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While we have seen candidates rise and fall--there is one certainly that is still left unchanged. Mitt Romney's poll numbers never seem to be able to get over 24-25%. Just like this night on election eve of the Iowa caucas--he's still at 24-25%--but now considered in 1st place with Ron Paul a close second. There is still just no enthusiasm for jumping on the Mitt Romney bus yet.
So the Mitt Romney campaign has set out to beat down other rising candidates by spending millions of dollars in negative--often nasty campaign ads on about anyone who closes in on 1st place. Look at it. Michelle Bachmann--then Rick Perry--then Herman Cain--then Newt Gingrich who recently was ahead in Iowa by double digits and because of the millions in negative campaign ads in Iowa is now polling in 4th place in Iowa--with 41% of the electorate there still undecided as to whom they're going to vote for tomorrow.
While the Romney campaign has so seriously focused on Newt Gingrich over the last couple of weeks--it appears that Ron Paul has done an end around run and is moving quickly into the in zone--untouched by any of the negative campaign ads coming from Romney pac money.
Now the problem for the Romney camp--is that Ron Paul is the ONLY candidate that has refused to answer this critical question? If you lose the nomination will you form a 3rd party and do an independent run for the Presidency--which of course--would insure another term for Barack Obama. All other GOP candidates have stated they have no intention of forming a 3rd party to run as an independent. With the exception of Ron Paul, all other candidates have stated that they will support the eventual GOP nominee.
So while the Mitt Romney camp has been so focused on Newt Gingrich--they may have not realized that all these negative ads going against Gingrich--really didn't help Romney rise up--but beat Gingrich down enough to where Ron Paul--Romney's potential greatest threat is now in 2nd place--and could very well win Iowa. This would be a huge win for Ron Paul--and even though he probably won't win the nomination--it could very well be the catapult that encourages him to do a 3rd party independent run for the Presidency.
Last edited by Oreo; 01-02-2012 at 09:48 PM.