
Si modo Si modo is offline
In a Garden of Eden
Buckeye by birth; Boilermaker by choice

 
Member Since: Jan 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 14,211
Blog Entries: 1

United_States    
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
I had noted that Calder was a statistician. I had also considered the situation WRT the Chinese geographers.

I had not realised the sources may be qustionable.
As they are peer-reviewed, I give more crediblity to the reviewers' questions than to yours. The articles are published, thus any questions the peers had have been addressed.
__________________
I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them; speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition
Reply With Quote
  #35 (permalink)  
Old 12-22-2007
Spadplanter's Avatar
Spadplanter Spadplanter is offline
Temporally Band

 
Member Since: May 2004
Location: Heaven
Posts: 8,689

United_States     Colorado

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by lostinacause
Most of the institutions, infrastructure and industries that are in place are there to deal with the current situation in place. This means that even if there are insignificant changes in sea levels and weather volatility there and people on average are not subject to worse conditions then there would still be considerable adjustment costs.
Sounds like a plea for the status quo to me. And what "adjustment costs" might those be? Especially those that would be incurred by "insignificant" changes?

Quote:
Originally Posted by lostinacause
My response was not a plea to maintain the status quo. It was only stating the obvious, that unless we are given a reason to think otherwise, the best guess at the ideal temperature would be the current temperature. It would be easy to complicate the response and perhaps I will do that tomorrow.
I find it abhorrent that you would consider making drastic changes in a mechanism that you don't understand based on "best guess". I knew someone that used to think that an uncooperative vehicle could be made cooperative by beating on the steering wheel. Another plea for the status quo.

Quote:
Originally Posted by lostinacause
Also a word of advice; by the worlds I used you should have realized that I have a sufficient background in the economics of the environment to know what I am talking about. Normal people typically don't use worlds like institutions and adjustment costs. I'm sure you also realize that your education in the relevant subject areas limits your ability to understand the issue. While this is fine, you should probably wait to imply insults. Better yet you should probably forgo implying insults altogether, though in this regard I know I am not one to talk.
And a "world" of advice back to you; I actually have used the word "Institution". If you intend any part of this comment to imply that you are more "educated" and therefore have unassailable knowledge, you have failed miserably. When I use "worlds", I use ones like "curmudgeon, kerfluffle, obfuscate, arrogance, ignorance, bloviate" and many others that apply to narrow-minded "educated" people whose education has been based on a fraud. I also use a spell checker, and usually proofread my posts. Next time you try a thinly veiled, condescending put-down, you might try to make it acceptable to a fifth-grade English class. As it is, you have pretty much knocked yourself out of the debate. Go take some more Algore lessons.
__________________

Last edited by Spadplanter; 12-22-2007 at 11:21 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #36 (permalink)  
Old 12-23-2007
Si modo's Avatar
Si modo Si modo is offline
In a Garden of Eden
Buckeye by birth; Boilermaker by choice

 
Member Since: Jan 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 14,211
Blog Entries: 1

United_States    
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Good God; another tedious task of responding to a Daisy post.
Quote:
Originally Posted by daisym View Post
Is spudplanter an insult in American?

I apologise.

If Spadplanter were a Spudplanter he would be able to appreciate the impact of climate change on our environment.

I actually hadn't realised that I hade called him spudplanter - spadplanter doesn't mean anything to me, but spudplanter does, which is probably why I wrote the wrong word....
Your feigned innocence is as credible as the pitch of a snake oil salesman. I wonder why you are apologizing to me and not Spadplanter?
Quote:
.... However Si Modo - you are free to interpret my posts in any way you see fit....
As have others. The list of those who have called you out on your snipes, etc. is quite long, so your claim that you are a victim of my interpretations alone is a non-starter.
Quote:
.... Over the years I have been coming here I have been able to maintain quite cordial relations with a number of posters with whom I have very different points of view. The problem seems to be yours, not mine....
Those on that ever-growing list will disagree with your attempts to project your issues onto me.
Quote:
.... When you first came to USPO I thought, great, an intelligent poster,and another woman. We need more of both here.

Now I see you consorting with the likes of Captain Trips (previously Thane) whose contribution to USPO over the past few years has been mainly to insult and bait other posters,...
Consorting? I’m wondering how you came to that conclusion. But, how very un-liberal of you to cast guilt onto others for the associations you imagine exist. Tsk, tsk. He is a chemist; I am a chemist. Yes, burn the witch!
Quote:
… and your style is reminiscent of Chiquita -...
As that member is completely unfamiliar to me, this means nothing to me.
Quote:
… who had issues with non American posters ...
*sigh* I wonder what makes you think I have “issues” with non-Americans? As you make this claim, back it up.
Quote:
… especially women - in the same way you do (I have seen you attack Tethys and Sucre as well as myself)….
Get this straight and get it now – I haven’t any issues with any other posters based on gender. I detest the tactic some women use to attempt to marginalize other women by claiming they are put-upon by that woman because of their own gender. I detest the tactic some women use of playing the victim card in this manner. It is weak, cowardly, and detrimental to any solidarity of true feminists. I won’t play into it, so sell it elsewhere. Expect to be called out on it each and every time you use it with me. You call it an attack; I call it correcting your false assumptions in a tone appropriate to the nature of your posts. As you don’t like my calling you out on it, don’t do it or suck it up and accept responsibility for your participation in your role as a victim.

If a woman cannot stand on her own without marginalizing another woman based on gender alone, then she is moving progress of feminism in the opposite direction. It makes other feminists work much harder as we must compensate for this type of crutch some women use in desperation.
Quote:
… but virtually every response you make to a post of mine is bitchy and childish….
I imagine if you wouldn't allow your ideological differences to make you blind to the content of my responses to you (and many others who have responded to you similarly), you may have some actual insight into why you are such a victim of your own actions.
Quote:
…. However, over the last month or so I find whenever I see a post from you that I am reminded of Oscar Wilde, when he said "Patriotism is the virtue of the vicious."
Yes, Daisy, we all are aware of how put-upon you are by my “viciousness”. It must be difficult being such a victim of imaginary crimes.

At this point, I will view future posts of this nature by you as baiting. I resent the tedious task of correcting your false assumptions about what I post and who I am.
__________________
I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them; speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition

Last edited by Si modo; 12-23-2007 at 12:41 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #37 (permalink)  
Old 12-23-2007
WarOnIgnorance's Avatar
WarOnIgnorance WarOnIgnorance is offline
.

 
Member Since: Nov 2005
Location: Sol III
Posts: 4,448

Earth    
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Yet, they are models...just that...as are the basis of the doomsday predictions of the others that the politicians are so at ease to quote. It seems you missed my comment to Kijana about models.
I only read the articles you linked. I supposed it was the only substantial thing in the thread. The days that I read every post in every thread are long gone.

Am I to understand that you admit this particular article is a sloppy piece of work ? I even missed its biggest problem, probably because it's not even hinted at in the article. Where are the physical explanations for IMF 1-4 ? To which natural occurences correspond these "quasi-periodic" functions ? Until there is at least a hypothesis (in the scientific sense) that explains these oscillations and gives a physical basis for their existence, the whole thing is just Masturbating with Maths.
I note that you haven't responded to the actual substance of the critique of the article so far.

This isn't just a 'model'. It's a lousy model. If you want to use it to suggest that all models are lousy, then that is most unscientific of you. If you want to attack any model that is used as corroborating evidence for climate change, please present it actually and completely, so it can be assessed scientifically and unblemished by any political, popularizing or vulgarizing influences.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
As most of my colleagues are from China, I am not so easily proned to dismiss the work of those from that country or those educated there. I find that they are quite apt at science, otherwise they would not be working with me, nor I with them. I also know that my colleagues in the world would not dismiss my work as having a political agenda because of my location. It is sad that so many who dabble in this particular area are willing to do just that.
It's not sloppy because it's Chinese. I observe that it is sloppy because of its scientific failures. Connecting it to its origin is but a consequential hypothesis as to the reason why it is sloppy.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
First of all, Springer is extremely reputable in the biological sciences, chemistry, and the medical sciences. Perhaps others are willing to dismiss this publishing house (who asks for reviewers...they are peer-reviewed journals), but my work would be limited if we allowed politics to dictate what publishers could be cited, rather than reputation based on the quality of the articles. Again, perhaps the political agenda is interfering with the science. Wiley is an American publishing house; so is the ACS (the ice-core article) - should these publishing houses be dismissed as well because the US opposes Kyoto?
I know they're peer reviewed. I read the article and most of the publisher's site. However, in these days of extreme specialization, it's -how shall I put this- unusual to find an article on climatology, done by a Department of Geology, in an edition published by a company that is reputable for "biological sciences, chemistry, and the medical sciences". Why isn't it in a journal for climatology ? Not accepted ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Finally, I am obliged to respect copyrights. There would be potential ramifications for me if I violated those rules as we have strict policy at my place of work in this respect. If there is a specific question you have, I would be willing to (and within policy) to post an excerpt when I return to work on Wednesday.
Mighty nice of you, but nothing short of the full article would satisfy me. I don't do abridgements, extracts or Executive Summaries. Thanks anyway.
__________________
"Say not, 'When I have free time I shall study'; for you may perhaps never have any free time"
Hillel the Elder
Reply With Quote
  #38 (permalink)  
Old 12-23-2007
moon's Avatar
moon moon is offline
President
caçador dos roedores

 
Member Since: Mar 2004
Location: Cyberia
Posts: 15,549

Portugal     Brazil

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Si modo;
Quote:
Your feigned innocence is as credible as the pitch of a snake oil salesman
What rot. I've only just realised that the guy isn't called 'Spudplanter' myself.
There ought to be a separate forum for Triviality and Minutiae. It would, of course, require a very small-minded and overconscientious mod.
Reply With Quote
  #39 (permalink)  
Old 12-23-2007
Captain Trips Captain Trips is offline
President
Damage Inc.

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: Charon
Posts: 12,890

United_States     Antarctica

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kijana View Post
No, I asked for evidence and you gave me mostly op-ed pieces. That might be evidence in your world, not mine.

If you want to preach to your particular brand of the choir, go ahead, but leave me out of it. If you want to discuss the issue without the arrogant tone, I'll be here. The choice is yours.
I'll apologize for my tone and hypocrisy at times (I'll admit that knowing damn well some WON'T).

The fact is, is that we really don't know all we need to know about this yet.

Sure, we all have our opinions.

You know what they say about opinions :-)

My advice to all.

Relax over the "holdays."

Stay outta this joint :-) ...sometimes I have to to relax. My reactive nature at times LOL
Reply With Quote
  #40 (permalink)  
Old 12-23-2007
Captain Trips Captain Trips is offline
President
Damage Inc.

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: Charon
Posts: 12,890

United_States     Antarctica

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Good God; another tedious task of responding to a Daisy post.

........................
Don't waste your time with it. I did. I should know better.

Not perfect I am :-)
Reply With Quote
  #41 (permalink)  
Old 12-23-2007
Spadplanter's Avatar
Spadplanter Spadplanter is offline
Temporally Band

 
Member Since: May 2004
Location: Heaven
Posts: 8,689

United_States     Colorado

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon View Post
Si modo;
What rot. I've only just realised that the guy isn't called 'Spudplanter' myself.
.
As I've just noticed yours isn't "moron". You can't read the 24 point type above every post, but you think everything else you say should be given the utmost consideration, as it comes from the Great and Wonderful Moon. Nice try. The Hillary campaign needs more people like you.

You ever going to deal with the topic or just continue to throw insults and innuendo?
__________________
Reply With Quote
  #42 (permalink)  
Old 12-24-2007
lostinacause lostinacause is offline
Governor

 
Member Since: Oct 2007
Location: In transition
Posts: 499

Canada    
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Really? Nice implication you slide in there, but not very clever. I'm curious to see what you think I'm claiming. Do tell.
Sorry, that was not what I had meant to say. I was commenting on the whether the abstracts supported the “consensus” on whether greenhouse gasses affect global temperatures. If I am not mistaken the first article states that greenhouse gasses do have a deterministic effect but that effect is overshadowed by a cyclical component. This would imply that greenhouse gasses still have an effect. An interpretation of this is that weather consists of both cyclic components and a deterministic component. While, if this model represents reality, the results in the IPCC may be overstated, according to the paper the effect still exists. This is a contradiction of the initial article, the message of which you seem to be supporting.

I reached the wrong conclusion on what another paper was saying.
Reply With Quote
  #43 (permalink)  
Old 12-27-2007
lostinacause lostinacause is offline
Governor

 
Member Since: Oct 2007
Location: In transition
Posts: 499

Canada    
Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Captain Trips View Post
And WHO are these "anointed ones" we should have decide what "decisions" we should make and actions we should take ?

Based on almost complete ignorance.

Non scientist, idiot politicains like Al Gore who threw a Michael Moore style propoganda movie together ?

Do tell us.

Otherwise, get to work. This is something we know very LITTLE about.

Is there any point wasting time blabbing about something you know almost nothing about on the internet ?

Get to work
Shall I take the words "Bullshit removed" to mean that you don't have a suitable counter argument? The things that you first commented on are basic facts. Everybody in the developed world should know that without the greenhouse gasses in our atmosphere the earth would be uninhabitable. At the same time everybody should know that if the concentration of greenhouse gases, particularly methane, was greatly increased the earth would get too hot to sustain life. The question is what happens for somewhat smaller changes, or looking it in another way, what change in greenhouse gas is sufficiently large?

The comments on political choice under uncertainty by no means common knowledge but are by no means "bullshit".

As far as who should make the decisions on what actions should be taken, it unfortunately comes down to a political choice. Our politicians should be making choices based on some reasonable understanding of the issue at hand. That choice consider the economic case by examining the stochastic cost of greenhouse gas emissions and the cost of action. Obviously Al Gore should not have decision making power given the nature of his stance on the issue.

I don't understand the "get to work" comments. There are a number of complicated processes that we have a limited understanding of. Certainly even an economist's understanding of economics is quite limited. At the same time I am willing to bet you have made comments about economic topics. By the same token you should devote your whole life to the study of economics until you understand it completely.
Reply With Quote
  #44 (permalink)  
Old 12-27-2007
Captain Trips Captain Trips is offline
President
Damage Inc.

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: Charon
Posts: 12,890

United_States     Antarctica

Re: The Debate Really IS over... NOT!

Quote:
Originally Posted by lostinacause View Post
.......................................

As far as who should make the decisions on what actions should be taken, it unfortunately comes dow