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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: AKRON
Posts: 4,679

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by agoodfella View Post
i want to know what the candidates are going to do about the ROOT problem that links islamic terrorism, our domestic economy and foreign relations. in a word: OIL.

the long term solution to a lot of our problems is simply independence from ARAB OIL. period. let's face it, if the leading Arab economic states didn't have oil, they'd be running around in a huge sand pit trying to keep their people from starving. they would have no economic, political, cultural power. ZERO. they'd effectively be an extension of North Africa -- with warlords fighting over one another for political power -- and guess what? they would pose absolutely no threat to the West.

when was the last time you worried about a terrorist threat from native Africans? you haven't. they're too busy killing one another to worry about anything beyond their own borders. Think about it for a second and step back: an organization like Al Queda takes money. A lot of money. Recruiting. Training. Communication. Equipment. Weapons. That takes deniro. as well as political and cultural power. If it weren't for OIL, Osama Bin Laden would have been some nobody looking for his next meal in the desert.

Iraq was about OIL plain and simple. There are plenty of other nations that could pose a direct threat to American interests and who were further along the Nuclear timetable than Iraq. Places like North Korea. But you don't see us going in there. Why? THERE'S NO FREAKING OIL THERE.

Iran is also about OIL. Saudi is all about OIL. If we could just cut our damn dependence on Arab OIL, we could disengage, and we could really take the gloves off. But we keep pissing around because we need that OIL.

Frankly, the US Government should have seen this coming after the first OIL embargo in the early 70s brought the US economy to its knees. We should have had a "Manhattan Project" like mentality to get independent from Arab OIL. But we didn't do squat. Or more to the point, the greedy corrupt US OIL companies kept all of the major policy makers in their pockets. Fast forward 30 years later and the situation has only gotten worse.

It is absolutely unacceptable that the US is held hostage to Arab OIL. It continues to play a critical role in our foreign policy and economic policy and we still have no solution to this problem. We have thrown billions of dollars down this hole with no end in sight. Billions that could have been spent turning this nation around.

To me, there is no single issue more important that the next President's plan to get us headed down the road of independence from Arab OIL.

If you were filthy stinking rich and many of your friends were filthy stinking rich and you all decided you would like your families to remain in power until the end of time, how would you go about making that happen?

There are several ways to control a people. Through fear, through taxes, through propaganda, through controlling resources, all of which are used to some extent today in the US.

RESOURCES ARE THE KEY THOUGH, IN MY OPINION, OIL being one of the most important.

Of course, I am obviously preaching to the choir.

Great post.

Until the American people demand that we wean ourselves off of oil, nothing will change....... at least not very quickly.
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  #17 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Prince of Space View Post
The main reason it is taking a long time, in my opinion, is because the Palestinians reject every plan ever submitted by the UN and the US since 1947.
That may have been the case in the past, more than it is now. What would be problematic about simply recognizing another state in historic Palestine?

Simple, US recognition, would ensure that the rest of the world agrees to it.

From a statism perspective, I am of the opinion that this could be a good opportunity for the UN to establish a precedent in recognizing states already legislated by prior resolutions. The alternative, is the continuation of forms of anarchy that do not lead to greater respect for the rule of law.

Quote:
About 100 nations recognize Palestine as a state, and an equal number maintain diplomatic relations with the Palestinians. Many have opened consular offices in the Palestinian Territories.

The Palestinian Authority issued a Palestinian passport to citizens of the West Bank & Gaza in 1995 that is honored by 29 nations.

Source: IMEU: 3.10 - How many countries recognize Palestine as a state?
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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by agoodfella View Post
i want to know what the candidates are going to do about the ROOT problem that links islamic terrorism, our domestic economy and foreign relations. in a word: OIL.

the long term solution to a lot of our problems is simply independence from ARAB OIL. period. let's face it, if the leading Arab economic states didn't have oil, they'd be running around in a huge sand pit trying to keep their people from starving. they would have no economic, political, cultural power. ZERO. they'd effectively be an extension of North Africa -- with warlords fighting over one another for political power -- and guess what? they would pose absolutely no threat to the West.

when was the last time you worried about a terrorist threat from native Africans? you haven't. they're too busy killing one another to worry about anything beyond their own borders. Think about it for a second and step back: an organization like Al Queda takes money. A lot of money. Recruiting. Training. Communication. Equipment. Weapons. That takes deniro. as well as political and cultural power. If it weren't for OIL, Osama Bin Laden would have been some nobody looking for his next meal in the desert.

Iraq was about OIL plain and simple. There are plenty of other nations that could pose a direct threat to American interests and who were further along the Nuclear timetable than Iraq. Places like North Korea. But you don't see us going in there. Why? THERE'S NO FREAKING OIL THERE.

Iran is also about OIL. Saudi is all about OIL. If we could just cut our damn dependence on Arab OIL, we could disengage, and we could really take the gloves off. But we keep pissing around because we need that OIL.

Frankly, the US Government should have seen this coming after the first OIL embargo in the early 70s brought the US economy to its knees. We should have had a "Manhattan Project" like mentality to get independent from Arab OIL. But we didn't do squat. Or more to the point, the greedy corrupt US OIL companies kept all of the major policy makers in their pockets. Fast forward 30 years later and the situation has only gotten worse.

It is absolutely unacceptable that the US is held hostage to Arab OIL. It continues to play a critical role in our foreign policy and economic policy and we still have no solution to this problem. We have thrown billions of dollars down this hole with no end in sight. Billions that could have been spent turning this nation around.

To me, there is no single issue more important that the next President's plan to get us headed down the road of independence from Arab OIL.
How many candidates are advocating a transition to cleaner and renewable fuels, by simple executive fiat?

We have heard about the unitary executive theory for the greater glory of the warfare-state industrial complex; but, how often have we heard that theory invoked for a simple and enumerated power to provide for the general Welfare of the United States?
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  #19 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Norrin Radd View Post
You can answer your own question, if you take the time to reflect on it.

What has to happen first, before we can allow Palestine it's own state?
I can understand some of the issues, especially when they have nothing to do with creating more stable markets on a global economy.

If you mean what has to happen before the US, the UN (as a functionary of the US), and Israel recognize another state in historic Palestine; I have no idea why they would have issues with creating greater stability in a region that current is lacking in such stability.
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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Richard J's Avatar
Governor

 
Member Since: Jul 2007
Location: Florida
Posts: 524

United_States     Florida

My two cents on energy usage

Quote:
Originally Posted by danielpalos View Post
Here are a few issues that I would like to discuss, and would have introduced them in other threads, but I don't want to hijack those discussions already in progress. Feel free to add any more issues you want to discuss. For my part, I will try to use logic and reason in our discussion.

Domestic policy: I would like to see some discussion on hydrogen or electric or a combination of both forms of public transportation implemented by the public sector. With all the emphasis on a unitary executive theory (that seems to be mostly serving a very limited objective) I would think that making the 'switch' over to those alternative technologies could be accomplished via executive orders at both the federal and state levels.
I'm going to give you my "opinions". I won't try to change your mind, just challenge your knowledge so you can form a completely informed opinion. Feel free to challenge my facts or conclusions.

First, my background. I graduated in 1976 from a small state college with degrees in civil engineering and mechanical engineering (duel degree). I wanted to work on the planning and building of hydroelectric facilities here and overseas. It didn't work out though. At the time we had already had one energy crisis. The next one came under the Carter Administration. The progressive thinking at the time was to go into space and establish huge solar collection systems and then microwave that energy back to earth. These were solar arrays in geosynchronous orbit. Always stationary above us and always out of the earth's shadow. We saw the moon landing as just the first step in establishing a huge energy collection system on the moon. Since the moon doesn't rotate on its axis, it was perfect for generating solar power from the hot side.

Let's get back to earth now. Please take a few minutes to absorb what I'm about to say. It's important. Anytime you transfer energy or convert energy you lose some to inefficiencies. Burning wood for heat loses heat up the chimney. Transferring energy from an internal combustion engine to the wheels of a car loses some energy. Transferring electricity across an electric grid wastes some energy. It is a fact we can't change or escape from.

Hydrogen cars - There are two ways to extract energy from hydrogen. Burn it directly or in a hydrogen fuel cell where it produces electricity (direct current). Either way, we have to manufacture the hydrogen, distribute it to gas stations or fuel cell manufacturers, and then convert it to mechanical energy to turn the wheels of the car. Where do we get the energy to produce hydrogen or the fuel cell? It comes from traditional hydrocarbon energy sources. Yes, we can convert sunlight to photo-electric and then break water down to hydrogen and oxygen. But that technology is very limited and expensive.

It is my opinion that trying to convert to alternate energy sources is more hydrocarbon intensive than just using the hydrocarbon fuel directly.

If you look at using ethanol the answer comes out the same. How much energy does it take to process enough ethanol to move your car 100 miles down the road? And how much energy does it take to produce and equivalent amount of gasoline to move your car the same 100 miles? If you start with the farming operation to grow corn or sugar cane and follow it through the distillation process, you'll find that we spend more energy to produce ethanol than gasoline.

The key is to understand that human's presence on earth is going to have an impact. We can't live here, work here, and produce more humans without leaving a mark. And cutting back on energy usage is not feasible. Our population is growing. These people need clean water and food. They need a place to live. They need a way to get to work, receive materials, manufacture goods and then ship them to market. Eventually, we have to produce more energy or stop growing.

The key to solving our energy problems is to figure the best energy mix for any given region. The best use of natural resources and most efficient use of energy is going to be different in India than it is in Europe. Have you ever wondered why the Scandinavians can have such a socialist society? It's because they have harnessed the vast hydroelectric resources in their mountains and sell electricity all over Europe. This allows the government to give away money in a socialist fashion. The English don't have that luxury, for example.

We could have plenty of energy and the least amount of environmental impact if we allowed each region, country, or state to implement its own energy development policy. Allowing a bunch of Senators from Massachusetts, Florida, New York, and California to tell people in Alaska they can't drill in ANWR creates many inefficiencies. Telling General Motors and Exxon-Mobile it must use 20% ethanol is also very inefficient. And allowing a few activists to shut down the nuclear energy industry is also very counterproductive.

I hope this gives you something to think about. I look forward to any questions, or comments.

RichardJ
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: AKRON
Posts: 4,679

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by danielpalos View Post
I can understand some of the issues, especially when they have nothing to do with creating more stable markets on a global economy.

If you mean what has to happen before the US, the UN (as a functionary of the US), and Israel recognize another state in historic Palestine; I have no idea why they would have issues with creating greater stability in a region that current is lacking in such stability.
Ya know, when I was 16 year sold, I did a lot of reading and thinking about pollution. I saw humans destroying the earth and I used to wonder what I could do to make a difference. I thought about this a lot and I wondered if we could change just one thing, what would make the greatest positive impact on the environment.

I thought if we could just change the fuel we use to power our cars and trucks, that didn't pollute the air, that would make a large positive impact on the environment. I started reading up on oil and where it is located. I read a lot of world news and I studied where oil resources were located.

I finally concluded that the oil companies were so powerful that they would not allow a product to make gasoline obsolete.

I also concluded that someday the US would take over the Middle East.

That was 30 years ago.
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: My two cents on energy usage

Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard J View Post
I'm going to give you my "opinions". I won't try to change your mind, just challenge your knowledge so you can form a completely informed opinion. Feel free to challenge my facts or conclusions.

First, my background. I graduated in 1976 from a small state college with degrees in civil engineering and mechanical engineering (duel degree). I wanted to work on the planning and building of hydroelectric facilities here and overseas. It didn't work out though. At the time we had already had one energy crisis. The next one came under the Carter Administration. The progressive thinking at the time was to go into space and establish huge solar collection systems and then microwave that energy back to earth. These were solar arrays in geosynchronous orbit. Always stationary above us and always out of the earth's shadow. We saw the moon landing as just the first step in establishing a huge energy collection system on the moon. Since the moon doesn't rotate on its axis, it was perfect for generating solar power from the hot side.

Let's get back to earth now. Please take a few minutes to absorb what I'm about to say. It's important. Anytime you transfer energy or convert energy you lose some to inefficiencies. Burning wood for heat loses heat up the chimney. Transferring energy from an internal combustion engine to the wheels of a car loses some energy. Transferring electricity across an electric grid wastes some energy. It is a fact we can't change or escape from.

Hydrogen cars - There are two ways to extract energy from hydrogen. Burn it directly or in a hydrogen fuel cell where it produces electricity (direct current). Either way, we have to manufacture the hydrogen, distribute it to gas stations or fuel cell manufacturers, and then convert it to mechanical energy to turn the wheels of the car. Where do we get the energy to produce hydrogen or the fuel cell? It comes from traditional hydrocarbon energy sources. Yes, we can convert sunlight to photo-electric and then break water down to hydrogen and oxygen. But that technology is very limited and expensive.

It is my opinion that trying to convert to alternate energy sources is more hydrocarbon intensive than just using the hydrocarbon fuel directly.

If you look at using ethanol the answer comes out the same. How much energy does it take to process enough ethanol to move your car 100 miles down the road? And how much energy does it take to produce and equivalent amount of gasoline to move your car the same 100 miles? If you start with the farming operation to grow corn or sugar cane and follow it through the distillation process, you'll find that we spend more energy to produce ethanol than gasoline.

The key is to understand that human's presence on earth is going to have an impact. We can't live here, work here, and produce more humans without leaving a mark. And cutting back on energy usage is not feasible. Our population is growing. These people need clean water and food. They need a place to live. They need a way to get to work, receive materials, manufacture goods and then ship them to market. Eventually, we have to produce more energy or stop growing.

The key to solving our energy problems is to figure the best energy mix for any given region. The best use of natural resources and most efficient use of energy is going to be different in India than it is in Europe. Have you ever wondered why the Scandinavians can have such a socialist society? It's because they have harnessed the vast hydroelectric resources in their mountains and sell electricity all over Europe. This allows the government to give away money in a socialist fashion. The English don't have that luxury, for example.

We could have plenty of energy and the least amount of environmental impact if we allowed each region, country, or state to implement its own energy development policy. Allowing a bunch of Senators from Massachusetts, Florida, New York, and California to tell people in Alaska they can't drill in ANWR creates many inefficiencies. Telling General Motors and Exxon-Mobile it must use 20% ethanol is also very inefficient. And allowing a few activists to shut down the nuclear energy industry is also very counterproductive.

I hope this gives you something to think about. I look forward to any questions, or comments.

RichardJ
I can understand your position. However, how much further along in the energy technology 'discovery' process would we be, if we didn't need to waste those tax dollars on foreign entanglements that can be attributed to non-renewable resources and that have nothing to do with energy development? The point is, that there are many alternatives to finding energy solutions, that do not require socio-political problems to be manufactured in the process (as a form of pollution).

In the case of ANWR, I think we already have sufficient technology development to not have to drill within the confines of a preserve. Consider a hypothetical scenario where oblique drilling techniques are employed to deliver that energy resource directly to a pumping station already connected to a pipeline.

If we consider a hypothetical situation where we didn't have any political requirement to spend money on non-productive foreign entanglements, and instead spent that money (as a form of opportunity cost) in developing better methods of generating solar or other renewable energy sources, we would be able to make significant advances to our standard of living simply by implementing be methods of harnessing renewable energy sources.
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Norrin Radd View Post
Ya know, when I was 16 year sold, I did a lot of reading and thinking about pollution. I saw humans destroying the earth and I used to wonder what I could do to make a difference. I thought about this a lot and I wondered if we could change just one thing, what would make the greatest positive impact on the environment.

I thought if we could just change the fuel we use to power our cars and trucks, that didn't pollute the air, that would make a large positive impact on the environment. I started reading up on oil and where it is located. I read a lot of world news and I studied where oil resources were located.

I finally concluded that the oil companies were so powerful that they would not allow a product to make gasoline obsolete.

I also concluded that someday the US would take over the Middle East.

That was 30 years ago.
You make it seem like oil companies would have no use for tax credits, or other inducements through the use of better public policy, to upgrade their infrastructure to cleaner fuels or technologies.

Consider the automobile industry. Do they really care what powers the engine as long as they can still make a profit selling cars?
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Dec 2004
Location: AKRON
Posts: 4,679

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by danielpalos View Post
You make it seem like oil companies would have no use for tax credits, or other inducements through the use of better public policy, to upgrade their infrastructure to cleaner fuels or technologies.

Consider the automobile industry. Do they really care what powers the engine as long as they can still make a profit selling cars?
While some people believe the automakers have been in bed with the oil companies for many decades, it is not really important to this discussion.

The oil companies have more power than most people can imagine.

Just look at the history of WWII and the US oil companies involvement with NAZI Germany.

The oil companies have been suppressing alternative energy for decades. I can't prove it, but it is rather obvious.

Germany is going to have 25% of it's electricity provided by solar power by the year 2020. Brazil is now energy independent.

What has the most powerful nation on earth done to reduce our dependence on foreign oil and fossil fuels?

Almost nothing.

How does this make sense?

Oh yeah, just look at the power of the US oil companies.
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  #25 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: Political Issues.

I am not sure how much power you are actually referring to. Al Capone had a form of power that the fossil fuel sector does not have; yet, taxation was used as a method to bring him to justice. I am not suggesting anything as drastic for the oil companies, merely more effective tax incentives to provide an impetus to transition towards cleaner fuels and technologies.
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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Richard J's Avatar
Governor

 
Member Since: Jul 2007
Location: Florida
Posts: 524

United_States     Florida

Re: My two cents on energy usage

Quote:
Originally Posted by danielpalos View Post
I can understand your position. However, how much further along in the energy technology 'discovery' process would we be, if we didn't need to waste those tax dollars on foreign entanglements that can be attributed to non-renewable resources and that have nothing to do with energy development? The point is, that there are many alternatives to finding energy solutions, that do not require socio-political problems to be manufactured in the process (as a form of pollution).
In this response you are mixing two different problems. I take it from your reply that you feel we are in Iraq and Afghanistan for the sake of stable oil prices. If you look at our oil imports you will find that we import most of our oil from Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela.

US Oil Imports (2006) Thousands of Bbls, pct
Saudi Arabia 534,143 10.68%
Venezuela 517,947 10.35%
Nigeria 406,662 8.13%
Algeria 239,959 4.80%
Iraq 201,866 4.03%

Canada 858,839 17.17%
Mexico 622,408 12.44%
Russia 134,646 2.69%

Source: U.S. Total Crude Oil and Products Imports

If oil were the reason we invaded Iraq, we would have been much better off going into Nigeria. In 2006 we imported 201.866 million Bbls of oil from Iraq. If we are spending $10 billion a month to maintain our troops there ($120 B/yr), that works out to around $600 per bbl. If you believe the numbers that say $15 B/mo that works out to about $900 per bbl of oil. The point I want to make is we didn't go to Iraq to steal their oil. We could have bought their entire production for less.

Quote:
Originally Posted by danielpalos View Post
In the case of ANWR, I think we already have sufficient technology development to not have to drill within the confines of a preserve. Consider a hypothetical scenario where oblique drilling techniques are employed to deliver that energy resource directly to a pumping station already connected to a pipeline.

If we consider a hypothetical situation where we didn't have any political requirement to spend money on non-productive foreign entanglements, and instead spent that money (as a form of opportunity cost) in developing better methods of generating solar or other renewable energy sources, we would be able to make significant advances to our standard of living simply by implementing be methods of harnessing renewable energy sources.
I think I need to make my point again, and a little clearer. Certain energy sources lend themselves to certain applications more readily than others. We are not going to replace the internal combustion engine as a source of mobile power. In very high density areas like New York City, mass transit makes sense. But in most of America, the auto is king. We can replace outdated fossil fuel electric generation plants with nuclear or in some cases with hydro. But going down the road on ethanol rather than gasoline doesn't change our quality of life on little bit except it's more expensive.

Finally, allow me to say that if you don't produce more energy in concert with our population and economic growth, our quality of life will degrade. Eventually there will be severe energy shortages like you saw in California. Everyday products will cost more and more due to escalating energy costs. Mobility will become more and more restricted. Entrepreneurial opportunities will become more scarce. And no amount of new light bulbs will solve those problems.

So we face a stark choice. Do you want a new source of electricity (like the Tellico Dam) or do you want to save the snail darter? Do you want to pay more and more for a gallon of gas, or do you want to preserve the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge? Do you want to keep importing more and more oil and be involved in the associated geopolitics or do you want to develop domestic sources?

As for me, I don't really care. My generation of engineers tried to give us the solutions but were stopped by environmentalist concerns. I'm retired now and very little can alter my personal situation. But the young folks have to get along and so do their kids. I can only wish them a lot of luck.

RichardJ
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
dockman's Avatar
Concerned Citizen

 
Member Since: Jan 2008
Location: Maine
Posts: 31

United_States    
Re: Political Issues.

Let's see if I can add my two cents in without ticking too many off.
Domestic Policy regarding fuels. As has been mentioned the technology exists for alternative fuels such as solar, wind, hydrogen, ethanol, and bio-diesel. However, as has also been mentioned and ignored by those proponents of alternative fuels, is the cost-benefit of using these fuels. To date, there has been no alternative fuel that is more cost beneficial than oil. The only way to manufacture these alternative fuels has proven to cost more than their potential savings. On the other hand, that doesn't mean that they should not be developed and allow the technology to advance until these alternatives become viable. Until that time though, oil will remain the lifeblood of the world's economy.
One of the easiest answers is to increase domestic production. ANWR is not a pristine wilderness fairy land that exists to be oohed and aahed over. In fact, the area that is looking at to be drilled was actually set aside for that purpose when it was designated as a National Preserve. Only those who are ignorant, or prey upon the sensibilities of those who are, neglect to mention this fact. Technology has evolved in the oil drilling and extraction world, allowing for a much smaller footprint for oil bases than ever before, a fraction of the size of that used in Prudhoe Bay.
One more point on fuel. The infrastructure already exists to produce and distribute the alternative fuels such as Hydrogen and bio diesel. They are owned by the existing oil companies.
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: My two cents on energy usage

Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard J View Post
In this response you are mixing two different problems. I take it from your reply that you feel we are in Iraq and Afghanistan for the sake of stable oil prices. If you look at our oil imports you will find that we import most of our oil from Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela.

US Oil Imports (2006) Thousands of Bbls, pct
Saudi Arabia 534,143 10.68%
Venezuela 517,947 10.35%
Nigeria 406,662 8.13%
Algeria 239,959 4.80%
Iraq 201,866 4.03%

Canada 858,839 17.17%
Mexico 622,408 12.44%
Russia 134,646 2.69%

Source: U.S. Total Crude Oil and Products Imports

If oil were the reason we invaded Iraq, we would have been much better off going into Nigeria. In 2006 we imported 201.866 million Bbls of oil from Iraq. If we are spending $10 billion a month to maintain our troops there ($120 B/yr), that works out to around $600 per bbl. If you believe the numbers that say $15 B/mo that works out to about $900 per bbl of oil. The point I want to make is we didn't go to Iraq to steal their oil. We could have bought their entire production for less.



I think I need to make my point again, and a little clearer. Certain energy sources lend themselves to certain applications more readily than others. We are not going to replace the internal combustion engine as a source of mobile power. In very high density areas like New York City, mass transit makes sense. But in most of America, the auto is king. We can replace outdated fossil fuel electric generation plants with nuclear or in some cases with hydro. But going down the road on ethanol rather than gasoline doesn't change our quality of life on little bit except it's more expensive.

Finally, allow me to say that if you don't produce more energy in concert with our population and economic growth, our quality of life will degrade. Eventually there will be severe energy shortages like you saw in California. Everyday products will cost more and more due to escalating energy costs. Mobility will become more and more restricted. Entrepreneurial opportunities will become more scarce. And no amount of new light bulbs will solve those problems.

So we face a stark choice. Do you want a new source of electricity (like the Tellico Dam) or do you want to save the snail darter? Do you want to pay more and more for a gallon of gas, or do you want to preserve the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge? Do you want to keep importing more and more oil and be involved in the associated geopolitics or do you want to develop domestic sources?

As for me, I don't really care. My generation of engineers tried to give us the solutions but were stopped by environmentalist concerns. I'm retired now and very little can alter my personal situation. But the young folks have to get along and so do their kids. I can only wish them a lot of luck.

RichardJ
I am not saying the US went in there for the oil itself. I am not sure we would have our current president if there were no interests in the Middle East. The Middle East does have historical, strategic significance and there happens to be oil over there. To answer your question, though, we would also have had more stability in oil prices if we hadn't gone to the Middle East, at all. Why didn't we simply buy the oil, and perhaps, even help some of those countries upgrade their infrastructure to provide us with even cheaper fuel? The point, however, is that we could also have spent as much money on other things, such as technology development in cleaner fuels and technology instead of continuing emphasis on a known finite resource that can only get more expensive as it becomes more scarce.

I am not advocating retreating to the Dark Ages concerning cleaner fuels and technologies. Many newer technologies for cleaner fuels simply need more impetus from the public sector in order to make it more feasible for the private sector. Consider a hypothetical scenario where technology improvements enable energy recovery from tidal harnesses or geothermal sources.

Environmental concerns are not always present with sufficient technology available (as in the case with the solar power example you mentioned or other renewable energy sources. In the case of a preserve, there is little environmental impact to oblique drilling techniques that could offset some of the costs by having the output of the drilling next to a pumping station.

Our current political situation has already given us higher oil prices, without any corresponding improvement in our standard of living. Simple economics can make alternative fuels more competitive even without public sector interference in the markets. However, public sector interference, as is currently the case with oil, could speed development of cleaner fuels and technologies that could result in less harm to our environment and provide a more permanent solution to our energy needs.

With more abundant and cleaner energy sources, hydrogen production becomes more feasible. In that same manner, newer technologies could render more cost effective solutions than can otherwise be the case with current technologies.
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Old 01-27-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jun 2006
Location: US, California - federalist
Posts: 5,349

   
Re: Political Issues.

Quote:
Originally Posted by dockman View Post
Let's see if I can add my two cents in without ticking too many off.
Domestic Policy regarding fuels. As has been mentioned the technology exists for alternative fuels such as solar, wind, hydrogen, ethanol, and bio-diesel. However, as has also been mentioned and ignored by those proponents of alternative fuels, is the cost-benefit of using these fuels. To date, there has been no alternative fuel that is more cost beneficial than oil. The only way to manufacture these alternative fuels has proven to cost more than their potential savings. On the other hand, that doesn't mean that they should not be developed and allow the technology to advance until these alternatives become viable. Until that time though, oil will remain the lifeblood of the world's economy.
One of the easiest answers is to increase domestic production. ANWR is not a pristine wilderness fairy land that exists to be oohed and aahed over. In fact, the area that is looking at to be drilled was actually set aside for that purpose when it was designated as a National Preserve. Only those who are ignorant, or prey upon the sensibilities of those who are, neglect to mention this fact. Technology has evolved in the oil drilling and extraction world, allowing for a much smaller footprint for oil bases than ever before, a fraction of the size of that used in Prudhoe Bay.
One more point on fuel. The infrastructure already exists to produce and distribute the alternative fuels such as Hydrogen and bio diesel. They are owned by the existing oil companies.
One of the political issues was the use of unitary executive theory for the public good, instead of the warfare-state industrial complex. Given that hypothetical, it could simply be a matter of an executive order requiring some segments of public sector transport to transition to cleaner fuels and technologies. In that manner, the public sector could provide an impetus for improvements in mass production technologies that could result in lower costs to the private sector consumer.

I am of the opinion, that there is no need to drill within a preserve with modern drilling techniques. It may even be possible that cost savings could accrue if the drilling output is next to a pumping station already connected to a pipeline.
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Old 01-27-2008
.3dontVoteParty's Avatar
Town Council Member
Passionately Moderate

 
Member Since: Dec 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 106

United_States     Massachusetts

Re: Political Issues.

If public funding for a transition to alternative fuels costs the global economy one penny it would be too much, especially when the stock market is down and many banks have negative net assets. Its just not the debate we need to be having. Instead, oil and coal companies need to recognize that eventually the switch will occur, and that it is in their interest to upgrade the existing technology to meet ever advancing standards of cleanliness. The public sector has in fact transitioned in as much as one would hope. But the transportation sector is not the only source of global greenhouse gas emissions. The ball is in the corporations court now.
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