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  #46 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Wow.

And I thought Americans were ignorant. You Russians are amazing.
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  #47 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
From what I read many Americans are as ignorant about Russian culture and history as they are regarding ME countries. If a government doesn't pattern itself and its actions after the US right down to what the politicians say, it's immediately rejected by many Americans. All this thread needs to make it completely American rejection is Varuss or such ranting about the evils and dangers of communism while quoting his Christian bible.

I'd say a restricted press and an oligarchy are not just objectionable to Americans.........I don’t see it so much as what they say, but more so what they do.

heres an example...enjoy. It must be nice to be lucky number 4 if it goes that far....

Putin uses new law to nominate governor

Reuters, Agence France-Presse, The Associated Press

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2005


MOSCOW President Vladimir Putin on Monday nominated the first Russian regional governor under a new law scrapping gubernatorial elections that critics say is a threat to democracy. The Kremlin said Putin asked the Parliament of the Primorye region on the Pacific coast to approve Sergei Darkin, 41, the incumbent and a Kremlin loyalist. Under the new law Putin can dissolve the legislature if it rejects his choice three times.


International Herald Tribune > Europe > Putin uses new law to nominate governor
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So the state planners must arrogate to themselves the right to manipulate any sector of the economic system if the good of “society” or the “general welfare” is paramount.

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  #48 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

[quote]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fennica View Post
THat they already have.
No - the Russian economy imploded after the fall of communism and has only very recently coming back.

Quote:
???...? What? Where-ever you ripped this one, I have more than hard time digesting that info. Russia is the biggest nation in the world with vast resources and currently "iron man" to rule it all. Not only have Russians climbed up from the rubble of `communistic´ rule, but they have already gotten away with democratic system in favor of their familiar rulership.
The size of Russia and its vast natural resources are an entirely different issue than GDP. erikv is exactly correct in his assessment of the Russian economy. Russia's GDP at the end of 2007 will be between 800 and 900 billion. That is about the same as the Netherlands and Belgium combined: the Netherlands is about 540 billion and Belgium's GDP is about 350 billion.

Quote:
Let me tell you something which is not only disturbing, but downright scary;. Europeans are and will become even more dependent to Russia. And Russia is again powerplayer.

How? Putin rules through energy. Oil, gas and elctricity.
Currently green-wave of pretty thoughts is flowing through European nations, and they are getting rid of nucklear plants\coal plants and try to fill the need for energy by using alternatibe methods, which by the way are not enough, not by a longshot.
Putin sells us gas, and oil along with normal electricity. In addition he is beginning to order new type of nucklear plant; floating plant. It is great in the sence of strategy, plus EU will compleatly run using Russian energy.
Belarusian tried to bully Putin, he closed the pipes and they had to admit humiliation. Similar situation looms in the horizon.
Putin can and will tell EU what to do, and what not to do simply by keeping his hand on the switch...of energy.

You simply do not folllow Russian matters that much, as we happen to be right next to them, we do
Interesting: Russia certainly does have a vast supply of natural resources, probably unmatched anywhere in the world. It would make sense that they would have the ability to influence world markets - and not just Europe. However, they would have to use that power effectively - they never have before.
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  #49 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
I'd have to disagree with that. Actually, based on GDP, the Russian economy is twice the size of Belgium and the Netherlands combined. More important Russia's industrial sector is very strong with far less dependence on services than the EU, Russia experienced a 2006 growth rate of 6.7% and is endowed with immense natural resources including the all-important oil and natural gas reserves. Economically Russia will be more of a future benefit to many EU countries than the US as Russia trades those resources for Euros, lessening EU dependence on buying US debt for oil trades. From a numbers viewpoint, Russia made an amazing, positive turn-around after the demise of the USSR and has a very healthy economic outlook.

China eventually will be the top dog.
The rate of growth is accurate - but where are you getting total the GDP figures?
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  #50 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
From what I read many Americans are as ignorant about Russian culture and history as they are regarding ME countries. If a government doesn't pattern itself and its actions after the US right down to what the politicians say, it's immediately rejected by many Americans. All this thread needs to make it completely American rejection is Varuss or such ranting about the evils and dangers of communism while quoting his Christian bible.
These are just stereotypes: come out of your narrow world.
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"Our fears in Banquo
Stick deep; in his royalty of nature
Reigns that which would be fear'd: 'tis much he dares;
And, to that dauntless temper of his mind,
He hath a wisdom that doth guide his valour
To act in safety."

Macbeth 3:1
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  #51 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim View Post
The rate of growth is accurate - but where are you getting total the GDP figures?
At exchange rate.
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  #52 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim View Post
These are just stereotypes: come out of your narrow world.
Certainly not my world, but the world of many posters who believe US government policy is the only type of government acceptable for the world.
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  #53 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

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Originally Posted by metalted View Post
if you are willing to fight for it, i have little doubt we will support you.
Really?

If the Baltic states are threatened - as they have been over the centuries by Russia - then it is surely the responsibility of Europe to come to their aid.

That would truly be the test of Europe: is the commitment to pacifism so deep that even a threat to European nations would not produce response? That is: would any nation besides Britain be willing to fight?

The Soviet government spent decades trying to destroy the Baltic states: deporting hundreds of thousands to the Gulag and repopulating these countries with Russians; attempting to destroy their religious faith, culture and tradition; collectivizing their economies. If Moscow ever again attempts to destroy the Baltic nations, Europe should respond. The US should have no part in it.

(Can you imagine the hysterical hatred that would erupt if the US attempted to defend the Baltic states? There would be anti-American demonstrations in Paris and Berlin and London and Rome while the Russians destroy Vilnius and Tallin and Riga.)
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Stick deep; in his royalty of nature
Reigns that which would be fear'd: 'tis much he dares;
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To act in safety."

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Last edited by Tim; 07-05-2007 at 09:47 AM.
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  #54 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Americano View Post
At exchange rate.
Which exchange rate? Are you talking about purchasing power parity?
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To act in safety."

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  #55 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
Americano Americano is offline
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

[quote=Tim;1028375]
Quote:

No - the Russian economy imploded after the fall of communism and has only very recently coming back.



The size of Russia and its vast natural resources are an entirely different issue than GDP. erikv is exactly correct in his assessment of the Russian economy. Russia's GDP at the end of 2007 will be between 800 and 900 billion. That is about the same as the Netherlands and Belgium combined: the Netherlands is about 540 billion and Belgium's GDP is about 350 billion.



Interesting: Russia certainly does have a vast supply of natural resources, probably unmatched anywhere in the world. It would make sense that they would have the ability to influence world markets - and not just Europe. However, they would have to use that power effectively - they never have before.
One of Putin's goals is a natural gas bourse, in effect the same type of USD avoidance advocated for oil by Iran that infuriated the US. While Russia still has some oil PSAs they're shedding them and western influence at a determined rate. How Russia uses its natural resource power will be an interesting development. Were it not for the historical distrust China would be an interesting partner in terms of mutual economic advantages.
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  #56 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim View Post
Really?

If the Baltic states are threatened - as they have been over the centuries by Russia - then it is surely the resposnibility of Europe to come to their aid.

That would truly be the test of Europe: is the commitment to pacifism so deep that even a threat to European nations would not produce response? That is: would any nation besides Britain be willing to fight?

The Soviet government spent decades trying to destroy the Baltic states: deporting hundreds of thousands to the Gulag and repopulating these countries with Russians; attempting to destroy their religious faith, culture and tradition; collectivizing their economies. If Moscow ever again attempts to destroy the Baltic nations, Europe should respond. The US should have no part in it.

(Can you imagine the hysterical hatred that would erupt if the US attempted to defend the Baltic states? There would be anti-American demonstrations in Paris and Berlin and London and Rome while the Russians destroy Vilnius and Tallin and Riga.)

yes and the latest affair were in the Estonians had the temerity!!! to move a tribute to soviet ww2 soldiers caused quite the stir...my god, moving a tribute to a force that then held you prisoner for 65 years, the gall of those people. My gosh who doooo they think they are?
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No individual can plan his own existence in their view.

So the state planners must arrogate to themselves the right to manipulate any sector of the economic system if the good of “society” or the “general welfare” is paramount.

Ipso- if the rights of the individual get in the way, the rights of the individual must be sublimated.

The Road to Serfdom
FA Hayek (interpretation)


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  #57 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

[quote=Americano;1028409]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim View Post

One of Putin's goals is a natural gas bourse, in effect the same type of USD avoidance advocated for oil by Iran that infuriated the US. While Russia still has some oil PSAs they're shedding them and western influence at a determined rate. How Russia uses its natural resource power will be an interesting development. Were it not for the historical distrust China would be an interesting partner in terms of mutual economic advantages.
Yes why not ...russia china...a veritable fall in each other arms situation......they have much in common.....of course china doesn’t have the former German Chancellor on its largest oil conglomerate board, but give them time.....


how will they use it? surely you must be jesting...we have seen this play over again and again and again..he'll use it to buy popular sppt. ala chavez and then be gone when the house of cards folds...."Apres moi, le deluge".......the new boss..same as the old boss....
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No individual can plan his own existence in their view.

So the state planners must arrogate to themselves the right to manipulate any sector of the economic system if the good of “society” or the “general welfare” is paramount.

Ipso- if the rights of the individual get in the way, the rights of the individual must be sublimated.

The Road to Serfdom
FA Hayek (interpretation)


Mortgage Backed Security survivor
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  #58 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim View Post
Really?

If the Baltic states are threatened - as they have been over the centuries by Russia - then it is surely the responsibility of Europe to come to their aid.

That would truly be the test of Europe: is the commitment to pacifism so deep that even a threat to European nations would not produce response? That is: would any nation besides Britain be willing to fight?

The Soviet government spent decades trying to destroy the Baltic states: deporting hundreds of thousands to the Gulag and repopulating these countries with Russians; attempting to destroy their religious faith, culture and tradition; collectivizing their economies. If Moscow ever again attempts to destroy the Baltic nations, Europe should respond. The US should have no part in it.

(Can you imagine the hysterical hatred that would erupt if the US attempted to defend the Baltic states? There would be anti-American demonstrations in Paris and Berlin and London and Rome while the Russians destroy Vilnius and Tallin and Riga.)
But if Europe chooses to leave the Baltic states to their fate in such a scenario would you still want the US to stand by and let it happen?

I, personally, would not want that to happen. I could care less about the possible hysterical hatred that would erupt in many European countries. Let them whine; at least our conscience would be clean. Hell, I think that if the US even chose to stay out of it I would try and find a way over to fight. I am sure they wouldn't turn away foreign volunteers.

NOTE: I hope our Russian posters will keep in mind that this is a totally hypothetical scenario.
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  #59 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

Quote:
Russia's GDP at the end of 2007 will be between 800 and 900 billion.
That is World Bank prognosis, it is always fake.

Nope, in nominal $ it will be over 1 trln, and by PPR it will be about 2 trln.

The economical growth will be higher than in 2006 (it was 6,7%, World Bank prognosed 5.2%), this year it was prognosed 6,5%, but latest prognosis say that it will be higher close or higher than 7% (World Bank prognosed 5.1% of growth).

Please don't bring World Bank prognosis's digits here, they are biased and never close to real one. Over 7 years, World Bank prognoses much lower (-1,5-2%) Russia's economical growth than it really is.
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  #60 (permalink)  
Old 07-05-2007
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Re: Russia - „The Third Empire“

[quote]
Quote:
Originally Posted by ThorHammer View Post
But if Europe chooses to leave the Baltic states to their fate in such a scenario would you still want the US to stand by and let it happen?
I don't know. I really don't know.

If you had asked me five years ago, I would have said yes without a moment's hesitation. But the world has changed so much that I no longer know the answer to that.

In purely pragmatic terms, if the US really was in the position of being the only nation to help - then we would have no chance of succeeding. We would be on Russia's turf: those tiny nations are just over the border. If the major European nations opposed us and strongly (passively) defended a Russian invasion, then there would be no point at all, in terms of realpolitik. Of course, priniciple is something else, and it would mean dying for principle.

The history of the Baltic states between 1939 and 1989 was a true tragedy: first the fascist fanatics, followed by the communist fanatics. However, I just don't see a way to defend them unless Europe came to their aid - or, at the very least, did not oppose American aid.

Quote:
I, personally, would not want that to happen. I could care less about the possible hysterical hatred that would erupt in many European countries. Let them whine; at least our conscience would be clean. Hell, I think that if the US even chose to stay out of it I would try and find a way over to fight. I am sure they wouldn't turn away foreign volunteers.
Good point. You're probably right about the volunteers.

But it would be over so quickly there would be little time for fighting, except in the form of an insurgency.
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"Our fears in Banquo
Stick deep; in his royalty of nature
Reigns that which would be fear'd: 'tis much he dares;
And, to that dauntless temper of his mind,
He hath a wisdom that doth guide his valour
To act in safety."

Macbeth 3:1

Last edited by Tim; 07-05-2007 at 10:48 AM.
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