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  #106 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
ViPER's Avatar
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
There rarely is proof of much of anything in science. We are stuck with falsifiability and we go with that.

You are free to believe as you wish, of course. But, I do hope more persons give this subject some critical thought.

I just hope that those who are making decisions for you and me are making them on something other than a belief. We should not only expect that from those who govern us, we should demand it.
only one problem with what your saying - if there are two side to this coin, either is a belief.
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  #107 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
President

 
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by ViPER View Post
only one problem with what your saying - if there are two side to this coin, either is a belief.
It's not an either/or situation, Viper. If the coin lands on it's side, there is no conclusion. In this case, the coin is on it's side.
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  #108 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
President

 
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by ViPER View Post
Ok - let's put together some questions for those who are not sure.

this should be fun!

GW FAQ

1. If global warming is man made, who invented it?...
Huh?

Quote:
.... 2. If I produce 50 billion metric tons in a year will that make me sick?...
50 billion metric tons of what? If you mean CO2, then the answer is it depends.

Quote:
.... 3. Co2 is a greenhouse gas - If we make more greenhouse gas won't that make the Earth more Green?...
I can't think you are serious at this point, so I'll pass on any further serious treatment of this post.
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  #109 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
ViPER's Avatar
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
It's not an either/or situation, Viper. If the coin lands on it's side, there is no conclusion. In this case, the coin is on it's side.
lol - i invoke the 50-50 clause. If you don't know or can not draw an informed conclusion, then it is or it is not. placing the odds at 50% chance either way.
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  #110 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Obviously, if one wishes to use analogies, appropriate ones have much more weight. Your analogy isn't even close and I suspect you have no idea what the position of "the other side" is.
If you could explain it for me, it would be a big help, because the argument mostly devolves into who can be more clever at dismissing the other one.

My bent is more about "moral values" than in science, which is like you said, going with falsifiability.

What I'm saying is that from a moral standpoint, should we not be in the business of keeping our planet clean rather than the business of dirtying it?
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  #111 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason Marcel View Post
If you could explain it for me, it would be a big help, because the argument mostly devolves into who can be more clever at dismissing the other one.

My bent is more about "moral values" than in science, which is like you said, going with falsifiability.

What I'm saying is that from a moral standpoint, should we not be in the business of keeping our planet clean rather than the business of dirtying it?
Are you trying to insinuate that CO2 is dirty?

How do you define "dirty" in this context?
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  #112 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
ViPER's Avatar
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Huh?

50 billion metric tons of what? If you mean CO2, then the answer is it depends.

I can't think you are serious at this point, so I'll pass on any further serious treatment of this post.
look - with all things considered, it would be prudent to start to reduce our production of man made green house gases. the benefits (As i mentioned before - new green industries - new jobs - learning to coexists with nature in the delicate biosphere Earth - or maybe no effect) far out way any possible negative outcome (e.g. loss of petroleum profits, mass extinction, etc.)
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  #113 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

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Originally Posted by hairballxavier View Post
Are you trying to insinuate that CO2 is dirty?
man made - it is lawfully a pollutant.
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  #114 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
President

 
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason Marcel View Post
If you could explain it for me, it would be a big help,..
Here are three of my posts which say basically the same thing:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Actually, I meant it's unfortunate in the sense of his making a solid point. It would be nice if the science were at such a point. Because of the push for high-impact policies, we really should be making these sorts of decisions on more solid conclusions.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
When non-scientists use the science inappropriately to effect a policy of their liking, then everyone is done a disservice. You appear to be assuming some conclusion. However, the science itself does not support that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
No, that's not what I'm saying.

I'm saying the state of the science does not allow for a conclusion. Man's contribution may be negligible, it may not be. We don't know with any reasonable certainty.

Extending this, I think it is beyond irresponsible and reactionary to make policy based on such inconclusive science.
Let me know what is unclear about these posts and/or needs more clarification, and we can go from there.

Eagleseven has also made some similar points. As has the Packers fan.

Quote:
... because the argument mostly devolves into who can be more clever at dismissing the other one....
I don't know what is exactly so clever about looking at the science with a scientific approach. On the contrary, it's not too clever at all, as it is quite easy to be consistent from a scientific view.

Quote:
.... My bent is more about "moral values" than in science, which is like you said, going with falsifiability....
This is a scientific issue. I have no idea what the principle of falsifiability and morals have to do with each other. I also have no idea what morals have to do with science and its rational analysis. Sure, we have ethics, but that is a whole other topic (and field).

Quote:
.... What I'm saying is that from a moral standpoint, should we not be in the business of keeping our planet clean rather than the business of dirtying it?
In principle, we do agree on that. However, there is much more to evaluating environmental policy (or any policy for that matter) than such simplistic approaches.

Last edited by Si modo; 05-04-2009 at 05:10 PM. Reason: added "This is a scientific issue."
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  #115 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

So after 8 pages I'm in. No one (well, no one with any sense) is saying we shouldn't try to reduce the amount of GHG put into the atmosphere. What the prudent are saying is we should not do it at the destruction of our standard of living and without any thought to the economic consequences. If there are economical ways of implementing "greener" technology, than we should implement them. There are some and they are making their way into the market. It takes time but you people want it now. It won't happen no matter how much the scientists tell us the sky is falling. So for greener technology, one problem is we have the government trying to dictate the winners and losers of these technologies instead of the market. (remember what happened to the price of food worldwide when they pushed for ethanol?) In addition, they want to place huge tax burdens on the energy and manufacturing industries which will inevitably be passed on to the consumer. Just as you promote an equilibrium for the GHGs, there also must be an equilibrium for the economics.
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  #116 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason Marcel View Post
If you could explain it for me, it would be a big help, because the argument mostly devolves into who can be more clever at dismissing the other one.

My bent is more about "moral values" than in science, which is like you said, going with falsifiability.

What I'm saying is that from a moral standpoint, should we not be in the business of keeping our planet clean rather than the business of dirtying it?
God made the covenant with man to protect the Earth.
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  #117 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
President

 
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor Who View Post
So after 8 pages I'm in. No one (well, no one with any sense) is saying we shouldn't try to reduce the amount of GHG put into the atmosphere. What the prudent are saying is we should not do it at the destruction of our standard of living and without any thought to the economic consequences. If there are economical ways of implementing "greener" technology, than we should implement them. There are some and they are making their way into the market. It takes time but you people want it now. It won't happen no matter how much the scientists tell us the sky is falling. So for greener technology, one problem is we have the government trying to dictate the winners and losers of these technologies instead of the market. (remember what happened to the price of food worldwide when they pushed for ethanol?) In addition, they want to place huge tax burdens on the energy and manufacturing industries which will inevitably be passed on to the consumer. Just as you promote an equilibrium for the GHGs, there also must be an equilibrium for the economics.
I agree, except for the part about the case where the science is conclusive. If the science were conclusive that we are heading to our doom, I would say damn the torpedos and go balls to the wall to fix it.

Another issue that concerns me is the economics about implementation of some of these green policies. It appears that some of the economic analyses are not very attractive (but that is not my field at all): Climate Economics
Quote:
Costs of cutting carbon: A margin of error as big as the economy of the Netherlands
Monday, February 2, 2009

A panel of economics experts surveyed by the U.S. Government Accountability Office concluded that estimates of the costs of climate change programs is more useful to policy makers than estimates of the potential benefits. This is because policy costs would occur immediately, but the benefits–if any–would occur decades in the future.

In the past year, a variety of studies by organizations supportive of aggressive climate change policies have attempted to calculate the additional annual expenditures in renewable energy generation and energy efficiency necessary to meet greenhouse gas reduction goals.

One problem: No one knows how much spending is needed


And the guesses are all over the place.

In the past year, four separate studies came up with a wide range of cost estimates for climate policies. Most recently, a report issued by the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland summarizes three studies. The Forum says between $150 billion and $313 billion in additional spending is needed each year between now and 2030 too reduce carbon emissions to levels deemed sustainable by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Earlier this month McKinsey & Company said the additional costs would range begin at $475 billion a year and rise to $1.2 trillion a year through 2030, with an average additional cost of $846 billion a year.

....
So, not only is the science still undecided, the economics isn't either.

Last edited by Si modo; 05-04-2009 at 04:28 PM. Reason: typos
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  #118 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
ViPER's Avatar
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post

So, not only is the science still undecided, the economics isn't either.
If our economics system resembled anything remotley close to something worth saving I would agree. We don't have a choice about the Earth however.
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  #119 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
President

 
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

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Originally Posted by ViPER View Post
If our economics system resembled anything remotley close to something worth saving I would agree. We don't have a choice about the Earth however.
Obviously we don't. But that is not the point.
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  #120 (permalink)  
Old 05-04-2009
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Re: Only 34% Now Believe Global Warming is Man Made

Quote:
Originally Posted by ViPER View Post
lol - i invoke the 50-50 clause. If you don't know or can not draw an informed conclusion, then it is or it is not. placing the odds at 50% chance either way.
This is why you are not a scientist, have no understanding of science, and are a mockery to the entire discussion.
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