Visit the Archives for U.S. Politics Online -- U.S. Politics Online . net


Results 1 to 4 of 4

Thread: More unsettled 'settled science' - Solar UV variability bigger role than thought.

  1. #1
    kramer is offline U.S. Senator
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    California
    Posts
    805
    Rep Power
    0

    More unsettled 'settled science' - Solar UV variability bigger role than thought.

    Research from the Met Office has shed new light on a link between decadal solar variability and winter climate in the UK, northern Europe and parts of America.

    The study, carried out with Imperial College London and the University of Oxford, shows that low UV output from the sun can contribute to cold winters over parts of the northern hemisphere, such as recently seen in the UK. Years of higher UV have the opposite effect.

    Adam Scaife, one of the scientists involved in the research, said that while some studies have observed a link between solar variability and winter climate, our research establishes this as more than just coincidence.

    He said: "We've been able to reproduce a consistent climate pattern, confirm how it works, and quantify it using a computer model based on the laws of physics. This isn't the sole driver of winter climate over our region, but it is a significant factor and understanding it is important for seasonal to decadal forecasting."

    New data from sensitive satellite equipment shows UV variability over the 11-year solar cycle may be much larger than previously thought and has been key to the research.

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research...ar-variability
    Simulations with a climate model using new observations of solar variability suggest a substantial influence of the Sun on the winter climate in the Northern Hemisphere.
    http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v...f/ngeo1298.pdf
    So, the highest levels of CO2 in millions of years isn't going to keep us from freezing our democrats off? I thought CO2 was the all-powerful warming gas?
    “We should never be more vigilant than at the moment a new dogma is being installed. … The left has been swept along, entranced by the allure of weather as revolutionary agent, naïvely conceiving of global warming as a crisis that will force radical social changes on capitalism.”

    TheNation, June 7, 2007

  2. #2
    TomBlaze is offline Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2008
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    1,597
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: More unsettled 'settled science' - Solar UV variability bigger role than thought.

    You obviously do not have a very good grasp of the subject. I suggest reading up on climatology, climate change and greenhouse gasses before asking stupid questions. Here are a few bullet points. I'll try to keep it simple for you:

    1. Climate cycles worldwide are changing....this is confirmed for certain. As in no doubt at all
    2. Climate change comes in many flavors: greenhouse gas emissions (methane, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, etc) from both natural phenomenon and man-made constructs, solar cycles and earths slight wobble on it's axis as well as other things most likely beyond your comprehension
    3. It is also fact that the earth is in a warming trend (warmed up by 0.2º - 0.3º Celsius). It's not even debatable unless you count stupid people with money on the line spreading propaganda. And, no...just because it gets cold one day it doesn't mean AGW is a hoax. In fact, global warming can actually lead to an ice age or cold snap when it hits a tipping point

    There you go. The truth is that the earth is most likely in a natural state of change but it is being exacerbated by human industry. The alarming part is the rate at which it can escalate especially where the permafrost on the tundra regions is melting which can release large volumes of methane into the atmosphere which is a far more intense greenhouse gas. Add to that the unusual amount of volcanic erutptions ejection metric tons of carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide into the mix.

    The reason why this is such a contentious debate is that big oil and the auto industry do not want renewable energy technology to go mainstream because they make too much money manipulating the price of finite energy sources like oil and coal. Not much money to be made when people have solar panels and wind generators powering their homes and charging their electric cars. No way to control or manipulate it.

    It is the same reason why big pharma does not want pot to be made legal. People would be able to grow pot in the house and have remedies for headaches, nausea, glaucoma, insomnia, lack of appetite and even sore throats.

  3. #3
    kramer is offline U.S. Senator
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    California
    Posts
    805
    Rep Power
    0

    Re: More unsettled 'settled science' - Solar UV variability bigger role than thought.

    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    You obviously do not have a very good grasp of the subject.
    In general, skeptics tend to have a better grasp of climate change than the believers. And I bet dollars to doughnuts that I have a far better grasp of it than you.


    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    I suggest reading up on climatology, climate change and greenhouse gasses before asking stupid questions. Here are a few bullet points. I'll try to keep it simple for you:

    1. Climate cycles worldwide are changing....this is confirmed for certain. As in no doubt at all
    This has nothing to do with my comments.

    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    2. Climate change comes in many flavors: greenhouse gas emissions (methane, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, etc) from both natural phenomenon and man-made constructs, solar cycles and earths slight wobble on it's axis as well as other things most likely beyond your comprehension
    It wasn't too long ago that some scientists were saying solar cycles don't have an influence on climate. For example:
    Sunspots alter the amount of energy Earth gets from the sun, but not enough to impact global climate change, a new study suggests.
    Don't Blame Sun for Global Warming, Study Says
    Hence the title of this thread.

    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    3. It is also fact that the earth is in a warming trend (warmed up by 0.2º - 0.3º Celsius). It's not even debatable unless you count stupid people with money on the line spreading propaganda.
    There's no money on the line for the 'green' solution? Last I heard, there is a $20 trillion dollar a year cap-and-trade market. On top of this, some of the major banks already have their carbon derivatives ready to go and these were created in a similar fashion to the MBS subprime derivatives which have given us over $600 trillion dollars in derivatives.

    If you ask me, the stupid people are the useful idiots blindly going along with what the technocrats are saying.


    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    And, no...just because it gets cold one day it doesn't mean AGW is a hoax. In fact, global warming can actually lead to an ice age or cold snap when it hits a tipping point
    Then why has your side been saying that winters are going to get warmer, be a thing of the past, and that snow is going to be a thing of the past?

    Which is it?

    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    There you go. The truth is that the earth is most likely in a natural state of change but it is being exacerbated by human industry.
    I agree with this. I think the bulk of the change is natural and that we are responsible for a small percentage of the change.



    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    The alarming part is the rate at which it can escalate especially where the permafrost on the tundra regions is melting which can release large volumes of methane into the atmosphere which is a far more intense greenhouse gas. Add to that the unusual amount of volcanic erutptions ejection metric tons of carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide into the mix.
    I thought volcanos don't emit that much CO2 into the atmosphere? Got a link that says different?


    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    The reason why this is such a contentious debate is that big oil and the auto industry do not want renewable energy technology to go mainstream because they make too much money manipulating the price of finite energy sources like oil and coal.
    That's not the reason why I am fighting the greens. I don't give a crap about the oil companies. I'm fighting the greens because the political solutions of AGW are leftist.


    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    Not much money to be made when people have solar panels and wind generators powering their homes and charging their electric cars. No way to control or manipulate it.
    Right now, wind power is a joke. It's more expensive, it's intermittent, and it grinds up bats and birds. Solar isn't as bad IMO but it's still more expensive. And it works only half the time at best.

    For the record, if somebody were to come along with a breakthrough way to make electricity cheaply, safely, and reliably, I'd be 100% behind it.

    Quote Originally Posted by TomBlaze View Post
    It is the same reason why big pharma does not want pot to be made legal. People would be able to grow pot in the house and have remedies for headaches, nausea, glaucoma, insomnia, lack of appetite and even sore throats.
    That's not the reason for me. My reasons are the political solutions to AGW. For example, most news articles talk about sustainability, which came from the term 'sustainable development.'
    The term 'sustainable development' came out of the Brundtland Report (aka Our Common Future). This report was led by Gro Harlem Brundtland, the first VP at socialistinternational.org. As you can see, a socialist is telling us that the solutions to the problems the science is saying we have is socialism. Not on my watch.
    “We should never be more vigilant than at the moment a new dogma is being installed. … The left has been swept along, entranced by the allure of weather as revolutionary agent, naïvely conceiving of global warming as a crisis that will force radical social changes on capitalism.”

    TheNation, June 7, 2007

  4. #4
    eohrnberger's Avatar
    eohrnberger is offline Secretary of State
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    Michigan
    Posts
    5,149
    Rep Power
    865

    Re: More unsettled 'settled science' - Solar UV variability bigger role than thought.

    Quote Originally Posted by kramer View Post
    . . . . .
    There's no money on the line for the 'green' solution? Last I heard, there is a $20 trillion dollar a year cap-and-trade market. On top of this, some of the major banks already have their carbon derivatives ready to go and these were created in a similar fashion to the MBS subprime derivatives which have given us over $600 trillion dollars in derivatives.
    . . .
    Oh great! Just what we need. Yet another bubble that the banksters have already gamed. Wonder how deep a recession we'll be in when this bubble pops? I wonder how much the tax payer will be required to pony up and bail them out yet again? Grrr. I'm getting mighty tired of the same old BS.

    Aside from all of that, I have to agree for the most part with Kramer.
    If a man were behind four months on his mortgage and was talking to you about his plans to build an addition on his home you would think him daft and delusional. But in Washington, ignoring a current crisis to discuss grand dreams is called “boldness” and “vision.”

Similar Threads

  1. This is much bigger than signing statements
    By adaher in forum The White House
    Replies: 15
    Last Post: 04-20-2011, 01:14 PM
  2. Who's The Bigger Wing-Nut?
    By Phoenix in forum Political Parties, Campaigns & Elections
    Replies: 69
    Last Post: 11-27-2010, 09:25 PM
  3. Because The Science Is Settled (Part XXIII)
    By tsquare in forum Environmental Issues
    Replies: 31
    Last Post: 09-10-2010, 12:09 PM
  4. It is settled. Here is the Birth Certificate
    By CharlesDavenport in forum The White House
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 07-08-2010, 09:03 PM
  5. who be the bigger threat?
    By MeadHallPirate in forum The White House
    Replies: 42
    Last Post: 01-27-2010, 05:13 PM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •