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Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

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  • Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

    Well boys and girls it's Thursday once again and that means it's time for:

    tsquare's Non-Political Thread Of The Week!

    I know, I know... untold millions of people on-line haven't been waiting all week to see what in the non-political world would grab me by the waist band of my briefs, and be featured here tonight.

    Tonight it's Isaac Asimov... and his 50 year old predictions for the year 2014.

    Let's see what we got...

    One thought that occurs to me is that men will continue to withdraw from nature in order to create an environment that will suit them better.

    Kitchen units will be devised that will prepare automeals, heating water and converting it to coffee

    Complete lunches and dinners, with the food semiprepared, will be stored in the freezer until ready for processing.
    Nailed those three... dead on.

    The appliances of 2014 will have no electric cords, of course
    Tablet and phone folks... ol' Isaac was looking at you...

    Much effort will be put into the designing of vehicles with Robot-brains
    Okay... so unless you count prototypes, he missed this one... but only by a few years.

    There will be increasing emphasis on transportation that makes the least possible contact with the surface
    Elon Musk... you're up.

    By 2014, only unmanned ships will have landed on Mars, though a manned expedition will be in the works and in the 2014 Futurama will show a model of an elaborate Martian colony
    Dead on again:



    For short-range travel, moving sidewalks (with benches on either side, standing room in the center) will be making their appearance in downtown sections.
    In 2014, there is every likelihood that the world population will be 6,500,000,000 and the population of the United States will be 350,000,000


    Synchronous satellites, hovering in space will make it possible for you to direct-dial any spot on earth

    Communications will become sight-sound and you will see as well as hear the person you telephone.
    Spot on with both of those...

    Part of the General Electric exhibit today consists of a school of the future in which such present realities as closed-circuit TV and programmed tapes aid the teaching process.
    This one is for Bluedoggy and UScitizen:

    Robots will neither be common nor very good in 2014, but they will be in existence.

    The world of A.D. 2014 will have few routine jobs that cannot be done better by some machine than by any human being. Mankind will therefore have become largely a race of machine tenders.
    When I tell you EVERYONE KNOW THIS... it's true. Asimov knew it 50 years ago...

    Even so, mankind will suffer badly from the disease of boredom
    You are reading this thread, right? Case closed...

    The lucky few who can be involved in creative work of any sort will be the true elite of mankind, for they alone will do more than serve a machine.
    Thus I give you... tsquare's Non-Political Thread Of The Week!

    and last but not least:

    Indeed, the most somber speculation I can make about A.D. 2014 is that in a society of enforced leisure, the most glorious single word in the vocabulary will have become work!
    Enjoy...


    Isaac Asimov's 1964 Predictions About 2014 Are Frighteningly Accurate

  • #2
    Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

    I'm still waiting for all those space stations I was promised.

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    • #3
      Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

      Originally posted by Lutherf View Post
      I'm still waiting for all those space stations I was promised.
      and flying cars...

      ?


      • #4
        Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

        Once again TSquare, have you been replaced?
        By Hardware...Software?

        And yes, even Tim Cook of Apple has stated unequivocally that automation can indeed replace the 500,000 slaves at FoxConn...But he also stated that the cost was prohibitive.
        He knows the stockholders won't be happy with that.

        On the aside, Asimov is almost completely responsible for making me the avid reader I am.

        ?


        • #5
          Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

          Actually, I think Issac kinda nicked the whole wireless appliance prediction. By nicked, I mean he got it half right. While some appliances are wireless with regards to operation, they still require power cords and outlets to charge for further operation. Whether they be plugged in directly for charging or indirectly via electric conduction surfaces which are themselves plugged in, they still don't classify as truly wireless appliances. To achieve the true wireless power threshold, we need the technology of Nicola Tesla. As such, the "wireless" devices we use today can only be classified as quasi-wireless.

          The other predictions were pretty spot on, even if some are off by only a year or two.

          ?


          • #6
            Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

            Asimov was an amazing man who I actually met in the early 80's at a science fiction convention in Boston.

            He was a visionary with very few equals.

            ?


            • #7
              Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

              Waiting for those robots to become sophisticated enough to require Three Laws of Robotics - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Now that'll be something to see. Don't know if Siri needs them yet.

              ?


              • #8
                Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                Originally posted by tsquare View Post
                Well boys and girls it's Thursday once again and that means it's time for:

                tsquare's Non-Political Thread Of The Week!

                I know, I know... untold millions of people on-line haven't been waiting all week to see what in the non-political world would grab me by the waist band of my briefs, and be featured here tonight.

                Tonight it's Isaac Asimov... and his 50 year old predictions for the year 2014.

                Let's see what we got...



                Nailed those three... dead on.



                Tablet and phone folks... ol' Isaac was looking at you...



                Okay... so unless you count prototypes, he missed this one... but only by a few years.


                Elon Musk... you're up.



                Dead on again:











                Spot on with both of those...



                This one is for Bluedoggy and UScitizen:



                When I tell you EVERYONE KNOW THIS... it's true. Asimov knew it 50 years ago...



                You are reading this thread, right? Case closed...



                Thus I give you... tsquare's Non-Political Thread Of The Week!

                and last but not least:



                Enjoy...


                Isaac Asimov's 1964 Predictions About 2014 Are Frighteningly Accurate
                Thanks T! I did enjoy this. And I have been a life long sci fi novel fan. So right up my entertainment alley!

                I think Heinlein did fairly well to in some of his predictions, but can't recall if he was specific to a particular year.

                Machine tenders? He was dead on. But I can't recall if any of his future novels ever addressed the problem of what the rest of humanity would be doing to earn their keep.

                There was some group in England leading up to WW2 that were seriously questioning how the future world would employ its billions of inhabitants since machines would be making everything you purchased. They, way back then, were able to recognize a future delimma, a future big problem.

                It's like not jobs for these displaced people will magically appear, something has to drive it. Those jobs have to exist. What will they be? They will have to earn enough to buy what the machines make. Right off, it seems to me that our future involves a class of poor in numbers seen only in 3rd world nations. An elite class of course, and a small middle composed of professionals. If so, boy, we are in deep dodo. In the future.

                Anyone know if current sci fi authors are projecting the current trend forward? I need cheering up.

                ?


                • #9
                  Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                  The masses of unemployed are going to increase, 3d prinitng will end the industrial age as we know it. Walmart is doomed when we can all print our own plastic crap and cheap gadgets as are all the manufacturers of said crap currently.


                  I recall stories of how society is disrupted by robotics/mechanization but no specifics.

                  ?


                  • #10
                    Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                    Originally posted by JDJarvis View Post
                    The masses of unemployed are going to increase, 3d prinitng will end the industrial age as we know it. Walmart is doomed when we can all print our own plastic crap and cheap gadgets as are all the manufacturers of said crap currently.


                    I recall stories of how society is disrupted by robotics/mechanization but no specifics.
                    Won't these machines require the architectural knowledge and raw materials required to actually produce the product?

                    ?


                    • #11
                      Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                      Originally posted by USCitizen View Post
                      Won't these machines require the architectural knowledge and raw materials required to actually produce the product?
                      I would think that the majority of the engineering and materials knowledge needed to produce these plastic gizmos would be programmed into the software where the user drafts the parts wanted in the computer. High end CAD/CAM has been identifying potential problems in designs for years now.

                      ?


                      • #12
                        Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                        Originally posted by JDJarvis View Post
                        The masses of unemployed are going to increase, 3d prinitng will end the industrial age as we know it. Walmart is doomed when we can all print our own plastic crap and cheap gadgets as are all the manufacturers of said crap currently.


                        I recall stories of how society is disrupted by robotics/mechanization but no specifics.
                        Doomed? Well if so, it's not because of 3d printing, it will be for other things... like not running their business well. A prediction I made 20 years ago.

                        That said... yes, 3d printing might well 'end the industrial age as we know it,' but then new jobs will also spring up to work with that... including designing the stuff to be printed. Plus I see 3d printing as something that will not be in (most) homes for 20-30 years yet, even as they might well be at 'print mart' where one goes to get stuff made... or picked up once you've ordered it earlier. Or even get stuff made that you don't have the raw materiel at home to make (high strength stuff, etc.).

                        I based this though on the 'coming wave' of custom made clothing that has been 'coming soon' for like 10 years now. You can get custom made clothes of course, and there are a number of site on line where you can get custom made jeans... now... today.

                        But they haven't taken over the retail off the rack... just yet. And they are ten years in.

                        ?


                        • #13
                          Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                          Originally posted by eohrnberger View Post
                          I would think that the majority of the engineering and materials knowledge needed to produce these plastic gizmos would be programmed into the software where the user drafts the parts wanted in the computer. High end CAD/CAM has been identifying potential problems in designs for years now.
                          So instead of needing the actual raw material the software would be able to use some sort of truly low level molecular input material that would be converted as needed.

                          ?


                          • #14
                            Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                            Originally posted by USCitizen View Post
                            So instead of needing the actual raw material the software would be able to use some sort of truly low level molecular input material that would be converted as needed.
                            Umm. No. Sorry, missed that part of your question. Of course you'd have to fill the printer with it's resin so that it could print things for you.

                            ?


                            • #15
                              Re: Isaac Asimov... 50 Year Old Predictions For The Year 2014.

                              Originally posted by eohrnberger View Post
                              Umm. No. Sorry, missed that part of your question. Of course you'd have to fill the printer with it's resin so that it could print things for you.
                              Hope the output isn't smudged!

                              ?

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