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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 02-26-2008
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TheLastBoyScout TheLastBoyScout is offline
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Lightbulb It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

An interesting scenario unfolded in this 2008 Election...

McCain is now the presumptive nominee while the Democrats are still slugging it out.

What this means is, for the rest of the states in play, the Republican primary/caucuses don't really mean anything. So it presents an interesting scenario that has not been lost on Republican voters:

Some Republican voters are seeking to influence the Democratic outcome by voting for Hillary (who they see as more beatable than Obama). I heard this strategy advocated on a right wing talk radio show this morning. Callers, many of them from Texas, admitted that since the Republican nomination has been locked up, they were going to be voting for Hillary on March 4th.

Very interesting. I don't know of any precedent for this. Do you think it can be effective? and Do you think it is wrong?
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Old 02-26-2008
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drgoodtrips drgoodtrips is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

I think it can be effective, but I don't know about calling it "wrong". It is partisanship at its most childish, so there's no surprise that the Limbuaghs of the world would be advocating it.
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Old 02-26-2008
Traveler Traveler is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Hehe, yes us Texas Republicans sure can cause this sort of an uproar, i may just go out and vote in the primary! But who would i vote for....

*Thinks*
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Old 02-26-2008
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

This sort of strategic voting is not uncommon in the world.
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Old 02-26-2008
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DGG View Post
This sort of strategic voting is not uncommon in the world.
Do you know of any other cases specifically? Any idea if it was effective or not?
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Old 02-26-2008
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

From anecdotal evidence, that is, Republicans to whom I have spoken, Republicans crossing party lines to vote in our primary in Ohio are more likely to vote for Obama than for Clinton.

You can vote for the person that you think you can beat, or you can vote for the person to whom you would hate less to lose.
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Old 02-26-2008
Traveler Traveler is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DGG View Post
This sort of strategic voting is not uncommon in the world.
Right, if i think its gonna be close on the Dems side then i may go vote for Obama because he has thebest chance of beating McCain, making it easier for a true conservative in 2012.

If it was even close to being competitive on the GOP side then i may well go and vote for McCain, just to mess it up even further if Huckabee could hang on in there for a while.
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Old 02-26-2008
Traveler Traveler is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkey_Left View Post
From anecdotal evidence, that is, Republicans to whom I have spoken, Republicans crossing party lines to vote in our primary in Ohio are more likely to vote for Obama than for Clinton.

You can vote for the person that you think you can beat, or you can vote for the person to whom you would hate less to lose.
Precisely, just about every GOP voter i know will vote Obama if they cross over.

Nobody thinks Hillary can beat McCain but they do think Obama can.
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Old 03-13-2008
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TheLastBoyScout TheLastBoyScout is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Since I created this thread, Texas and Mississisippi primaries have been held.

It's possible that the narrow victory in Texas for Clinton came by way of republican help.

It's more clear that republicans voting for the "easier" candidate for McCain in Mississippi had a significant impact.... something like a 10 point swing due to republicans voting for Hillary.

Daily Kos: State of the Nation

This is a biased source, but I had a hard time disputing the information presented within.
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Old 03-13-2008
JackMc185 JackMc185 is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLastBoyScout View Post
Since I created this thread, Texas and Mississisippi primaries have been held.

It's possible that the narrow victory in Texas for Clinton came by way of republican help.

It's more clear that republicans voting for the "easier" candidate for McCain in Mississippi had a significant impact.... something like a 10 point swing due to republicans voting for Hillary.

Daily Kos: State of the Nation

This is a biased source, but I had a hard time disputing the information presented within.

I wouldn't be surprised to see that here in PA. I think registration is open until March 24th.
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Old 03-13-2008
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Well, in point of fact, Clinton actually lost in Texas.

She won the primary by a narrow margin, 51% to 47%, garnering 65 delegates to Obama's 61.

But the caucus wasn't nearly as close. Obama won the caucus 56% to 44%, and was awarded 38 delegates while Clinton got 29.

So in the final accounting, The delegate totals looked like this:

Clinton: 94
Obama: 99

Matt
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Old 03-13-2008
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Strategic voting is legal, but it's wrong, I just don't imagine that there are enough turd heads who prefer winning over democracy enough to actually influence an outcome.
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Old 03-13-2008
Oreo Oreo is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLastBoyScout View Post
An interesting scenario unfolded in this 2008 Election...

McCain is now the presumptive nominee while the Democrats are still slugging it out.

What this means is, for the rest of the states in play, the Republican primary/caucuses don't really mean anything. So it presents an interesting scenario that has not been lost on Republican voters:

Some Republican voters are seeking to influence the Democratic outcome by voting for Hillary (who they see as more beatable than Obama). I heard this strategy advocated on a right wing talk radio show this morning. Callers, many of them from Texas, admitted that since the Republican nomination has been locked up, they were going to be voting for Hillary on March 4th.

Very interesting. I don't know of any precedent for this. Do you think it can be effective? and Do you think it is wrong?

I think it is wrong. No party should interfere with what the other is doing. It should be completely up to democrats & independants to vote for whom they wish. In Texas, there were many republicans that admitted they just couldn't cross over to vote for Hillary. So, I really think it's a none issue anyway.
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Old 03-13-2008
CorpMediaSux CorpMediaSux is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Look at the exit polls in Texas. The registered Republicans who voted in the Democratic primary made up a small percentage of voters. Among them, they went for Clinton only slightly over Obama. In no way did they swing the race.
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  #15 (permalink)  
Old 03-13-2008
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TheLastBoyScout TheLastBoyScout is offline
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Re: It's Happening: Is it Wrong?

Quote:
Originally Posted by MattLarson View Post
Well, in point of fact, Clinton actually lost in Texas.

She won the primary by a narrow margin, 51% to 47%, garnering 65 delegates to Obama's 61.

But the caucus wasn't nearly as close. Obama won the caucus 56% to 44%, and was awarded 38 delegates while Clinton got 29.

So in the final accounting, The delegate totals looked like this:

Clinton: 94
Obama: 99

Matt

This is true for Texas. Good point.

- Obama won the most delegates and the caucus (only 40% of which is tallied to this point...pathetic)...

Clinton won the popular vote in the primary and the media victory.

The average Joe might perceive that Hillary won Texas, but I think the Superdelegates and people who follow politics closely know that her proclaimed huge victory was a mixed bag.
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