Visit the U.S. Politics Online Discussion Forum Archives!

Sponsored by:

U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum  

Bookmark Us! E-Mail DONATE NOW! Photo Gallery Document Archives Quiz! Register to Vote!!!
Go Back   U.S. Politics Online: A Political Discussion Forum > Current Events > Political Parties, Campaigns & Elections

Political Parties, Campaigns & Elections A forum to discuss political parties and elections/campaigns in general.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #16 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
TSGracchus TSGracchus is offline
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: Jun 2005
Location: San Francisco Bay Area
Posts: 3,195

   
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lost Soul View Post
All liberal sources
This is the only part of your post that I disagree with. The constant harping by right-wingers on the mainstream media as if it were "liberal" is preposterous.

Mother Jones is liberal media. Utne Reader is liberal media. The Miami Herald, the Palm Beach Post, and CNN are not.

"Liberal media" does not mean "everything to the left of Rush Limbaugh."
Reply With Quote
  #17 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
Alex Alex is offline
Vice President

 
Member Since: Jan 2004
Location: Los Angeles Ca
Posts: 7,269

United_States    
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by TSGracchus View Post
This is the only part of your post that I disagree with. The constant harping by right-wingers on the mainstream media as if it were "liberal" is preposterous.

Mother Jones is liberal media. Utne Reader is liberal media. The Miami Herald, the Palm Beach Post, and CNN are not.

"Liberal media" does not mean "everything to the left of Rush Limbaugh."
The editorial pages of those newspapers and others prove beyond a doubt that they are liberal. Read their opinion, they are ideologues plain and simple. Also, study after study confirms that the personal views of the editors and writers of these newspapers are overwhelmingly liberal rather than conservative. This inherent bias bleeds into their reportage of the issues. It is clearly a matter of degrees, and I agree that the "NY TImes" is no "Utne Reader", but the bias is there nonetheless.
__________________
I think at this point there needs to be a focus on an immediate increase in spending and I think this is a time when deficit fear has to take a second seat . . . I believe later on there should be tax increases. Speaking personally, I think there are a lot of very rich people out there whom we can tax at a point down the road and recover some of the money."
-- Barney Frank, October 20, 2008
Reply With Quote
  #18 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
noahath noahath is offline
Moderator
Passionate idealist

 
Member Since: May 2005
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 4,386

Australia    
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
Also, where is it that LS said anything about hate? It looks like you read a bit more into that post than there actually was. [/edit]
No, I've just become used to Lost Soul posting a new thread every day or so where he blames the ills of the world on "liberals".
Reply With Quote
  #19 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
TSGracchus TSGracchus is offline
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: Jun 2005
Location: San Francisco Bay Area
Posts: 3,195

   
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex View Post
The editorial pages of those newspapers and others prove beyond a doubt that they are liberal.
The editorial pages are not where you would find stories like the ones Lost Soul quoted. Also, what constitutes "liberal" in your mind? Many of those who decry the "liberal bias" of the mainstream media think the country's center of political mass is considerably to the right of where it is, and most of the country's media are not advocating, they're following public opinion so as to maximize circulation, which is after all where their money comes from, directly or indirectly.

Sure, you can find media that are genuinely left-wing, but generally they have no pretense about being anything else. And in those media you will find scorn heaped on the right-wing bias of the mainstream press -- with equally little justification.
Reply With Quote
  #20 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
Kash's Avatar
Kash Kash is offline
County Council Member

 
Member Since: Feb 2008
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 259

United_States    
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

This is all a rather moot point. The popular vote doesn't matter in the primaries, it's all about the delegates.
Reply With Quote
  #21 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
CorpMediaSux CorpMediaSux is offline
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jul 2004
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,461

   
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Also a million people have voted in Oregon and he is cleaning up. He will be ahead in the popular vote count, she's done.
__________________
Yesterday, John McCain actually said that if he’s president he’ll take on, and I quote, 'the old boys’ network in Washington.' I’m not making this up. This is somebody been in Congress for 26 years, who put seven of the most powerful Washington lobbyists in charge of his campaign. And now he tells us that he’s the one who’s gonna take on the old boys' network,” he said. “In the McCain campaign that’s called a staff meeting!- Obama, 9/17/2008
Reply With Quote
  #22 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
Alex Alex is offline
Vice President

 
Member Since: Jan 2004
Location: Los Angeles Ca
Posts: 7,269

United_States    
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by CorpMediaSux View Post
Also a million people have voted in Oregon and he is cleaning up. He will be ahead in the popular vote count, she's done.
A million people? Cleaning up? lol... Man you love you some Obambi!! Now for the reality check.

Counting the Republicans, maybe a million voters will show up in Oregon. Of these there will be roughly 700k votes cast on the Democrat side. So it appears that BHO will win by roughly 100k votes in Oregon. HRC already beat BHO by around 250k votes in Kentucky (she put a whoopin' on the boy!) . So let me summarize - HRC picks up another 150K votes in the popular vote and quite a few delegates. Meanwhile Obama is still unable to close the deal. Let the fighting continue!!! !!!!!!!

PS - when you count the Mich and Fla votes- HRC is way ahead of Obama in popular vote.
__________________
I think at this point there needs to be a focus on an immediate increase in spending and I think this is a time when deficit fear has to take a second seat . . . I believe later on there should be tax increases. Speaking personally, I think there are a lot of very rich people out there whom we can tax at a point down the road and recover some of the money."
-- Barney Frank, October 20, 2008
Reply With Quote
  #23 (permalink)  
Old 05-20-2008
pramjockey's Avatar
pramjockey pramjockey is offline
OMG!
Scruffy-looking nerf herder

 
Member Since: Feb 2006
Location: Morrison, CO
Posts: 14,172

Scotland     Colorado

Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex View Post
PS - when you count the Mich and Fla votes- HRC is way ahead of Obama in popular vote.
Except, of course, when you allow reality to step in.

With Florida and Michigan, Clinton would be up by 205,276 votes; just over .5%. Hardly way ahead.

Of course, those votes will never be counted in that way. So, Obama is still ahead, with a lead of 417,805 votes (1.2%).

RealClearPolitics - 2008 Elections - Democratic Vote Count
__________________
When they come a wull staun ma groon
Staun ma groon al nae be afraid
Thoughts awe hame tak awa ma fear
Sweat an bluid hide ma veil awe tears
Reply With Quote
  #24 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
O'Sullivan Bere's Avatar
O'Sullivan Bere O'Sullivan Bere is offline
Administrator

 
Member Since: Jun 2004
Location: Pennsylvania/Ireland
Posts: 8,122

Pennsylvania     Ireland

Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by pramjockey View Post
Except, of course, when you allow reality to step in.

With Florida and Michigan, Clinton would be up by 205,276 votes; just over .5%. Hardly way ahead.

Of course, those votes will never be counted in that way. So, Obama is still ahead, with a lead of 417,805 votes (1.2%).

RealClearPolitics - 2008 Elections - Democratic Vote Count
Hillary still does not have a frivolous argument--far from it.

Dem delegates don't elect POTUSes--voters do.

On votes, she is winning the swing states and big electoral blues whilst he is mostly winning the solid reds that McCain will almost certainly win in the general and some blues any Dem will likely win if either he or Hillary ran.

She also might wind up with more popular votes when counting FL and MI and that's definitely something to consider. MI has many electoral votes and FL is a key swing state. Whilst he wasn't on the MI ballot, IIRC, voters could choose either her or others on the ballot or 'none of the above' or 'uncommitted' and she won it over 'other.' As for the 'other,' those votes could have been for him, Edwards, or whoever and we don't know if the non-Obama 'others' would vote for him.

On the other hand, Obama voters may have chosen to stay home or vote on the GOP side in MI, etc, and the same with FL if it was an open primary so it isn't perfectly reflective. And concerning counting states, some consideration must be taken for Operation Chaos minded GOP and DINO spoilers who voted for Hillary in bad faith and what effect, whether more hype or reality and if so where, it could have played a role. Some did do that though. PR voters also don't have a say in the general election.

I wouldn't be in any hurry just yet and, if I were a superdelegate, take some more time to see what plays out and/or what can be worked out.

A shared ticket is still, IMO, not out of the realm at all. In fact, if Hillary ran the top and Obama as VP, it could be the better bet in the gambling man's eyes for both him and the party. The ticket would have the combined power of both for a great shot at winning, he'd get into the White House anyway and get all the experience that comes with it and presuming she gets re-elected, he'd have incumbency to become the POTUS and still be in only in his 50s.

She might also be the VP in reverse if she wants it and that might do the trick.

Other factors are certainly to be considered and he may win anyway, etc, but the situation has many things to analyse.

Last edited by O'Sullivan Bere; 05-21-2008 at 02:18 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #25 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
ViPER's Avatar
ViPER ViPER is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
Angry Republican - NeoModerate - anti-Neocon

 
Member Since: Jul 2007
Location: United States
Posts: 1,798

United_States     Texas

Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
That's not what happened (eight years ago). Gore lost.

[edit] Alex posted the information for you.

Also, where is it that LS said anything about hate? It looks like you read a bit more into that post than there actually was. [/edit]
Nope, Gore won the popular vote with more than 500,000 votes than bush. Bush just needed Florida that year and he had his brother there to put in effect Karl Rove's suppression scheme. illegally disenfranchising over 90,000 voters to win the Presidency.
__________________

If the majority of Americans were not so fucking stupid -

We would be running our own Government!
Reply With Quote
  #26 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
Kash's Avatar
Kash Kash is offline
County Council Member

 
Member Since: Feb 2008
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 259

United_States    
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by O'Sullivan Bere View Post
A shared ticket is still, IMO, not out of the realm at all. In fact, if Hillary ran the top and Obama as VP, it could be the better bet in the gambling man's eyes for both him and the party. The ticket would have the combined power of both for a great shot at winning, he'd get into the White House anyway and get all the experience that comes with it and presuming she gets re-elected, he'd have incumbency to become the POTUS and still be in only in his 50s.

She might also be the VP in reverse if she wants it and that might do the trick.
.
I can understand a Clinton/Obama ticket, but not in reverse. Obama could probably find a better VP candidate who offers more than Hillary Clinton.
Reply With Quote
  #27 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
AjaxPress's Avatar
AjaxPress AjaxPress is offline
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Aug 2006
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 4,470

United_States     Ethiopia

Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

I agree with Kash. Hillary as Obama's VP doesn't offer much substance.

Experience? Nope.
Credibility? Nope.
Foriegn Policy Expertise? Nope.
She doesn't offer as much as she thinks in swing states when it comes to moderates.
Economic experience? Nope.


Strickland would be a much better choice.
__________________
Is our children learning? -George W. Bush

"I think—tide turning—see, as I remember—I was raised in the desert, but tides kind of—it's easy to see a tide turn—did I say those words?"—Washington, D.C., June 14, 2006

"[T]he illiteracy level of our children are appalling."—Washington, D.C., Jan. 23, 2004
Reply With Quote
  #28 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
TSGracchus TSGracchus is offline
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: Jun 2005
Location: San Francisco Bay Area
Posts: 3,195

   
Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by O'Sullivan Bere View Post
Hillary still does not have a frivolous argument--far from it.

Dem delegates don't elect POTUSes--voters do.
But the problem with this, as I pointed out above, is that it's impossible under the present circumstances to tell who won the popular vote. To recap:

1) Many states did not have primaries, but instead held caucuses. In those states, we have no popular vote totals to count.

2) Florida and Michigan provide flawed results because Obama didn't campaign in either one and wasn't even on the ballot in one of them.

3) Republican crossover voters distort the totals, since many of them will not vote in the general election for the candidate they chose in the primaries.

I agree that Hillary doesn't have a frivolous claim. What she has, rather, is a dubious one. If it could be shown that she really does have a popularity lead, that would not be frivolous at all, but she can't. And in my opinion, based on the polls, she doesn't have that lead at all.

I'm afraid the most reliable guide we have to popularity at this point isn't primary results but polls, and the polls give Obama the edge among all voting groups except older white females.

Quote:
On votes, she is winning the swing states and big electoral blues whilst he is mostly winning the solid reds that McCain will almost certainly win in the general and some blues any Dem will likely win if either he or Hillary ran.
This means that her support is stronger than his among Democrats in those states, or was at the time of the voting (indications are sometimes otherwise now), but it does not mean her supporters would not vote for Obama if she weren't on the ballot against him. Also, doing well in red states is a good thing. Yes, McCain will likely be able to win most of those states in the general anyway, but if he has to work for them, and spend his campaign money (which will be less than Obama's) trying to shore up support in states he ought to be able to take for granted, he will have that much less time and money to spend reaching into swing states that he needs to win to win the election.

All in all, Hillary Clinton doesn't have a claim here, and I think she knows it. What I think she's doing is just keeping the fight alive until the last state has held its primary or caucus. After that, After June 3, I expect a concession speech from her.
Reply With Quote
  #29 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
ViPER's Avatar
ViPER ViPER is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
Angry Republican - NeoModerate - anti-Neocon

 
Member Since: Jul 2007
Location: United States
Posts: 1,798

United_States     Texas

Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Si modo View Post
That's not what happened (eight years ago). Gore lost.

[edit] Alex posted the information for you.

Also, where is it that LS said anything about hate? It looks like you read a bit more into that post than there actually was. [/edit]
Gore won the popular vote by over 500,000 votes. bush knew he would win Florida with the help of his brother and Karl Rove's voter suppression scheme. They successfully and illegally disenfranchised over 90,000 votes to win the state by a margin of 543 votes.

http://www.pfaw.org/pfaw/dfiles/file_462.pdf

Scoop: Diebold Memos Disclose Florida 2000 E-Voting Fraud
__________________

If the majority of Americans were not so fucking stupid -

We would be running our own Government!
Reply With Quote
  #30 (permalink)  
Old 05-21-2008
Hafke Hafke is offline
Joint Chiefs of Staff Member
Weirdo centrist

 
Member Since: Feb 2008
Location: Democratic Republic of Dublin
Posts: 1,743

Ireland     Israel

Re: Popular vote? Hillary?

Quote:
Originally Posted by ViPER View Post
Gore won the popular vote by over 500,000 votes. bush knew he would win Florida with the help of his brother and Karl Rove's voter suppression scheme. They successfully and illegally disenfranchised over 90,000 votes to win the state by a margin of 543 votes.
As far as I can tell (please correct me if I'm wrong), the problem was not with Bush and his brother, it was with the electoral college system of voting. Within the bounds of that, it was completely legal.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On




All times are GMT -7. The time now is 08:58 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
SEO by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC6
Copyright © 2000 - 2008 U.S. Politics Online