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Thread: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

  1. #31
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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
    Will there be an October surprise from Team Obama?

    Yes, there will be. Maybe several. I doubt that it will be a strike on Iran, and I really don't think if there is, that it will involve the Israelis.

    The Israelis know not to trust Obama. And I don't think that Obama trusts them... not with his re-election.

    Further, there is much more risk than reward in such a move. One downed plane, one captured pilot, paraded on Iranian TV would sink him. And we know that the Iranians would further claim that the attack (short of blowing Tehran off the map) didn't do the damage that we said it did.

    This is a change of position for me as I originally said to look for something like this in late summer. Now, I don't think so. Too much risk for him... too much risk for things to go wrong.

    To sort of reinforce this, look at what we are doing in Syria. Right... nothing. I think is is for a reason.

    No, the October surprise(s) will take the form of:

    Something that Obama does and has direct control over
    Something domestic
    Something very targeted... at either one or two states, or at a particular group that he needs right then an there.

    Of course all that could change as things change in the world... Europe, China, Iran attacking... us or someone else (we do have a couple of million tons of warships playing chicken in the Persian Gulf with Iranian gun boats), Or any one of a dozen other things going BOOM!

    Fun times, huh?
    Not to mention that we have almost 50% of our fleet in the Asia-Pacific region taunting the Chinese. Personally, I think there is something more going on in that area than in the Middle East. I'm more concerned with what China has up its sleeves than Iran.

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by Danny View Post
    Yes I'm aware who he is. I don't think he's accounting for how poor of a candidate Romney is though. He has no position on anything. No plan, no specifics, is gaffe prone and is running against a well oiled campaign machine. It will be close , no doubt but even with Romney's 3-1 spending advantage he has a very uphill climb to sweep the swing states.
    While you are in full ignore mode... (not of me, of the facts)

    The Romney strategy the past eight weeks has been, in a small way, shrewd: have the candidate out there talking in a candidate-like manner, but don't let him say anything so interesting that it will take the cameras off Mr. Obama. The president is lurching from gaffe to mess, from bad news to worse. Don't get in his way as he harms himself.

    It's working, but won't for long. People want meaning, a higher and declared purpose.
    It will last through next week when the SCOTUS overturns Obamacare, then Romney can begin to roll out his plans in clear contrast to the failed programs of Obama.

    One more thing Danny...

    As for the president, his big campaign speech last week in Cleveland not only was roundly panned but was deeply revealing. In it—all 54 minutes of it—he attempted to make the case for his economic stewardship and his re-election.

    What he revealed is that he doesn't know the case for his own re-election.

    Politicians give 54-minute speeches when they don't know what they're trying to say but are sure the next sentence will tell them. So they keep talking. They keep saying sentences in the hope that meaning will finally emerge from one of them.

    A 54-minute speech is not a sign of Fidel-like confidence, or a love for speaking. A 54-minute speech is a sign of desperation.

    It was a speech about everything—renewable energy, tax credits, Abraham Lincoln, tax loopholes, deficit imbalances, infrastructure, research and development incentives. But a speech about everything is a speech about nothing. I listened once and read it twice: It wasn't a case for re-election, it was a wordage dump.
    Once More, With Meaning - WSJ.com

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by Jasper View Post
    HAHAHAHA.

    That's great!

    You putting things in "military terms".

    That's cute.
    Why is it cute? I serve in my country's military.

  4. #34
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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by soot View Post
    My call on an October surprise is that Obama wins in a landslide and all the Republicans act all surprised, like by nominating idiot Romney an Obama win wasn't pretty much a foregone conclusion.

    Guess that would actually be a November surprise but who's counting.
    Haha...I believe you're spot on with this one. The ironic part is that, even if you're not, it will still look like this.

    Quote Originally Posted by Republicans
    Yes! Romney wins.

    Wait...wtf just happened?

    Is Romney not a conservative?

    How the fuck...?

    Holy shit!

    I swear, I did not see that coming
    "The long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead." - John Maynard Keynes (admits his philosophy is not viable)

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by chassisman View Post
    Lets see if the muslim brotherhood takes the reins in Egypt............that out to turn the heat up some. Israel is going to end up in the middle of even more muslims that, like Iran's Ahmanutjob, want a second holocaust.
    The Muslim Brotherhood has already taken the reigns in Egypt. This has been known for a few days now.
    "The long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead." - John Maynard Keynes (admits his philosophy is not viable)

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by Danny View Post
    Romney has no plan to solve any of the problems (the millions of uninsured, the millions with pre-existing conditions and the unaffordability of the health care system in the USA). He put some vague ideas out there that would tinker with the system but would do nothing to address anything. A plan is something that aims to fix problems. Romney specifically ignores all of them in their entirety. I can't in good conscience call that a plan.

    In military terms if were to say to you my squad's objective is to eliminate the enemy from a building and that I planned to just fire a few shots into it from afar the hopes that the enemy will surrender or leave willingly I don't think you'd call that a 'plan'.

    Romney has the same problem with every other topic.
    From the link:

    The Romney plan would dramatically improve the private insurance market, by ending the tax-code discrimination against those who buy insurance for themselves, rather than through their employers. Romney also described how his Medicaid reforms would help the uninsured, and those with pre-existing conditions.
    It seems to me that he has addressed the three issues that concern you right off the bat.

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by Damn Yankee View Post
    It seems to me that he has addressed the three issues that concern you right off the bat.
    And as many commentators, especially Michael Savage, have pointed out, has provided nary a detail concerning any issues.
    You should always have an informed opinion, so after I inform you, please feel free to express my opinion...USCitizen

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Last week of September Obama and Romney become Gay Lovers and create the second bi-party, first multi-cultural, military avoiding team in history.
    And the next four years see no difference in our decline.
    You should always have an informed opinion, so after I inform you, please feel free to express my opinion...USCitizen

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by USCitizen View Post
    And as many commentators, especially Michael Savage, have pointed out, has provided nary a detail concerning any issues.
    Why do you hold The Obama to a lower standard? The Act that he signed no one knew details of.

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by Damn Yankee View Post
    Why do you hold The Obama to a lower standard? The Act that he signed no one knew details of.
    The issue is that I do NOT hold Obama to a lower standard.
    The issue is that you actually believe Romney, or any Republican for that matter.
    You should always have an informed opinion, so after I inform you, please feel free to express my opinion...USCitizen

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by USCitizen View Post
    The issue is that I do NOT hold Obama to a lower standard.
    The issue is that you actually believe Romney, or any Republican for that matter.
    Again, you're just being cynical. I don't "believe" Romney, except that I believe that he will do what he thinks the majority wants. The Obama, on the contrary, is a true ideologue and doesn't care what the majority wants.

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    Re: October surprise prediction from Chassisman

    Quote Originally Posted by Damn Yankee View Post
    Again, you're just being cynical. I don't "believe" Romney, except that I believe that he will do what he thinks the majority wants. The Obama, on the contrary, is a true ideologue and doesn't care what the majority wants.
    You actually may have a very good point there.

    The question with Romney, though, is who is this majority?
    The people (Main Street) or THE PEOPLE (Wall Street).
    You should always have an informed opinion, so after I inform you, please feel free to express my opinion...USCitizen

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