Global Warming Alarm Based on Faulty Forecasting Procedures:

**Brexx** · 05-06-2010

This doesn't surprise me at all. I don't see any cause for alarm over the climate.

Climate fears 'based on faulty forecasting procedures'

1. There are no scientific forecasts to support claims that there will be dangerous global warming over the 21st Century.

2. There are no scientific forecasts to support the actions advocated by global warming alarmists.

3. A political argument, the “precautionary principle,” has been used to block a scientific approach to forecasting climate and making decisions.

4. Using a new, but validated forecasting procedure known as structured analogies, we forecast that the global warming movement will be shown to have raised a false alarm and to have been responsible for precipitating decisions that caused long-term harm to most people.

Conclusions

Those who make alarming forecasts of dangerous manmade global warming have appealed to the “precautionary principle” in order to justify their calls for drastic actions. The latter appeal is made in response to uncertainty about how and why climate changes. We have shown that the alarming climate forecasts are not based on scientific procedures. Calls for drastic action are neither logical nor responsible.

Policy-makers should halt and reverse actions to try to change the climate. There is no scientific justification for making energy more expensive and reducing economic efficiency. If policymakers fail to reverse their anti-energy policies, we forecast that people will suffer further harm from unnecessarily expensive energy as well as from unintended consequences of climate change policies.

Team of Scientists Counter U.S. Gov't Report: 'Global warming alarm will prove false' -- Climate fears 'based on faulty forecasting procedures' | Climate Depot

**Imperator** · 05-06-2010

you heretic you....

**Commodore** · 05-06-2010

Burn the witch!!!!

**JustDee** · 05-06-2010

Greetings and Felicitations,

Since when is one person a team of scientist.

J. Scott Armstrong (Ph.D., MIT, 1968), a Professor at the Wharton School of Management, University of Pennsylvania, is the author of Long-range Forecasting, the creator of forecastingprinciples.com, and editor of Principles of Forecasting (Kluwer 2001), an evidence-based summary of knowledge on forecasting methods. He is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, the International Journal of Forecasting, and the International Symposium on Forecasting, and he has spent 50 years doing research and consulting on forecasting. (Armstrong@wharton.upenn.edu)

Kesten C. Green of the International Graduate School of Business at the University of South Australia is a Director of the International Institute of Forecasters and is co-director with Scott Armstrong of the Forecasting Principles public service Internet site (ForPrin.com). He has been responsible for the development of two forecasting methods that provide forecasts that are substantially more accurate than commonly used methods. (Kesten.Green@unisa.edu.au)

Willie Soon is an astrophysicist and a geoscientist at the Solar, Stellar, and Planetary Sciences division of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. He is also the receiving editor in the area of solar and stellar physics for the journal New Astronomy. He has 20 years of active researching and publishing in the area of climate change and all views expressed are strictly his own. (vanlien@earthlink.net)

Sincerely Yours,
C. David Neely