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Old 01-20-2008
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Florida

Both of the national parties have sanctioned the people of the state of Florida because they voted to have their primary before the first Tuesday of February. The GOP sanctions cut the number of delegates to half, making the GOP delegates for Florida down to 57 from 114...still the most significant number of GOP delegates of the primaries so far.

The Democratic party has cut the number of delegates from Florida to zero.

So, although we can expect very active campaigning from the Republicans, can we expect to see much activity from the Dems?

Although both national parties have taken an unfair position with their sanctions to the states who voted to have earlier primaries, at least the GOP delegates are worth the fight. If the Dems are not active in Florida, will they shoot themselves in the foot for the general election? If the Dems are active in Florida, their party has been very unfair to the candidates, too. To prevent shooting the nominee (whoever that is) in the foot and they camapaign for the good of the party, the individual candidate is fundamentally wasting a chunk of money.

Can a Dem candidate be blamed for not campaigning in Florida?

[edit] And, has the Democratic party guaranteed a Republican win in Florida in the general election?
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Last edited by Si modo; 01-20-2008 at 07:24 AM.
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Old 01-20-2008
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Re: Florida

We've seen a bit of campaigning here, but not much. The leading Dems signed a pledge not to campaign here before Iowa, in order to "punish" us.

And, as you noted, they have completely disenfranchised every Florida voter in their primary.

From what I've read on the newspaper blogs down here, there are plenty of Florida Democrats who are quite angry about being given the finger by the national party, and who say they'll not vote for the Dem candidate in November.

It does put the lie to both parties' claims that they want every vote counted, when they seek to "punish" the voters in a state by taking away their votes.

Matt
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Old 01-20-2008
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Re: Florida

well from what I am seeing on the news obama is already there and campaigning etc....

if rudy doesn't win or come within 3-4 points, hes a goner in my opinion.
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Old 01-20-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
We've seen a bit of campaigning here, but not much. The leading Dems signed a pledge not to campaign here before Iowa, in order to "punish" us.

And, as you noted, they have completely disenfranchised every Florida voter in their primary.

From what I've read on the newspaper blogs down here, there are plenty of Florida Democrats who are quite angry about being given the finger by the national party, and who say they'll not vote for the Dem candidate in November.

It does put the lie to both parties' claims that they want every vote counted, when they seek to "punish" the voters in a state by taking away their votes.

Matt
If I were a Dem in Florida, I likely would feel the same. As a Florida Dem, I would also feel that not only has my primary vote been robbed, but my general election vote, as well. This pledge to "punish" looks like a big backfire.
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Old 01-20-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
If I were a Dem in Florida, I likely would feel the same. As a Florida Dem, I would also feel that not only has my primary vote been robbed, but my general election vote, as well. This pledge to "punish" looks like a big backfire.
Indeed, and only proves that the primary system needs to be reformed. Also, don't forget, Florida is a closed-primary system. Either way, its a mess and I'm sure Florida Democrats are going to make Howard Dean eat his words at saying their vote doesn't count.
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Old 01-20-2008
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Re: Florida

It's complete horseshit, an insult to Floridians, and a striking example of how anti-democratic our primary system is.
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Old 01-20-2008
Jason Marcel Jason Marcel is offline
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Re: Florida

I think it'll hurt the Democrats more in the general election, but it depends what the candidates stand for.

If McCain gets the nomination, Florida ought to go his way because he's for amnesty of the illegals while the other Republicans aren't.

Since the Dems are for it, that'll keep things close, but Florida likes McCain, he's basically one of them. It'll be decided within the margin of error for the Republicans in November, as long as we're not underestimating how much the general public is actually pissed of with Bush.

I think this will be it for Giuliani this week. Although, with Republicans, since there is more of a "Winner Takes All" kind of system, if Giuliani wins, he'd head in to Super Tuesday with about the same number of delegates that Huckabee and McCain have; he'd be just behind Romney.
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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkey_Left View Post
It's complete horseshit, an insult to Floridians, and a striking example of how anti-democratic our primary system is.
I think there are a few other states who got hosed as well: New Hampshire and Wyoming got the same deal from both the parties. I think there were a couple others, too; I just can't remember which ones. However, of all the states who got hosed in this manner, Florida has the biggest chunk of delegates.
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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
I think there are a few other states who got hosed as well: New Hampshire and Wyoming got the same deal from both the parties. I think there were a couple others, too; I just can't remember which ones. However, of all the states who got hosed in this manner, Florida has the biggest chunk of delegates.
Michigan, I think, got nailed as well.

I wish Ohio had moved its primary up, at least to super-Tuesday.

However, the hot gossip (from one of my poli sci professors) is that we would be actually physically incapable of running an election by a date any earlier than March 4th.

Frustrating.
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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

I agree that this was a terrible idea for the Democrats. I understand that the DNC was unhappy about Florida moving their primary, but the punishment doesn't seem to fit the crime in this case. I am the only one who feels like the Democratic party, with all its perceived momentum, is really trying to throw the 2008 election to the Republicans?
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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by RFK1968 View Post
I agree that this was a terrible idea for the Democrats. I understand that the DNC was unhappy about Florida moving their primary, but the punishment doesn't seem to fit the crime in this case. I am the only one who feels like the Democratic party, with all its perceived momentum, is really trying to throw the 2008 election to the Republicans?
Yeah, I guess that's a good way of putting it. There is a perceived momemtum and the DNP has messed up, IMO. The GOP could have better used this to their advantage by not putting any sactions on those states. They messed up, too, just not as severely, IMO.

But, I am thrilled to see these states not cave and continue with the will of their people. Sure, the parties can do as they please, but they must accept the consequences, too.
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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

I hope that this precipitates some sort of change in the primary system.

I say fuck Iowa and New Hampshire. Their arrogance in this matter is as bad as that of Texans in every other matter.












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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkey_Left View Post
I hope that this precipitates some sort of change in the primary system.

I say fuck Iowa and New Hampshire. Their arrogance in this matter is as bad as that of Texans in every other matter.












BIG trouble for Moose and Squirrel.
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I am an American. That's the way most of us put it, just matter of factly. They are plain words, those four: you could write them on your thumbnail, or sweep them clear across this bright autumn sky. But remember too, that they are more than just words. They are a way of life. So whenever you speak them, speak them firmly, speak them proudly, speak them gratefully. I am an American. ...a tradition
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Old 01-21-2008
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Re: Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkey_Left View Post
I hope that this precipitates some sort of change in the primary system.

I say fuck Iowa and New Hampshire. Their arrogance in this matter is as bad as that of Texans in every other matter.
Indeed, two tiny states with much clout that hardly represent America.
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Old 01-26-2008
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Re: Florida

Interesting, so Hillary is determined to get delegates anyway possible. So much for Florida not counting.

Quote:
I hear all the time from people in Florida and Michigan that they want their voices heard in selecting the Democratic nominee.

I believe our nominee will need the enthusiastic support of Democrats in these states to win the general election, and so I will ask my Democratic convention delegates to support seating the delegations from Florida and Michigan. I know not all of my delegates will do so and I fully respect that decision. But I hope to be President of all 50 states and U.S. territories, and that we have all 50 states represented and counted at the Democratic convention.

I hope my fellow potential nominees will join me in this.

I will of course be following the no-campaigning pledge that I signed, and expect others will as well.

EzraKlein Archive | The American Prospect

Quote:
But Florida Democrats will find out about her kindly disposition through the media, and through the Florida Democratic Party, whose chair, Karen Thurman, thanked Clinton "for her support and commitment to the Sunshine State." Thurman said the party intends to select 210 delegates and 31 alternates and predicts that turnout for next Tuesday's primary will set records.
Marc Ambinder (January 25, 2008) - Clinton. Obama Spar Over Florida Delegates
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Last edited by Speedyer; 01-26-2008 at 11:32 PM.
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