Visit the U.S. Politics Online Discussion Forum Archives!

Sponsored by:

U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum  

Bookmark Us! E-Mail DONATE NOW! Photo Gallery Document Archives Quiz! Register to Vote!!!
Go Back   U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum > Current Events > Political Parties, Campaigns & Elections

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008
Jason Marcel Jason Marcel is offline
Secretary of State
MovieJay

 
Member Since: Mar 2004
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Posts: 4,805
Blog Entries: 5

Canada     United_States

Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Does this guy know what he's doing? He basically gave a half-hearted effort everywhere, has made Florida his "last stand", expects to win there which would give him tonnes of delegates and a bounce going into Super Tuesday. But he's finishing 5th and 6th everywhere getting half the vote Ron Paul is getting.

And now he's not even leading in Florida. He's like 3rd or 4th.

Personally I can't stand the guy. Just another angry Republican neo-con warmonger who made the stupidest points ever last spring in the first couple of debates where Ron Paul gave it to him and included a reading list for the guy.

After he fails next week in Florida, I imagine Rudy'll stay in because he thinks he can probably do well in NY, NJ and the northeast. He might just stay in because there won't be one clear favorite going into February.

What sayest thou? Is this guy washed up already, or is he ahead of us?
Reply With Quote
  #2 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008
Speedyer's Avatar
Speedyer Speedyer is offline
City Mayor

 
Member Since: Dec 2005
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 1,998

United_States     Florida

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

He's washed up already, I don't think he's going to win Florida. Even if he is the only one campaigning here.
__________________
I don't pretend to know everything, educate me, and I'll try to educate you. Shouting matches and insults aren't going to convince me.
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008
MattLarson's Avatar
MattLarson MattLarson is online now
Moderator, Bulk Rate
Fear my squirrelly wrath!!!!

 
Member Since: Jul 2004
Location: Central Florida
Posts: 25,880

United_States     Florida

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

There is an inherent flaw (probably several, but this one is huge) in his plan.

This year, Florida is being "punished" for having our primary "too early", and Florida will only have 1/2 the usual delegates to the GOP convention.

So even if Rudy's plan were viable, it's still not viable....

Matt
__________________
Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008
DGG's Avatar
DGG DGG is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member

 
Member Since: Jul 2006
Location: Sweden
Posts: 1,808

Sweden    
Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

As soon as I heard of Giuliani's strategy of not campaigning in any State before Florida, I thought it was a foolish plan. The polls seem to prove me right.

Matt Larson's point about Florida having half the number of delegates is also a bad thing for Giuliani. Just half the number to get for his late start.
__________________
President Josiah Bartlet: Sweden has a 100% literacy rate. 100%! How do they do that?
Leo McGarry: Maybe they don't and they can't add.
Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008
Jason Marcel Jason Marcel is offline
Secretary of State
MovieJay

 
Member Since: Mar 2004
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Posts: 4,805
Blog Entries: 5

Canada     United_States

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

He wasted his money. I just read in the NY Times that he collected $60 million last year, and that from the third quarter on was spending over $4 million a month, and spent so much more in the fall time that he's got only $7 million left. He's got people being laid off and others working for free now.

Where did all that money go? Attack ads? He didn't spend nearly as much time in the other states as everyone else did, but he's still in financial trouble. That's so weird.

This whole 9/11 strategy was stupid from the get-go. Probably the most inefficient campaign. It was tough talk through the spring and then I think no one was interested in him anymore. If he was truly liked, he would've cruised at 10% or so in the other states, but he just got like 2% in SC.....which sucks.
Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)  
Old 01-20-2008
noahath noahath is offline
Moderator
Passionate idealist

 
Member Since: May 2005
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 4,217

Australia    
Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

I think he made a fatal mistake. He didn't actively campaign in the early primary states because he woudln't do well there, but instead has gamblecd on scoring big in Super-Duper Tuesday in places like NY and CA. However, the media - and public - have all but forgotten him as he gets little-to-no coverage resulting from the primaries. Whomever his campaign manager/strategist was, should be fired. Still, there's little point because I doubt his campaign has long to go. Still, if he has a good showing on 5 Feb, he might be a credible chance for VP to shore up the centrist/liberal wing of the GOP.
Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
angelamia angelamia is offline
Citizen

 
Member Since: Jan 2008
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 2

   
Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

he's definitely going to be out after super tuesday. I'm from massachusetts and i seriously dont think he can win votes in the northeast. besides i agree with jason about the 9/11 thing.

did you know you can gamble on this stuff? haha.. i found this site and although it hasnt launched the political side yet, you can actually put money into who you think will win in elections. wow.
Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Prince of Space's Avatar
Prince of Space Prince of Space is offline
U.S. Senator
Angry and tired

 
Member Since: Jan 2008
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Posts: 799

United_States     Taiwan

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Giuliani was not doing terrible in New Hampshire and Michigan last year before he pulled out as I recall. He just decided to pull everything out of those early states and take a ton of losses. Not second place finishes but fifth and sixth place finishes in most cases. The people in those states gave him the middle finger for ignoring them and he deserved it. He got what he deserved.
Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Speedyer's Avatar
Speedyer Speedyer is offline
City Mayor

 
Member Since: Dec 2005
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 1,998

United_States     Florida

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Looks like Giuliani is done, the early results so far have had him in third place with 18%, and Huckabee behind him with 13% so he's probably done too. With Ron Paul in last with only 3% thus far. As for McCain & Romney, too close to call just yet. 33% for McCain, and 31% for Romney.

Election Center 2008: Primary Results - Elections & Politics news from CNN.com

Hah, 6,062 votes for Kucinich, and 10,507 votes for dead Fred.
__________________
I don't pretend to know everything, educate me, and I'll try to educate you. Shouting matches and insults aren't going to convince me.

Last edited by Speedyer; 01-29-2008 at 05:11 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Bunz's Avatar
Bunz Bunz is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
Independant Idealist

 
Member Since: Jun 2007
Location: Unalaska
Posts: 1,176

Alaska    
Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Guiliani showed perfectly on how not to run a national campaign. I can understand skipping Iowa, but its not like he didnt have another office to hold politically while campaigning.
Does he have any plan for super Tuesday? I would imagine though at this rate, hangover Wednesday will show him withdrawing.
Reply With Quote
  #11 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Prince of Space's Avatar
Prince of Space Prince of Space is offline
U.S. Senator
Angry and tired

 
Member Since: Jan 2008
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Posts: 799

United_States     Taiwan

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bunz View Post
Guiliani showed perfectly on how not to run a national campaign. I can understand skipping Iowa, but its not like he didnt have another office to hold politically while campaigning.
Does he have any plan for super Tuesday? I would imagine though at this rate, hangover Wednesday will show him withdrawing.
I do not see anything else Giuliani can do now that he has definitely lost Florida. He is losing to McCain in California, New Jersey, and even NEW YORK! McCain gobbled up all his support by going out there and running a campaign that competed and won in states that were unlikely to support him (South Carolina).
Reply With Quote
  #12 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Bunz's Avatar
Bunz Bunz is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
Independant Idealist

 
Member Since: Jun 2007
Location: Unalaska
Posts: 1,176

Alaska    
Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Prince of Space View Post
I do not see anything else Giuliani can do now that he has definitely lost Florida. He is losing to McCain in California, New Jersey, and even NEW YORK! McCain gobbled up all his support by going out there and running a campaign that competed and won in states that were unlikely to support him (South Carolina).
I realise fully that his campaign doesnt have a shot now at all. I was simply wondering if he will bow out before S.T. or prolong the agony. Because if he stays in, he probably takes votes from McCain.
Reply With Quote
  #13 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Prince of Space's Avatar
Prince of Space Prince of Space is offline
U.S. Senator
Angry and tired

 
Member Since: Jan 2008
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Posts: 799

United_States     Taiwan

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bunz View Post
I realise fully that his campaign doesnt have a shot now at all. I was simply wondering if he will bow out before S.T. or prolong the agony. Because if he stays in, he probably takes votes from McCain.
My money is on him dropping out sometimes this week and endorsing McCain before the weekend.
Reply With Quote
  #14 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Bunz's Avatar
Bunz Bunz is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
Independant Idealist

 
Member Since: Jun 2007
Location: Unalaska
Posts: 1,176

Alaska    
Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Prince of Space View Post
My money is on him dropping out sometimes this week and endorsing McCain before the weekend.
It wouldnt surprise me. Question is, would Guiliani have a place in a McCain cabinet? AG Anyone?
Reply With Quote
  #15 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2008
Prince of Space's Avatar
Prince of Space Prince of Space is offline
U.S. Senator
Angry and tired

 
Member Since: Jan 2008
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Posts: 799

United_States     Taiwan

Re: Giuliani's Florida Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bunz View Post
It wouldnt surprise me. Question is, would Guiliani have a place in a McCain cabinet? AG Anyone?
I could see him being AG. I also see Edwards being the same for a Democrat administration, or VP. Since only VP really is supposed to help you get elected and the only position generally announced before the election I think it is way too early to call.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks
Digg del.icio.us StumbleUpon Google

Thread Tools
Display Modes

 
Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 03:38 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.0 Release Candidate 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SEO by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC6
Copyright © 2000 - 2008 U.S. Politics Online