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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jul 2004
Location: Illinois
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Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Exactly, Zogby Interactive is one of the worst polls ever. The C-SPAN, Zogby, Reuters poll is pretty good...but it's a huge misnomer that Kerry was winning the polls at this time. He wasn't.

Quote:
Not quite sure I buy that.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Colorado: McCain vs. Obama

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Florida: McCain vs. Obama

It's time to look reality in the eye.
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Yesterday, John McCain actually said that if he’s president he’ll take on, and I quote, 'the old boys’ network in Washington.' I’m not making this up. This is somebody been in Congress for 26 years, who put seven of the most powerful Washington lobbyists in charge of his campaign. And now he tells us that he’s the one who’s gonna take on the old boys' network,” he said. “In the McCain campaign that’s called a staff meeting!- Obama, 9/17/2008
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
daddio's Avatar
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Member Since: Jun 2008
Location: the south
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Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by CorpMediaSux View Post
Can you prove that? Zogby tends to be really wrong actually.



They did nail it one year either 2000 or 2004. And they got it when all the rest did not. I kind of want to say it was 2000 but I really cannot recall.
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of State

 
Member Since: Jul 2004
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,461

   
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

I would contend that Scott Rasmussen had the race dead right. http://legacy.rasmussenreports.com/MembersOnly/Daily%20Tracking%20Updates/State%20Polling%20Summary.htm

And while Rasmussen consistently has the lowest leads for Obama they have him winning VA, CO, NM, PA and FL right now.
__________________
Yesterday, John McCain actually said that if he’s president he’ll take on, and I quote, 'the old boys’ network in Washington.' I’m not making this up. This is somebody been in Congress for 26 years, who put seven of the most powerful Washington lobbyists in charge of his campaign. And now he tells us that he’s the one who’s gonna take on the old boys' network,” he said. “In the McCain campaign that’s called a staff meeting!- Obama, 9/17/2008
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: May 2008
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 2,341

   
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by Frolicking Dino View Post
Polls can be wrong, but I've been around a long time and haven't seen an election like this one since Mondale. Votes are hemorrhaging from the GOP nearly as fast as they did in that election cycle. The combo of negative campaigning and the most laughable excuse for a VP candidate I've ever seen has lead GOP members to to publicly state they will not support this ticket. Joe six-pack and Janie hockey-mom are openly talking about not voting GOP.

I'm in TN - it doesn't get much redder anywhere. Obama bumper stickers are everywhere and people are saying they just can't vote for McCain. While most are voting Barr or staying home (something I can respect because Obama is not a candidate for conservatives), it is telling that they don't feel that can vote for McCain-Palin. When I've ask why, the reasons have pretty much boiled down to these:
  • McCain is elderly and not in good health and Palin isn't qualified to be the prez.
  • The negative campaigning and lies have turned them away.
  • Don't feel McCain is qualified to be prez because of things like 'the economy is fundamentally sound' followed by suspending his campaign and rushing off to save the economy, signing on to the bailout bill, suggesting the US buy up bad mortgages and energy plans that won't get us off oil fast enough
What a blast he shot into his own foot.

The old FOOL!

Bwahahahahahahahaha!!!
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
jviehe's Avatar
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Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by CorpMediaSux View Post
Can you prove that? Zogby tends to be really wrong actually.
Zogby’s final ’04 results, Bush 49.8%/Kerry 48.6%--election results Bush 50.8%/Kerry 48.4%
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-Thomas Jefferson
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
jviehe's Avatar
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Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

The problem with polls is this in essence is just educated guessing. The only poll that counts is the one held on the second tuesday in november every 2 years.
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"To take from one, because it is thought his own industry and that of his father has acquired too much, in order to spare to others who (or whose fathers) have not exercised equal industry and skill, is to violate arbitrarily the first principle of association, "to guarantee to everyone a free exercise of his industry and the fruits acquired by it."

-Thomas Jefferson
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
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AJG AJG is offline
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Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by daddio View Post
Not quite sure I buy that.
Now that I think about it maybe I don't buy it either.
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: May 2008
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 2,341

   
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
The problem with polls is this in essence is just educated guessing. The only poll that counts is the one held on the second tuesday in november every 2 years.
Thats not what you and the other Kool-Aid drinkers were saying a lil over a month or so ago when McCain was enjoying a brief rise in the polls though.
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  #39 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Jason Marcel's Avatar
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MovieJay

 
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Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by CorpMediaSux View Post
I would contend that Scott Rasmussen had the race dead right. RR Presidential Track

And while Rasmussen consistently has the lowest leads for Obama they have him winning VA, CO, NM, PA and FL right now.
Rasmussen has a very open system that you can read every day on their website, and their polling is a little more cautious than Gallup and a few others.

When you look at the RCP averages for the nation and then for individual states, Rasmussen is right there with all the averages.
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“The America I know and love is not one in which my parents or my baby with Down syndrome will have to stand in front of Obama’s ‘death panel’ so his bureaucrats can decide, based on a subjective judgment of their ‘level of productivity in society,’ whether they are worthy of health care. Such a system is downright evil."-Sarah Palin, not having a clue once again about what she is talking about.
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  #40 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: May 2008
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 2,341

   
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by GEmmer View Post
I love it!! When the polls showed that McCain/Palin were up by 10 points, Republicans in this forum were cheering. Now that their guy is behind in the polls, they all say "Polls Dont Matter". Not one of them said then, "Polls dont matter".

Just for a good laugh, have a look at what these guys were saying then and compare it with what they are saying here.
Yep, same thing I said.

Look at some of the quotes of the conservatives during that time...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Soaring View Post
After the RNC and Palin's speech and Obama's selection of his Veep, it seems the American public is waking up to the falsehood crap that Obama has been espousing in his speeches. Here is the latest.
USA Today/Gallup: McCain +10 - Real Clear Politics - Elections 2008 - TIME
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rakkasan View Post
fact is when obama is ahead and the right on this board argues with the polls the obamaites get miffed cause polls are scientific

face it both sides are using their own polls and reasons why the other guys polls are not accurate
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lost Soul View Post
I have seen more excuses by the Obamabots in this thread than any other.

awwwwww poor things
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  #41 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Jason Marcel's Avatar
Vice President
MovieJay

 
Member Since: Mar 2004
Location: Toronto, ON
Posts: 6,922
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Canada     United_States

Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
Ive always said polls dont matter, regardless of who is winning. Although, I wont hesitate to use them against someone who beleives in them. The problem with poll is people change their mind. And many people dont answer polls truthfully or at all. There was some article recently that said polls were going to be skewed because there was a surge of new voters, the youth vote, the race issue. In the end its all bullshit. Who care what the polls say. Are you going to change your mind because of some poll?
I think there's a whole lot of bullshit that won't ever come to fruition. For instance, there won't be a Bradley effect. Obama finished on average, 2% above the polls in the 57 primary contests against Hillary Clinton. No Bradley there.

I think the youth vote is for real this time. They represent an average of like 8 or 9% of the primary/caucus votes usually, but this year it was 17%, which means they're energized and they're not going to just go away. As for cellphone only users not being polled, I don't think it's such a dramatic number that it would change things much. Most pollsters still insist that the numbers for cell users and landline people would be about the same. But this year, it certainly feels like the campuses are going to count for a little more.

I don't think many people change their minds. The American electorate is like 80-85% dug in. It's only some independent voters and a few undecideds who kind of wait until the last minute, and I think they're the only ones who change their mind as they go.
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“The America I know and love is not one in which my parents or my baby with Down syndrome will have to stand in front of Obama’s ‘death panel’ so his bureaucrats can decide, based on a subjective judgment of their ‘level of productivity in society,’ whether they are worthy of health care. Such a system is downright evil."-Sarah Palin, not having a clue once again about what she is talking about.
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  #42 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: May 2008
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 2,341

   
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason Marcel View Post
I think there's a whole lot of bullshit that won't ever come to fruition. For instance, there won't be a Bradley effect. Obama finished on average, 2% above the polls in the 57 primary contests against Hillary Clinton. No Bradley there.

I think the youth vote is for real this time. They represent an average of like 8 or 9% of the primary/caucus votes usually, but this year it was 17%, which means they're energized and they're not going to just go away. As for cellphone only users not being polled, I don't think it's such a dramatic number that it would change things much. Most pollsters still insist that the numbers for cell users and landline people would be about the same. But this year, it certainly feels like the campuses are going to count for a little more.

I don't think many people change their minds. The American electorate is like 80-85% dug in. It's only some independent voters and a few undecideds who kind of wait until the last minute, and I think they're the only ones who change their mind as they go.
Could Obama been thinking of the 57 primary comments when he mistakenly said 57 states?

I think its quite probable.

I wonder what's McCain's excuse for his many gaffes and mistatements.
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  #43 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
jviehe's Avatar
President

 
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Location: Tallahassee, FL
Posts: 16,826

United_States    
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningFlame View Post
Thats not what you and the other Kool-Aid drinkers were saying a lil over a month or so ago when McCain was enjoying a brief rise in the polls though.
You have some proof where I said something different?
__________________
"To take from one, because it is thought his own industry and that of his father has acquired too much, in order to spare to others who (or whose fathers) have not exercised equal industry and skill, is to violate arbitrarily the first principle of association, "to guarantee to everyone a free exercise of his industry and the fruits acquired by it."

-Thomas Jefferson
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  #44 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Jason Marcel's Avatar
Vice President
MovieJay

 
Member Since: Mar 2004
Location: Toronto, ON
Posts: 6,922
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Canada     United_States

Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningFlame View Post
Could Obama been thinking of the 57 primary comments when he mistakenly said 57 states?

I think its quite probable.

I wonder what's McCain's excuse for his many gaffes and mistatements.
Yes, that's exactly what Obama meant......57 state contests altogether, because some states had primaries as well as caucusses, and then there was Puerto Rico, American Samoa, and the territories.
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“The America I know and love is not one in which my parents or my baby with Down syndrome will have to stand in front of Obama’s ‘death panel’ so his bureaucrats can decide, based on a subjective judgment of their ‘level of productivity in society,’ whether they are worthy of health care. Such a system is downright evil."-Sarah Palin, not having a clue once again about what she is talking about.
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  #45 (permalink)  
Old 10-13-2008
Secretary of Defense

 
Member Since: May 2008
Location: Atlanta, GA
Posts: 2,341

   
Re: Fox Poll Shows Obama Leading 46-39%

Quote:
Originally Posted by jviehe View Post
You have some proof where I said something different?
Did you see the "proof" I provided of your contemporaries?
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