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Old 06-25-2008
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TheStripey1 TheStripey1 is offline
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Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Let's discuss the science... shall we? Anyone have a problem with the AP? They're a solid source in my book...

Quote:
Extreme weather to increase with climate change
By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID, AP Science Writer
Thu Jun 19


WASHINGTON - Droughts will get dryer, storms will get stormier and floods will get deeper with changing climate, a government research report said Thursday. Events that have seemed relatively rare will become commonplace, said the latest report from the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, a joint effort of more than a dozen government agencies.

There has been an increase in the frequency of heavy downpours, especially over northern states, and these are likely to continue in the future, Thomas R. Karl, director of the National Climatic Data Center, said in a briefing.

For example, Karl said, by the end of this century rainfall amounts expected to occur every 20 years could be taking place every five years.

...snip

At the same time heavy rains increase, there'll be more droughts, especially in the Southwest, Karl said.

"When it rains, it rains harder and when it's not raining, it's warmer — there is more evaporation, and droughts can last longer," he explained.

The Southwestern drought that began in 1999 is beginning to rival some of the greatest droughts on record including those of the 1930s and 1950s, he added.

...snip

It's not getting as cold at night as it did in earlier decades and there are fewer nights with frosts, a trend expected to continue into the future, Meehl said.

"A day so hot that it is experienced only once every 20 years would occur every three years by the middle of the century," under the mid-range projections of climate models, the report said.

...snip
which side are you on?

Those that believe global climate change is happening or those that don't believe it is?

I'm in the former... you?
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Old 06-25-2008
daddio daddio is online now
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

so since we've been cooling for the last 7-8 years what does that do ?
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheStripey1 View Post
Let's discuss the science... shall we? Anyone have a problem with the AP? They're a solid source in my book...



which side are you on?

Those that believe global climate change is happening or those that don't believe it is?

I'm in the former... you?
I make my judgement based o peer reviewed research. This is a news item. So, there really is not much to say except science has no side and politics apparently do. Try not to mix the two bacuse those that do tend to make themselves or their "data" look pretty silly.
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by daddio View Post
so since we've been cooling for the last 7-8 years what does that do ?
not where I live here in hot and dry California... where do you live?

but hey, I'm easy... ask anyone here...

got a credible link supporting your claim? or do you think I should just believe you just because you say it is so?

sorry, but that dog don't hunt...

Quote:
NASA warming scientist: 'This is the last chance'
By SETH BORENSTEIN, AP Science Writer
Posted Mon Jun 23, 2008


...snip

The year of Hansen's original testimony was the world's hottest year on record. Since then, 14 years have been hotter, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

...snip
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
I make my judgement based o peer reviewed research. This is a news item. So, there really is not much to say except science has no side and politics apparently do. Try not to mix the two bacuse those that do tend to make themselves or their "data" look pretty silly.
Quote:
There has been an increase in the frequency of heavy downpours, especially over northern states, and these are likely to continue in the future, Thomas R. Karl, director of the National Climatic Data Center, said in a briefing.
kinda looks like Thomas Karl might be a scientist... but hey... I could be wrong... nevertheless... either you believe there is a climate change taking place or you don't...

so which is it for you?
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheStripey1 View Post
kinda looks like Thomas Karl might be a scientist... but hey... I could be wrong... nevertheless... either you believe there is a climate change taking place or you don't...

so which is it for you?
It's a news article. Do you have anything peer-reviewed since you are trying to discuss science? I don't mix science with politics.
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
It's a news article. Do you have anything peer-reviewed since you are trying to discuss science? I don't mix science with politics.
You are making this too hard on poor stripey! How dare you question Al Gore and his false science!! Why do you hate the earth? Are you a racist too?
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex View Post
You are making this too hard on poor stripey! How dare you question Al Gore and his false science!! Why do you hate the earth? Are you a racist too?
Whale blubber smeared on an English muffin is normal breakfast fare for me.
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I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them, speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

You mean you are looking for a consensus?
Quote:
The drafting of such reports and statements involves many opportunities for comment, criticism, and revision, and it is not likely that they would diverge greatly from the opinions of the societies' members. Nevertheless, they might downplay legitimate dissenting opinions. That hypothesis was tested by analyzing 928 abstracts, published in refereed scientific journals between 1993 and 2003, and listed in the ISI database with the keywords "climate change" (9).

The 928 papers were divided into six categories: explicit endorsement of the consensus position, evaluation of impacts, mitigation proposals, methods, paleoclimate analysis, and rejection of the consensus position. Of all the papers, 75% fell into the first three categories, either explicitly or implicitly accepting the consensus view; 25% dealt with methods or paleoclimate, taking no position on current anthropogenic climate change. Remarkably, none of the papers disagreed with the consensus position.
BEYOND THE IVORY TOWER: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change -- Oreskes 306 (5702): 1686 -- Science

No peer reviewed papers that disagreed with the consensus on Global Warming.

It's like evolution all over again...................
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by goober View Post
You mean you are looking for a consensus?

BEYOND THE IVORY TOWER: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change -- Oreskes 306 (5702): 1686 -- Science

No peer reviewed papers that disagreed with the consensus on Global Warming.

It's like evolution all over again...................
No, Goober. I'm laughing at the idea of a consensus in the scientific community. It's pretty funny.
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I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them, speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
No, Goober. I'm laughing at the idea of a consensus in the scientific community. It's pretty funny.
Well, there is never going to be an issue where everyone in a community as broadly defined as "the scientific community" agrees completely. But you asked for "peer reviewed" and if you look at 928 peer reviewed papers and exactly none of them reject the AGW theory. That's about as close to consensus as you are going to get.


I mean, There actually is a "peer reviewed" creationist journal.
Creationists launch peer-reviewed journal | Tech news blog - CNET News.com
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“The thought of his being president sends a cold chill down my spine.”

Senator Thad Cochran, Mississippi (R)
on McCain

“I decided I didn’t want this guy anywhere near a trigger.”
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on McCain

“My anger did not help my campaign ... People don’t like angry candidates very much.”

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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by goober View Post
Well, there is never going to be an issue where everyone in a community as broadly defined as "the scientific community" agrees completely. But you asked for "peer reviewed" and if you look at 928 peer reviewed papers and exactly none of them reject the AGW theory. That's about as close to consensus as you are going to get.


I mean, There actually is a "peer reviewed" creationist journal.
Creationists launch peer-reviewed journal | Tech news blog - CNET News.com
Um, Goobs, there are much more than just 928 peer-reviewed publications on global warming. That would be like me saying 6,268 cars in DC are blue, thus cars are blue.

If you reaaaaaaaallllllly want to see them, I will be more than happy to provide you with references. If it will stop your silly idea of science being done by consensus, I can do that.
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I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them, speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition
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Old 06-25-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

There's nothing in the OP which suggests that warming, if it's true, is not simply a natural occurance, which would happen if we were here or not.

There's an interesting table on this website: http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0001416.html

35 states recorded standing record high temperatures prior to 1940. Three states have standing record high temperatures which were recorded in the 19th century. Only six have standing records recorded in the 1990's, and not a single record high temperature has been recorded in this century.

California saw its' record high temperature recorded (134 degrees) in 1913, when there were roughly 2.3 million people living in the state. In 2007, there were over 35 million people here. I don't have the numbers, but I'd be willing to bet that there were more cars polluting the air in 2007 than there were in 1913, and far less industry.

If that table is accurate, it has to call into question the accuracy of the global warming argument. We're always told that the way we live; the way we drive and our consumption of fossil fuels, is contributing to global warming.

If that's true, why were the majority of record high temperatures set when there were far fewer automobiles on the road, less industry and, all around, less of the bad stuff that global warming fans tell us is causing it all?

Last edited by Steve; 06-25-2008 at 10:05 PM.
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Old 06-26-2008
TSGracchus TSGracchus is online now
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Um, Goobs, there are much more than just 928 peer-reviewed publications on global warming. That would be like me saying 6,268 cars in DC are blue, thus cars are blue.

If you reaaaaaaaallllllly want to see them, I will be more than happy to provide you with references. If it will stop your silly idea of science being done by consensus, I can do that.
I'm just going to point out before moving on that the article he linked was itself published in Science, which is the publication of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and is itself peer-reviewed.
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Old 06-26-2008
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Re: Extreme weather to increase with climate change

Quote:
Originally Posted by TSGracchus View Post
I'm just going to point out before moving on that the article he linked was itself published in Science, which is the publication of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and is itself peer-reviewed.
And I'll point out that articles in Science are. That piece is not an article.
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