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Thread: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

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    eohrnberger's Avatar
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    Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    The present administration's inexperience in world politics is really showing, IMHO.

    The administration threw Mubarak under the bus, and now all the middle East allies (such as they are), as well as all the other Arab states in the region, are worried the US will do it to them if and when the time comes. Even Israel is worried about this administration's dependability as an ally.

    This is a great loss of face and influence in world politics for the US, and in particular the middle East region.

    All that groveling on Obama's trip earlier in his administration has now gone to waste, if it ever was any sort of repairing of the relationships with the countries in the region.

    I fail to understand why not walk that tight rope without coming down on one side or the other for as long as possible. Why not have a position such as this:
    Egypt is a sovereign nation. We've had a 30 year relationship with the state of Egypt, and we look forward to continue this relationship.

    This is essentially an internal Egyptian issue, a sovereign nation's issue, and we urge both the government of Egypt and the people of Egypt to avoid violence, to discuss and negotiate a common ground which they both can support as a means forward for both the Egyptian government and the Egyptian people.
    Just avoid taking sides period. No one knows how this'll play out. Why place a bet and compromise your position?

    Yes, I know that many will say that as a democracy we should do everything to support pro-democratic movements, but does that include injecting ourselves into the internal politics of a sovereign nation?

    I don't believe so. I believe that we should support pro democratic movements up to, and just short of, injecting ourselves into a sovereign nation's internal politics. Why should we place ourselves in the middle, only to have both sides build animosity to us?
    If a man were behind four months on his mortgage and was talking to you about his plans to build an addition on his home you would think him daft and delusional. But in Washington, ignoring a current crisis to discuss grand dreams is called “boldness” and “vision.”

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    Jason Marcel is offline President
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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    There is basically already a thread about this under the "White House" section.

    The Obama administration's role is tricky because they need to be perceived as a peace-broker and a go-between, when in reality they're working all the channels they can. Our military and their military have a very friendly relationship.

    Here's an article about Hillary Clinton's special role there. She made friends with Mubarak's much younger wife almost 20 years ago, and they worked together on human rights issues like female mutilation and the human trafficking of people. It was Clinton's idea to send Frank Wisner over there, who was our diplomat to Egypt in the 80's and who apparently gets along well with Mubarak.

    They're not throwing him under the bus. They've been real smooth with him and have done whatever they can to keep him around until he can hand things over to a successor who is actually someone they voted for, rather than pitching him aside and basically going the way of a coup.

    We're not losing face at all. In Tahrir Square over these last couple of weeks, from english into arabic they've translated MLK speeches and if you look at many of their signs, you see "YES WE CAN, TOO!" and "WE SHALL OVERCOME!".

    The Obama administration needs to appear like they're just on the sidelines as confused as everyone else, but that's not really the case. If they could have things their way, reforms would be announced and effectuated immediately in order so that Mubarak can stick around just a little while longer until they're actually ready to put up some candidates, hash over an actual discussion and some debates between those candidates, get some campaigning time in, and then hold free and fair elections. The last thing the administration has wanted is a situation where another leader gets in there who is not really endorsed by the people.

    Don't believe the crap you're hearing from FOX News, because Hillary Clinton is just the right person to be involved deeply in this thing. After last night though, you can tell from the President that he was pissed off with Mubarak for not doing what his military had basically said he would do, which is not only step down but leave the country in some kind of way. Mubarak's exit strategy is essentially that he'll go to some European country on a medical leave. It had been anticipated that he was going to leave last night, but then he basically ended up telling his people that he'll do everything they want but he'll remain in the President's office until September.

    So basically the Obama team is having to prepare for both scenarios even though privately it appears they'd prefer that he begin to make the changes and then hand things over in a smooth transition.

    We're not losing face, and President Obama doesn't owe Mubarak diddly and is already being as kind as he can possibly be to an old fucker who is actually preventing common ground from being reached since the number one demand is that he leave.

    It's kinda hard to compromise when millions of people around the country have just stopped everything, including all the union workers who make the country go.

    In a region of the world where we're the most rational voice on the phone with that gov't compared to who some of their other allies are, our role is of the utmost importance, even though we're pretending like we're just on the sidelines, which is actually how we need to come off.
    Last edited by Jason Marcel; 02-11-2011 at 07:18 AM.

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    eohrnberger's Avatar
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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Much worth considering here. Thanks.
    If a man were behind four months on his mortgage and was talking to you about his plans to build an addition on his home you would think him daft and delusional. But in Washington, ignoring a current crisis to discuss grand dreams is called “boldness” and “vision.”

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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Oh, here's the article on Hillary. I forgot to put it in my last post.

    Hillary Clinton plays key role in dance with Hosni Mubarak - Glenn Thrush - POLITICO.com

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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Has anyone here ever known an Egyptian? I've nevear met one.

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    Dick Martin's Avatar
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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by redrover View Post
    Has anyone here ever known an Egyptian? I've nevear met one.
    Yes. Why?
    "There is no gain in arguing with a poo flinging monkey. While his
    gibbering and raucous cries of victory may seem obnoxious in your ears
    as you walk away, he will soon be quietly sitting behind his bars again
    and licking his own feces off his fingers as you carry on with your day."

  7. #7
    Steve Guest

    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by redrover View Post
    Has anyone here ever known an Egyptian? I've nevear met one.
    We used to have an Egyptian family that lived across the street from us. They were nice enough, although the husband lost his fucking mind when the U.S. invaded Iraq. He actually began cutting down American flags that people had on their homes. That didn't pan out so well for him...

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    Dick Martin's Avatar
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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by Steve View Post
    We used to have an Egyptian family that lived across the street from us. They were nice enough, although the husband lost his fucking mind when the U.S. invaded Iraq. He actually began cutting down American flags that people had on their homes. That didn't pan out so well for him...
    Of course, in the end, he is right, eh? That war is a pretty big black eye for America.
    "There is no gain in arguing with a poo flinging monkey. While his
    gibbering and raucous cries of victory may seem obnoxious in your ears
    as you walk away, he will soon be quietly sitting behind his bars again
    and licking his own feces off his fingers as you carry on with your day."

  9. #9
    Steve Guest

    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by Dick Martin View Post
    Of course, in the end, he is right, eh? That war is a pretty big black eye for America.
    Right about what?

    It's fine to disagree with policy. I have no problem with that. This ass-clown started destroying the property of others. It almost got him killed.

    Anyway, they live there no more. I'm kinda' glad they're gone; fuckers left their Christmas lights up year 'round...

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    Dick Martin's Avatar
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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by Steve View Post
    Right about what?

    It's fine to disagree with policy. I have no problem with that. This ass-clown started destroying the property of others. It almost got him killed.

    Anyway, they live there no more. I'm kinda' glad they're gone; fuckers left their Christmas lights up year 'round...
    Probably had to leave the lights up to prove they weren't A-rabs and Muzzies.
    "There is no gain in arguing with a poo flinging monkey. While his
    gibbering and raucous cries of victory may seem obnoxious in your ears
    as you walk away, he will soon be quietly sitting behind his bars again
    and licking his own feces off his fingers as you carry on with your day."

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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Yes, very glad that we have such an intelligent person in control as President Obama, well respected by not only the Egyptian military, but by our own military. With "W", or McClain in charge, we'd be in another war, in another Mid-East country.

    Thank you Mr. President for calmly handling this in the only appropriate manner. glad all you neo-cons agree with me.
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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by ConLib View Post
    Yes, very glad that we have such an intelligent person in control as President Obama, well respected by not only the Egyptian military, but by our own military. With "W", or McClain in charge, we'd be in another war, in another Mid-East country.

    Thank you Mr. President for calmly handling this in the only appropriate manner. glad all you neo-cons agree with me.

    I wholeheartedly second that!

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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Personally, I would've preferred Obama had just stayed mum about the whole thing.

    What's happening in Egypt is a perfect example of why America needs to back away from the Middle East in general. We can't simultaneously support "democracy" in Iraq and Afghanistan while supporting dictators elsewhere. That's just hypocritical.

    With the overthrow of Mubarak, it's just become painfully obvious at this point.

    It's better to ditch authoritarian governments as allies than it is to make excuses for them if you hope to maintain even a superficial image of promoting "freedom."

    Slowly but surely, we need to distance ourselves from Yemen and Saudi Arabia. We also need to ditch Israel.

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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by Occam's Razor View Post
    Personally, I would've preferred Obama had just stayed mum about the whole thing.

    What's happening in Egypt is a perfect example of why America needs to back away from the Middle East in general. We can't simultaneously support "democracy" in Iraq and Afghanistan while supporting dictators elsewhere. That's just hypocritical.

    With the overthrow of Mubarak, it's just become painfully obvious at this point.

    It's better to ditch authoritarian governments as allies than it is to make excuses for them if you hope to maintain even a superficial image of promoting "freedom."

    Slowly but surely, we need to distance ourselves from Yemen and Saudi Arabia. We also need to ditch Israel.

    Yes, and I believe this is what Obama is slowly doing!

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    Re: Obama administration's reaction to the Egyptian situation

    Quote Originally Posted by eohrnberger View Post
    This is essentially an internal Egyptian issue, a sovereign nation's issue, and we urge both the government of Egypt and the people of Egypt to avoid violence, to discuss and negotiate a common ground which they both can support as a means forward for both the Egyptian government and the Egyptian people.[/INDENT]Just avoid taking sides period. No one knows how this'll play out. Why place a bet and compromise your position?
    The problem with your proposed strategy is this: The world, including the people of Egypt, know that the US has been taking the side of Mubarak and his predecessors for the past 35+ years. For the US to pretend to be all innocent and bystanderish wouldn't have been believed by any arab in any country, because they all know how much the US meddles in internal affairs in the middle east, especially in regards to Egypt. Hence, when Mubarak ultimately lost, the people of the middle east would assume that the US had lost, because 'our guy' got ousted (they aren't gonna forget 35 years of support for Egypt's dictators). That would just inspire the terrorist types in the middle east to talk about the fall of the great satan to inspire recruitment.

    However, by taking the side of the protesters, it put the US in an extremely advantageous position for world and specifically middle-eastern 'street-opinion'. It also shows the repressive regimes we support (Saudi Arabia, and to a lesser extent Jordan) that we won't put up with everything they do, ultimately human rights do matter to the USA (in spite of 70 years of doing our best to show otherwise in the middle east).

    Israel of course has fairly good internal human rights (not so good external), and they have a different reason to be pissed, but the people of Egypt don't think too highly of Israel, so having the people of Egypt at least be on good terms with the US can only help Israel. Had the people of Egypt won and simultaneously hated Israel and the US, then Israel would have been much worse off.

    At least the US can legitimately pressure the new government to keep its peace treaty with Israel, which is ultimately the main thing Israel wants to see.

    Overall, this is one of the best positions the Obama admin has taken on any issue to date. He put the US on the 'winning' side in a battle for which the consequences could have been quite disastrous. Of course its not over yet, and we could see a repressive regime put into place. But from what we know right now, the US is positioned quite well in the Egypt issue.

    In essence, the base assumption was that the US was backing Mubarack, "our guy", since we had done it for decades. Therefore, knowing that he was going to lose this battle meant that we had to shift our position to avoid looking like we backed the loser which would diminish our standing in the world as well.
    Last edited by Disillusioned_1; 02-11-2011 at 03:17 PM.

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