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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 06-26-2008
Alex Alex is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
There's nothing in the OP which suggests that warming, if it's true, is not simply a natural occurance, which would happen if we were here or not.

There's an interesting table on this website: http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0001416.html

35 states recorded standing record high temperatures prior to 1940. Three states have standing record high temperatures which were recorded in the 19th century. Only six have standing records recorded in the 1990's, and not a single record high temperature has been recorded in this century.

California saw its' record high temperature recorded (134 degrees) in 1913, when there were roughly 2.3 million people living in the state. In 2007, there were over 35 million people here. I don't have the numbers, but I'd be willing to bet that there were more cars polluting the air in 2007 than there were in 1913, and far less industry.

If that table is accurate, it has to call into question the accuracy of the global warming argument. We're always told that the way we live; the way we drive and our consumption of fossil fuels, is contributing to global warming.

If that's true, why were the majority of record high temperatures set when there were far fewer automobiles on the road, less industry and, all around, less of the bad stuff that global warming fans tell us is causing it all?
The answer is simple - because Al Gore said so. Refuse to believe at your own peril. Today's environmental AGW-zealots have nothing on the Spanish Inquisition. If you disagree with the AGW theory you are a branded a heretic and should be burned at the stake (A carbon neutral stake of course - they'll buy a carbon offset from Al Gore)!!!!
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  #17 (permalink)  
Old 06-28-2008
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Steve Steve is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex View Post
The answer is simple - because Al Gore said so. Refuse to believe at your own peril. Today's environmental AGW-zealots have nothing on the Spanish Inquisition. If you disagree with the AGW theory you are a branded a heretic and should be burned at the stake (A carbon neutral stake of course - they'll buy a carbon offset from Al Gore)!!!!
Just thought I'd bump this up to see if any of our left-leaning global warming types would care to comment on it...
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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 06-28-2008
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Si modo Si modo is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
Just thought I'd bump this up to see if any of our left-leaning global warming types would care to comment on it...
If Hansen has his way, this heresy will be a crime. It makes me wonder if the data can stand on its own or if the hyperbole is needed to scare the non-scientists into a militant frenzy for support. Any hyperbole makes me look into the work with a more critical eye. I am not alone in that attitude.
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Last edited by Si modo; 06-28-2008 at 06:41 PM.
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  #19 (permalink)  
Old 06-28-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
If Hansen has his way, this heresy will be a crime. It makes me wonder if the data can stand on its own or if the hyperbole is needed to scare the non-scientists into a militant frenzy for support. Any hyperbole makes me look into the work with a more critical eye. I am not alone in that attitude.
The data is what it is. Every record high temperature in each of the United States was recorded long before there was the population, number of cars, and industry that there is today.

I've not found anything similar for other parts of the world, but there's no reason to expect it would be remarkably different...
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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 06-28-2008
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goober goober is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
Just thought I'd bump this up to see if any of our left-leaning global warming types would care to comment on it...
What comment on cherry picked data?
You will be able to swim at the North Pole this summer, but some town recorded a high temperature in 1912 so that balances it out.
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 06-28-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

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Originally Posted by goober View Post
What comment on cherry picked data?
You will be able to swim at the North Pole this summer, but some town recorded a high temperature in 1912 so that balances it out.
You don't find anything significant in the fact that all of the record high temps in the US were recorded well before our overall consumption of resources started?
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 06-28-2008
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TwoDrop TwoDrop is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
Just thought I'd bump this up to see if any of our left-leaning global warming types would care to comment on it...
I've been following environmental issues for nearly 20 years now and not until global climate change became such hotkey words did anyone really care much about what scientists have been warning us.

My position is that there are many really significant environmental issues that need to be addressed, some have to do with climate some do not. It's often hard for scientists to get the message across to the people who need to listen and be aware but all through the environmental movement over the past 30-40 years nothing has moved people like climate change talk whether they agree with it or disagree with it.

It seems now the climate change movement is the flagship for all environmental issues. If people need proof that human development is linked with every type of environmental problem out there then take the whole tarmac paradox for example; long term temperature monitoring may be skewed by the fact that developed areas absorb more heat. There is much more information about industrialization and urban sprawl that can be gleaned from lack of ability to make accurate assumptions about climate.
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 06-29-2008
ViolaLee ViolaLee is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

People are just afraid. Some who are afraid want to try to stop the damage before it's too late. Others who are afraid just deny it's happening.

Either way, we have 380 parts per million of carbon in the atmosphere. 350 is the tipping point. We were there about 10 years ago. If we don't get back to 350 soon, we won't be able to stop the harm.

America cannot turn the tide without the rest of the world, but the rest of the world can't do it without America on board. It's long past time our country took this seriously and started making some changes.
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 07-02-2008
Oreo Oreo is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheStripey1 View Post
Let's discuss the science... shall we? Anyone have a problem with the AP? They're a solid source in my book...



which side are you on?

Those that believe global climate change is happening or those that don't believe it is?

I'm in the former... you?

Our climate changes all the time. We have 4 seasons that prove it. The debate is: Is it man that is at fault for climate change, or now the hysteria over global warming?

My problem is--that man has only been recording daily weather conditions for the last 150 or so years. Our planet is millions of years old--according to science.

Yet--the global warming scientists base their global warming stats on a very minut amount of known intelligence regarding global cooling & warming periods.

We know we came out of an ice age, & the globe warmed. Man had nothing to do with that.

I don't believe man can stop hurricanes, tornadoes, or the snow from falling, or control heavy rains or drought periods.

With the lack of knowledge of what the climate was like from just 200 years ago, it's a little hard to put all this faith into the reasons for global warming today. Other than it is a natural part of the ever changing planet earth.

Who knows, in 10 years we may undergo a cooling period--& get hysterical over that too?

Last edited by Oreo; 07-02-2008 at 08:50 PM.
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  #25 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by ViolaLee View Post
America cannot turn the tide without the rest of the world, but the rest of the world can't do it without America on board. It's long past time our country took this seriously and started making some changes.
And the only way it works is if the rest of the world follows.

Spend some time in some of the world's less developed countries, and you'll quickly realize that it won't happen any time soon...
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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008
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goober goober is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve View Post
You don't find anything significant in the fact that all of the record high temps in the US were recorded well before our overall consumption of resources started?
One datapoint, the highest temperature ever recorded in a state, is a pretty small dataset, highly dependent on local conditions being just right to trap heat at one particular location.

So I don't think that 35 datapoints is enough to cast doubt on the amount of data that seems to indicate AGW is actually taking place.
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by goober View Post
One datapoint, the highest temperature ever recorded in a state, is a pretty small dataset, highly dependent on local conditions being just right to trap heat at one particular location.

So I don't think that 35 datapoints is enough to cast doubt on the amount of data that seems to indicate AGW is actually taking place.
I don't agree with you, and I think it's certainly a data set which should be considered.

But I appreciate your candor...
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008
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Imperator Imperator is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

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Originally Posted by goober View Post
What comment on cherry picked data?
You will be able to swim at the North Pole this summer, but some town recorded a high temperature in 1912 so that balances it out.
yes and the issue is goober a million years ago the very same thing had happened and so friggin what? but because it NOW and the temp. has gone up what, a 1/4 a degree, we should start packing for the moon......

You know seriously, everyone needs to sand back for a minute, imagine if you will, looking a the timeline on the floor in a large building or out doors where you have enough space and clear your head, totally outside yourself, at least try and drop pre conceived judgments, and start at say 1950's and there after as on a number line add in all the forecasted environmental/ecological scares/events that took place and where all supposed, at the time, to be the real deal......

Its staggering AND informative, the take away from this is I believe is- there is NO consensus, nor has there ever been nor shall there be when it comes to making predictions on a scale as huge as this as every 25-30 years the event(s) being prognosticated in fact changes....in 20 years, we will look back at this and there will be another marker on the line that says the “ gore GW binge”...the only question left is what then will be the flavor of the decade and how badly will we have damaged ourselves following the unproven and emotionally suspect advent of the latest fad. ?
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008
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Steve Steve is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

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Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
yes and the issue is goober a million years ago the very same thing had happened and so friggin what? but because it NOW and the temp. has gone up what, a 1/4 a degree, we should start packing for the moon......
The question has to be asked: If humans are to blame for global warming, how the fuck did the Earth ever come out of the Ice Age?

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  #30 (permalink)  
Old 07-03-2008
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Jefe Jefe is offline
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Imperator View Post
You know seriously, everyone needs to sand back for a minute, imagine if you will, looking a the timeline on the floor in a large building or out doors where you have enough space and clear your head, totally outside yourself, at least try and drop pre conceived judgments, and start at say 1950's and there after as on a number line add in all the forecasted environmental/ecological scares/events that took place and where all supposed, at the time, to be the real deal......
Hey, you sound like Carl Segan! I seem to remember him displaying this concept of time in his Cosmos series, or maybe it was some other program. It went something like: Lay out the history of the Earth on a long timeline, say the length of a football field. If the planet was created at one goal line, mankind didn't come along until the last half inch before the opposite goal line.

The concept of very long lengths of time can be hard for people to grasp. Segan had a great knack for simple analogies that made things easier to understand.
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